ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
98 Ohio over 251 Akron 42.0 to 10.5
74 Buffalo over 232 Bowling Green 45.5 to 14.0
18 Central Florida over 125 South Florida 45.5 to 21.0
9 Florida over 59 Florida State 38.5 to 14.0
8 Georgia over 133 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 10.5
132 Liberty over 210 New Mexico State 42.0 to 24.5
26 Louisiana - Lafayette over 146 Northeast Louisiana 49.0 to 24.5
89 Louisiana Tech over 195 Texas - San Antonio 42.0 to 17.5
11 Oregon over 56 Oregon State 49.0 to 24.5
7 Penn State over 171 Rutgers 49.0 to 3.5
2 Clemson over 57 South Carolina 38.5 to 10.5
76 Temple over 217 Connecticut 42.0 to 14.0
41 Tennessee over 162 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 10.5
6 Utah over 84 Colorado 38.5 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
38 Boise State over 131 Colorado State 42.0 to 24.5
62 Missouri over 145 Arkansas 35.0 to 21.0
28 Texas over 55 Texas Tech 38.5 to 28.0
33 Texas Christian over 81 West Virginia 31.5 to 17.5
44 Arizona State over 101 Arizona 38.5 to 24.5
137 Coastal Carolina over 199 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 21.0
23 Baylor over 96 Kansas 35.0 to 21.0
4 Louisiana State over 25 Texas A&M 45.5 to 24.5
47 Michigan State over 130 Maryland 35.0 to 17.5
14 Notre Dame over 78 Stanford 35.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
30 Appalachian State over 107 Troy State 38.5 to 28.0
46 Air Force over 99 Wyoming 28.0 to 17.5
103 Georgia Southern over 122 Georgia State 38.5 to 28.0
134 Utah State over 197 New Mexico 35.0 to 24.5
173 Rice over 235 Texas - El Paso 28.0 to 17.5
75 Western Kentucky over 117 Middle Tennessee State 31.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
85 Western Michigan over 163 Northern Illinois 35.0 to 28.0
156 Prairie View over 226 Alabama State 35.0 to 24.5
54 Mississippi State over 52 Mississippi 31.5 to 24.5
106 Ball State over 129 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 28.0
111 Central Michigan over 149 Toledo 35.0 to 31.5
124 Eastern Michigan over 128 Kent State 35.0 to 28.0
21 Memphis over 40 Cincinnati 35.0 to 28.0
19 Iowa over 42 Nebraska 24.5 to 21.0
112 Arkansas State over 189 South Alabama 31.5 to 24.5
22 Virginia Tech over 36 Virginia 31.5 to 28.0
17 Washington over 27 Washington State 38.5 to 28.0
3 Alabama over 12 Auburn 28.0 to 24.5
50 Miami - Florida over 97 Duke 28.0 to 21.0
86 Tulsa over 123 East Carolina 35.0 to 31.5
65 Florida Atlantic over 88 Southern Mississippi 35.0 to 28.0
100 Army over 114 Hawaii 31.5 to 28.0
32 Navy over 67 Houston 31.5 to 28.0
48 Illinois over 142 Northwestern 28.0 to 17.5
43 Kentucky over 53 Louisville 35.0 to 28.0
108 Marshall over 150 Florida International 28.0 to 21.0
1 Ohio State over 5 Michigan 35.0 to 28.0
10 Wisconsin over 16 Minnesota 31.5 to 28.0
176 Nevada - Reno over 175 Nevada - Las Vegas 31.5 to 28.0
39 North Carolina over 135 North Carolina State 35.0 to 24.5
140 Alabama - Birmingham over 159 North Texas 28.0 to 28.0
158 Grambling over 186 Southern 28.0 to 24.5
13 Oklahoma over 35 Oklahoma State 42.0 to 35.0
138 North Carolina - Charlot over 211 Old Dominion 31.5 to 24.5
66 Pittsburgh over 69 Boston College 28.0 to 24.5
37 Indiana over 70 Purdue 31.5 to 28.0
77 Brigham Young over 118 San Diego State 17.5 to 17.5
29 Southern Methodist over 49 Tulane 45.5 to 42.0
45 Wake Forest over 94 Syracuse 35.0 to 31.5
50-60% chance of victory:
72 California - Los Angeles over 64 California 24.5 to 24.5
20 Iowa State over 34 Kansas State 28.0 to 28.0
126 Fresno State over 119 San Jose State 35.0 to 35.0
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