ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 35 Appalachian State over 86 Arkansas State 42.0 to 24.5 12 Brigham Young over 146 Texas State - San Marcos 45.5 to 10.5 2 Clemson over 131 Syracuse 56.0 to 7.0 37 Kansas State over 156 Kansas 38.5 to 14.0 106 Liberty over 211 Southern Mississippi 45.5 to 24.5 3 Alabama over 43 Tennessee 45.5 to 24.5 80-90% chance of victory: 26 Central Florida over 69 Tulane 45.5 to 31.5 6 Louisiana State over 31 South Carolina 42.0 to 24.5 118 North Carolina - Charlot over 213 Texas - El Paso 28.0 to 14.0 70-80% chance of victory: 64 Army over 191 Mercer 38.5 to 17.5 165 South Alabama over 229 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 21.0 60-70% chance of victory: 100 Tulsa over 179 South Florida 31.5 to 24.5 5 Wisconsin over 84 Illinois 49.0 to 21.0 46 Boise State over 98 Utah State 42.0 to 28.0 96 Boston College over 137 Georgia Tech 31.5 to 21.0 67 Coastal Carolina over 125 Georgia Southern 31.5 to 21.0 133 Colorado State over 185 New Mexico 42.0 to 31.5 7 Penn State over 47 Indiana 38.5 to 28.0 78 Louisville over 87 Florida State 35.0 to 31.5 23 Marshall over 55 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 21.0 44 Memphis over 99 Temple 35.0 to 24.5 22 Miami - Florida over 52 Virginia 38.5 to 24.5 53 Michigan State over 161 Rutgers 35.0 to 14.0 20 Auburn over 39 Mississippi 35.0 to 31.5 77 Houston over 163 Navy 35.0 to 28.0 93 Wyoming over 162 Nevada - Reno 31.5 to 24.5 36 North Carolina over 54 North Carolina State 38.5 to 31.5 212 Abilene Christian over 240 Stephen F. Austin 31.5 to 14.0 82 Ohio over 231 Bowling Green 52.5 to 24.5 1 Ohio State over 48 Nebraska 56.0 to 21.0 33 Oklahoma State over 38 Iowa State 28.0 to 24.5 16 Notre Dame over 62 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 17.5 13 Iowa over 60 Purdue 35.0 to 24.5 180 Rice over 219 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 24.5 83 San Diego State over 154 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 17.5 45 Air Force over 136 San Jose State 42.0 to 28.0 34 Cincinnati over 42 Southern Methodist 31.5 to 31.5 18 Texas over 27 Baylor 42.0 to 31.5 15 Oklahoma over 40 Texas Christian 38.5 to 31.5 116 Troy State over 127 Georgia State 42.0 to 31.5 50-60% chance of victory: 65 Alabama - Birmingham over 51 Louisiana - Lafayette 28.0 to 28.0 143 Florida International over 159 Jacksonville State 28.0 to 28.0 148 Eastern Kentucky over 113 Central Arkansas 28.0 to 28.0 97 Fresno State over 95 Hawaii 42.0 to 38.5 8 Michigan over 19 Minnesota 35.0 to 31.5 102 Northwestern over 103 Maryland 31.5 to 24.5 117 Louisiana Tech over 124 Texas - San Antonio 31.5 to 31.5 49 West Virginia over 72 Texas Tech 31.5 to 31.5 30 Wake Forest over 28 Virginia Tech 38.5 to 38.5 153 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 150 Western Kentucky 28.0 to 24.5
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