ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 14 James Madison over 72 Weber State 42.0 to 14.0 24 Appalachian State over 154 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 14.0 20 Central Florida over 109 Marshall 42.0 to 21.0 80-90% chance of victory: 10 Florida over 38 Virginia 35.0 to 21.0 82 Ohio over 170 Nevada - Reno 38.5 to 24.5 40 Louisiana - Lafayette over 134 Miami - Ohio 35.0 to 21.0 70-80% chance of victory: 79 Buffalo over 129 North Carolina - Charlot 35.0 to 24.5 36 North Dakota State over 35 Montana State 31.5 to 17.5 65 Pittsburgh over 128 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 17.5 8 Utah over 25 Texas 31.5 to 21.0 60-70% chance of victory: 120 Utah State over 132 Kent State 35.0 to 28.0 117 Arkansas State over 137 Florida International 31.5 to 31.5 16 Washington over 44 Boise State 31.5 to 21.0 97 Georgia Southern over 126 Liberty 31.5 to 28.0 91 North Carolina A&T over 142 Alcorn State 31.5 to 21.0 103 San Diego State over 99 Central Michigan 21.0 to 17.5 89 Brigham Young over 96 Hawaii 31.5 to 31.5 56 Miami - Florida over 106 Louisiana Tech 31.5 to 21.0 26 Washington State over 48 Air Force 35.0 to 31.5 19 Iowa over 22 Southern California 28.0 to 24.5 37 North Carolina over 67 Temple 31.5 to 24.5 30 Texas A&M over 34 Oklahoma State 31.5 to 28.0 3 Louisiana State over 11 Oklahoma 42.0 to 35.0 12 Penn State over 21 Memphis 35.0 to 28.0 15 Notre Dame over 23 Iowa State 31.5 to 24.5 59 California over 68 Illinois 28.0 to 21.0 52 Mississippi State over 76 Louisville 38.5 to 31.5 28 Virginia Tech over 31 Kentucky 24.5 to 24.5 98 Wyoming over 141 Georgia State 31.5 to 21.0 13 Auburn over 18 Minnesota 31.5 to 24.5 9 Georgia over 17 Baylor 28.0 to 21.0 4 Alabama over 6 Michigan 35.0 to 28.0 39 Cincinnati over 62 Boston College 31.5 to 28.0 49 Tulane over 102 Southern Mississippi 35.0 to 24.5 50-60% chance of victory: 33 Southern Methodist over 47 Florida Atlantic 38.5 to 38.5 58 Wake Forest over 53 Michigan State 24.5 to 24.5 1 Ohio State over 2 Clemson 31.5 to 31.5 95 Western Michigan over 83 Western Kentucky 28.0 to 28.0 46 Arizona State over 57 Florida State 28.0 to 28.0 29 Kansas State over 27 Navy 28.0 to 28.0 5 Wisconsin over 7 Oregon 28.0 to 28.0 42 Indiana over 55 Tennessee 28.0 to 28.0
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