ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
166 Dayton over 246 Jacksonville 42.0 to 24.5
141 Florida International over 222 Massachusetts 49.0 to 28.0
103 Harvard over 232 Howard 45.5 to 17.5
125 Jacksonville State over 219 Tennessee State 45.5 to 21.0
5 Oklahoma over 95 Kansas 49.0 to 21.0
13 Missouri over 97 Troy State 45.5 to 24.5
66 Montana over 138 Idaho State 42.0 to 21.0
47 Boise State over 182 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 21.0
153 Northern Arizona over 248 Northern Colorado 38.5 to 17.5
12 Notre Dame over 230 Bowling Green 59.5 to 7.0
1 Ohio State over 30 Michigan State 42.0 to 10.5
6 Penn State over 82 Purdue 45.5 to 17.5
147 San Diego over 251 Marist 45.5 to 17.5
37 South Dakota State over 128 Southern Illinois 42.0 to 17.5
4 Georgia over 115 Tennessee 42.0 to 14.0
144 The Citadel over 239 Virginia Military 45.5 to 21.0
8 Wisconsin over 156 Kent State 49.0 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
65 Temple over 186 East Carolina 35.0 to 17.5
113 Alabama - Birmingham over 179 Rice 31.5 to 14.0
193 Bethune - Cookman over 237 Morgan State 35.0 to 21.0
196 Campbell over 255 Presbyterian 31.5 to 10.5
203 Drake over 249 Valparaiso 35.0 to 17.5
16 North Dakota State over 101 Illinois State 31.5 to 17.5
7 Louisiana State over 28 Utah State 45.5 to 28.0
53 Minnesota over 126 Illinois 42.0 to 24.5
185 Murray State over 233 Eastern Illinois 28.0 to 17.5
114 North Carolina A&T over 226 Norfolk State 35.0 to 14.0
41 Memphis over 145 Northeast Louisiana 45.5 to 28.0
134 Sam Houston State over 221 Stephen F. Austin 42.0 to 24.5
15 Oregon over 55 California 35.0 to 17.5
20 Princeton over 167 Columbia 49.0 to 14.0
52 Maryland over 174 Rutgers 35.0 to 17.5
42 Southern Methodist over 122 Tulsa 42.0 to 28.0
70-80% chance of victory:
117 Georgia Southern over 214 South Alabama 31.5 to 21.0
223 Alabama A&M over 256 Texas Southern 38.5 to 21.0
171 Alcorn State over 241 Alabama State 31.5 to 21.0
87 Weber State over 177 Idaho 35.0 to 21.0
35 Kansas State over 48 Baylor 35.0 to 24.5
71 Eastern Washington over 160 Sacramento State 42.0 to 28.0
120 Southeast Missouri State over 190 Tennessee Tech 42.0 to 28.0
10 Washington over 54 Stanford 31.5 to 17.5
24 James Madison over 99 Stony Brook 35.0 to 21.0
56 Villanova over 154 William & Mary 35.0 to 21.0
102 Yale over 205 Fordham 35.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
11 Central Florida over 40 Cincinnati 35.0 to 28.0
172 San Jose State over 183 New Mexico 35.0 to 31.5
58 Army over 63 Tulane 24.5 to 17.5
136 Rhode Island over 227 Brown 38.5 to 24.5
178 Holy Cross over 229 Bucknell 24.5 to 17.5
83 Ohio over 105 Buffalo 35.0 to 31.5
92 California - Los Angeles over 111 Oregon State 38.5 to 28.0
89 Montana State over 146 California Poly 38.5 to 31.5
104 Eastern Michigan over 162 Central Michigan 28.0 to 21.0
208 Colgate over 216 Lehigh 28.0 to 24.5
90 San Diego State over 152 Colorado State 31.5 to 21.0
151 South Florida over 210 Connecticut 31.5 to 24.5
189 Cornell over 198 Georgetown 21.0 to 17.5
202 South Carolina State over 252 Delaware State 28.0 to 14.0
25 Duke over 38 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 21.0
158 Duquesne over 250 Long Island 52.5 to 28.0
168 Eastern Kentucky over 159 Tennessee - Martin 28.0 to 21.0
139 Wofford over 170 East Tennessee State 24.5 to 21.0
194 Florida A&M over 242 North Carolina Central 31.5 to 17.5
108 Arkansas State over 187 Georgia State 38.5 to 28.0
50 North Carolina over 106 Georgia Tech 24.5 to 24.5
220 Hampton over 218 North Alabama 35.0 to 31.5
217 Incarnate Word over 231 Houston Baptist 45.5 to 42.0
22 Iowa State over 29 Texas Christian 28.0 to 21.0
206 Grambling over 245 Jackson State 24.5 to 17.5
201 Abilene Christian over 236 Lamar 28.0 to 24.5
148 Southeast Louisiana over 199 McNeese State 28.0 to 24.5
165 Mercer over 173 Tennessee - Chattanooga 31.5 to 28.0
61 Miami - Florida over 94 Virginia Tech 28.0 to 17.5
17 Michigan over 14 Iowa 24.5 to 21.0
124 Middle Tennessee State over 121 Marshall 28.0 to 28.0
77 Mississippi over 85 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 28.0
212 Davidson over 254 Morehead State 45.5 to 35.0
68 Air Force over 86 Navy 28.0 to 28.0
62 Nebraska over 69 Northwestern 28.0 to 24.5
135 New Hampshire over 123 Elon 24.5 to 17.5
150 Liberty over 197 New Mexico State 35.0 to 24.5
149 Nicholls State over 140 Central Arkansas 28.0 to 28.0
119 North Dakota over 100 California - Davis 28.0 to 28.0
116 Northern Illinois over 143 Ball State 35.0 to 21.0
60 Youngstown State over 93 Northern Iowa 24.5 to 21.0
44 Dartmouth over 142 Pennsylvania 28.0 to 17.5
200 Southern Utah over 204 Portland State 31.5 to 28.0
118 Albany over 169 Richmond 31.5 to 28.0
155 Sacred Heart over 161 Central Connecticut 31.5 to 28.0
81 Furman over 131 Samford 42.0 to 38.5
225 Stetson over 243 Butler 35.0 to 28.0
213 Texas - San Antonio over 240 Texas - El Paso 24.5 to 21.0
23 Oklahoma State over 76 Texas Tech 38.5 to 31.5
80 Toledo over 98 Western Michigan 45.5 to 38.5
163 Monmouth over 215 Wagner 28.0 to 24.5
207 Western Carolina over 247 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 31.5
180 Western Illinois over 192 Missouri State 28.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
73 Colorado over 67 Arizona 31.5 to 31.5
19 Florida over 9 Auburn 24.5 to 24.5
96 Louisville over 84 Boston College 31.5 to 31.5
231 Houston Baptist over 253 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 35.0
175 Old Dominion over 164 Western Kentucky 28.0 to 24.5
157 Indiana State over 184 South Dakota 31.5 to 28.0
31 West Virginia over 21 Texas 31.5 to 31.5
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