ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 80-90% chance of victory: 43 Appalachian State over 208 Campbell 38.5 to 17.5 1 Brigham Young over 119 Troy State 56.0 to 17.5 169 Northeast Louisiana over 252 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 17.5 14 Notre Dame over 60 Wake Forest 38.5 to 24.5 20 Southern Methodist over 250 Stephen F. Austin 73.5 to 24.5 167 The Citadel over 237 Eastern Kentucky 42.0 to 21.0 70-80% chance of victory: 84 South Alabama over 148 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 24.5 8 Oklahoma over 32 Kansas State 42.0 to 24.5 60-70% chance of victory: 177 Texas - San Antonio over 246 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 21.0 6 Georgia over 130 Arkansas 49.0 to 17.5 29 Arkansas State over 104 Tulsa 38.5 to 28.0 13 Auburn over 30 Kentucky 35.0 to 21.0 25 Baylor over 113 Kansas 45.5 to 24.5 69 Boston College over 110 Texas State - San Marcos 42.0 to 28.0 187 Central Arkansas over 218 Missouri State 31.5 to 21.0 36 Cincinnati over 50 Army 21.0 to 17.5 19 Central Florida over 153 East Carolina 52.5 to 28.0 51 Florida Atlantic over 149 South Florida 42.0 to 21.0 73 Houston over 118 North Texas 52.5 to 35.0 41 Louisiana - Lafayette over 108 Georgia Southern 35.0 to 24.5 4 Louisiana State over 42 Mississippi State 52.5 to 24.5 98 Louisiana Tech over 170 Houston Baptist 45.5 to 24.5 67 Miami - Florida over 62 Florida State 28.0 to 24.5 9 Florida over 53 Mississippi 38.5 to 28.0 5 Alabama over 38 Missouri 45.5 to 28.0 56 Pittsburgh over 80 Louisville 35.0 to 24.5 66 Tulane over 127 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 28.0 97 Syracuse over 123 Georgia Tech 28.0 to 21.0 26 Texas A&M over 129 Vanderbilt 45.5 to 21.0 21 Texas over 58 Texas Tech 38.5 to 35.0 35 Virginia over 74 Duke 35.0 to 24.5 40 Virginia Tech over 106 North Carolina State 42.0 to 24.5 50-60% chance of victory: 128 Liberty over 140 Florida International 35.0 to 31.5 156 North Carolina - Charlot over 158 Georgia State 35.0 to 31.5 37 Oklahoma State over 46 West Virginia 35.0 to 31.5 54 South Carolina over 55 Tennessee 31.5 to 28.0 39 Texas Christian over 27 Iowa State 31.5 to 28.0
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