ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 80-90% chance of victory: 2 Clemson over 168 The Citadel 56.0 to 7.0 70-80% chance of victory: 29 Arkansas State over 184 Central Arkansas 45.5 to 28.0 60 Tulane over 209 Navy 42.0 to 17.5 60-70% chance of victory: 142 Coastal Carolina over 206 Campbell 35.0 to 28.0 5 Brigham Young over 27 Army 24.5 to 17.5 25 Baylor over 73 Houston 45.5 to 31.5 38 Cincinnati over 237 Austin Peay 42.0 to 14.0 50 Louisiana - Lafayette over 149 Georgia State 42.0 to 28.0 19 Central Florida over 118 Georgia Tech 42.0 to 28.0 20 Marshall over 31 Appalachian State 35.0 to 24.5 117 Troy State over 216 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 31.5 36 North Carolina over 144 North Carolina - Charlot 42.0 to 21.0 148 Northeast Louisiana over 185 Texas State - San Marcos 49.0 to 38.5 42 North Texas over 153 Southern Methodist 42.0 to 38.5 14 Notre Dame over 129 South Florida 42.0 to 10.5 35 Oklahoma State over 98 Tulsa 45.5 to 28.0 59 Pittsburgh over 89 Syracuse 35.0 to 24.5 96 Louisiana Tech over 163 Southern Mississippi 35.0 to 28.0 211 Abilene Christian over 252 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 21.0 186 Texas - San Antonio over 235 Stephen F. Austin 35.0 to 28.0 105 Western Kentucky over 124 Liberty 35.0 to 28.0 50-60% chance of victory: 64 Duke over 68 Boston College 35.0 to 31.5 49 Florida Atlantic over 107 Georgia Southern 35.0 to 31.5 67 Miami - Florida over 77 Louisville 31.5 to 31.5 58 Wake Forest over 106 North Carolina State 35.0 to 31.5
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