ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
2 Alabama over 54 Mississippi State 49.0 to 17.5
15 Brigham Young over 164 Western Kentucky 42.0 to 10.5
3 Clemson over 84 Boston College 49.0 to 10.5
37 Iowa State over 178 Kansas 38.5 to 17.5
31 Appalachian State over 238 Northeast Louisiana 49.0 to 14.0
65 Southern Methodist over 172 Navy 38.5 to 24.5
44 Louisiana - Lafayette over 154 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 21.0
80-90% chance of victory:
20 Marshall over 161 Florida International 35.0 to 14.0
71 Tulsa over 168 East Carolina 42.0 to 24.5
11 Notre Dame over 144 Georgia Tech 42.0 to 14.0
25 Texas A&M over 78 Arkansas 38.5 to 21.0
14 Oklahoma over 66 Texas Tech 45.5 to 35.0
70-80% chance of victory:
125 Georgia Southern over 173 South Alabama 24.5 to 14.0
83 Duke over 111 North Carolina - Charlot 31.5 to 21.0
10 Florida over 39 Missouri 38.5 to 21.0
35 Wake Forest over 128 Syracuse 38.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
99 Fresno State over 133 Colorado State 38.5 to 28.0
21 Minnesota over 106 Maryland 38.5 to 24.5
123 Southern Illinois over 138 Southeast Missouri State 38.5 to 31.5
103 Arkansas State over 117 Troy State 38.5 to 35.0
6 Louisiana State over 24 Auburn 35.0 to 28.0
36 Baylor over 43 Texas Christian 28.0 to 24.5
22 Cincinnati over 56 Memphis 38.5 to 24.5
59 Florida Atlantic over 121 Texas - San Antonio 35.0 to 24.5
60 Coastal Carolina over 110 Georgia State 42.0 to 35.0
28 Central Florida over 70 Houston 45.5 to 38.5
13 Iowa over 90 Northwestern 28.0 to 10.5
4 Georgia over 26 Kentucky 28.0 to 17.5
73 Alabama - Birmingham over 118 Louisiana Tech 28.0 to 24.5
27 Virginia Tech over 64 Louisville 35.0 to 35.0
196 Mercer over 213 Abilene Christian 35.0 to 28.0
7 Michigan over 52 Michigan State 35.0 to 10.5
5 Wisconsin over 46 Nebraska 35.0 to 21.0
18 Texas over 33 Oklahoma State 35.0 to 31.5
1 Ohio State over 8 Penn State 38.5 to 28.0
41 Indiana over 152 Rutgers 35.0 to 21.0
186 Texas - El Paso over 192 North Texas 35.0 to 28.0
88 Tulane over 108 Temple 35.0 to 31.5
42 Mississippi over 136 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 28.0
30 North Carolina over 51 Virginia 31.5 to 31.5
32 Kansas State over 48 West Virginia 24.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
95 Wyoming over 89 Hawaii 31.5 to 28.0
47 Air Force over 40 Boise State 24.5 to 24.5
57 Purdue over 92 Illinois 35.0 to 31.5
21 Minnesota over 52 Michigan State 28.0 to 24.5
160 Nevada - Las Vegas over 157 Nevada - Reno 31.5 to 31.5
143 San Jose State over 184 New Mexico 35.0 to 35.0
57 Purdue over 90 Northwestern 24.5 to 21.0
179 Rice over 217 Southern Mississippi 35.0 to 31.5
79 San Diego State over 101 Utah State 24.5 to 21.0
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