ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
21 Appalachian State over 110 Georgia Southern 38.5 to 17.5
30 Navy over 202 Connecticut 42.0 to 17.5
9 Auburn over 62 Mississippi 38.5 to 17.5
15 Central Florida over 59 Houston 45.5 to 28.0
2 Clemson over 105 Wofford 45.5 to 10.5
51 Princeton over 208 Cornell 42.0 to 17.5
178 Florida A&M over 249 Delaware State 38.5 to 17.5
187 Grambling over 254 Texas Southern 49.0 to 17.5
196 Hampton over 255 Presbyterian 38.5 to 14.0
50 Louisiana - Lafayette over 195 Texas State - San Marcos 42.0 to 14.0
150 Liberty over 248 Massachusetts 45.5 to 24.5
44 South Dakota State over 220 Missouri State 38.5 to 10.5
134 North Texas over 240 Texas - El Paso 42.0 to 17.5
26 Texas A&M over 214 Texas - San Antonio 49.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
38 Air Force over 122 Army 35.0 to 17.5
199 Davidson over 247 Valparaiso 38.5 to 24.5
27 Cincinnati over 173 East Carolina 35.0 to 14.0
152 Florida International over 209 Old Dominion 31.5 to 17.5
163 Idaho State over 234 Northern Colorado 38.5 to 24.5
68 Illinois over 183 Rutgers 38.5 to 21.0
113 Southern Illinois over 215 Indiana State 31.5 to 21.0
71 Kennesaw State over 145 Monmouth 42.0 to 24.5
12 Michigan over 78 Maryland 38.5 to 21.0
182 McNeese State over 229 Northwestern State 38.5 to 24.5
97 Montana State over 179 Southern Utah 42.0 to 24.5
185 Dayton over 244 Morehead State 45.5 to 31.5
20 Notre Dame over 77 Virginia Tech 42.0 to 21.0
160 Pennsylvania over 216 Brown 42.0 to 24.5
54 Montana over 164 Portland State 42.0 to 24.5
47 Boise State over 138 San Jose State 38.5 to 21.0
45 South Carolina over 132 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 17.5
151 Southeast Louisiana over 225 Stephen F. Austin 42.0 to 24.5
67 Towson over 171 Delaware 38.5 to 21.0
22 North Dakota State over 90 Youngstown State 35.0 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
76 Arizona over 100 Oregon State 42.0 to 31.5
188 Sacred Heart over 242 Bryant 35.0 to 21.0
109 Eastern Washington over 161 Northern Arizona 49.0 to 35.0
181 Nicholls State over 219 Incarnate Word 38.5 to 31.5
174 Central Arkansas over 233 Lamar 28.0 to 21.0
184 Murray State over 203 Tennessee Tech 42.0 to 31.5
205 Southern over 232 Alabama A&M 31.5 to 17.5
142 Southeast Missouri State over 221 Tennessee State 35.0 to 24.5
42 Tulane over 98 Tulsa 38.5 to 24.5
118 Central Connecticut over 213 Wagner 24.5 to 10.5
60-70% chance of victory:
33 Baylor over 64 West Virginia 35.0 to 28.0
103 Albany over 136 Maine 35.0 to 24.5
56 Mississippi State over 123 Arkansas 31.5 to 24.5
236 Bowling Green over 253 Akron 24.5 to 17.5
66 California - Los Angeles over 84 Colorado 35.0 to 28.0
115 Northern Illinois over 141 Central Michigan 28.0 to 24.5
124 Coastal Carolina over 135 Troy State 35.0 to 31.5
139 Colorado State over 148 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 35.0
177 Duquesne over 201 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 21.0 to 10.5
146 The Citadel over 189 East Tennessee State 21.0 to 21.0
107 Elon over 143 William & Mary 31.5 to 21.0
53 Florida State over 63 Miami - Florida 28.0 to 21.0
207 Charleston Southern over 223 Gardner - Webb 28.0 to 24.5
180 Georgetown over 218 Colgate 24.5 to 10.5
43 Pittsburgh over 102 Georgia Tech 24.5 to 17.5
40 Dartmouth over 91 Harvard 28.0 to 24.5
238 North Carolina Central over 251 Howard 31.5 to 28.0
169 Idaho over 170 California Poly 31.5 to 31.5
137 Illinois State over 116 Northern Iowa 21.0 to 17.5
46 Indiana over 104 Northwestern 24.5 to 14.0
224 Stetson over 246 Jacksonville 31.5 to 24.5
29 Kansas State over 85 Kansas 31.5 to 24.5
168 Holy Cross over 194 Lehigh 28.0 to 24.5
31 Memphis over 28 Southern Methodist 42.0 to 38.5
227 Alabama State over 250 Mississippi Valley State 28.0 to 21.0
200 Nevada - Reno over 193 New Mexico 31.5 to 31.5
58 Villanova over 126 New Hampshire 24.5 to 21.0
10 Georgia over 13 Florida 28.0 to 21.0
226 Norfolk State over 231 Morgan State 28.0 to 28.0
191 Campbell over 222 North Alabama 31.5 to 28.0
35 North Carolina over 41 Virginia 31.5 to 24.5
120 Middle Tennessee State over 154 North Carolina - Charlot 35.0 to 35.0
114 Arkansas State over 156 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 35.0
37 Oklahoma State over 32 Texas Christian 35.0 to 31.5
70 Purdue over 69 Nebraska 31.5 to 28.0
119 Marshall over 186 Rice 24.5 to 21.0
101 Stony Brook over 155 Richmond 28.0 to 24.5
206 Robert Morris over 252 Long Island 35.0 to 17.5
49 Sacramento State over 74 Weber State 31.5 to 24.5
130 San Diego over 172 Drake 35.0 to 24.5
96 North Carolina A&T over 176 South Carolina State 31.5 to 21.0
11 Oregon over 24 Southern California 31.5 to 28.0
83 Syracuse over 82 Boston College 31.5 to 28.0
60 Tennessee over 108 Alabama - Birmingham 31.5 to 21.0
80 Furman over 149 Tennessee - Chattanooga 28.0 to 21.0
127 Tennessee - Martin over 166 Jacksonville State 28.0 to 21.0
73 Utah State over 88 Brigham Young 28.0 to 21.0
204 Virginia Military over 243 Western Carolina 38.5 to 31.5
48 Wake Forest over 86 North Carolina State 35.0 to 28.0
14 Washington over 8 Utah 24.5 to 24.5
167 South Dakota over 237 Western Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
72 Florida Atlantic over 131 Western Kentucky 24.5 to 24.5
117 Yale over 157 Columbia 31.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
144 Eastern Kentucky over 129 Austin Peay 28.0 to 28.0
111 Buffalo over 128 Eastern Michigan 28.0 to 28.0
95 Fresno State over 106 Hawaii 35.0 to 35.0
211 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 235 Jackson State 31.5 to 31.5
212 Lafayette over 192 Fordham 28.0 to 24.5
245 Marist over 241 Butler 24.5 to 21.0
190 Mercer over 165 Samford 42.0 to 42.0
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