ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
38 Coastal Carolina over 167 South Alabama 42.0 to 17.5
22 Marshall over 246 Massachusetts 59.5 to 10.5
87 Memphis over 176 South Florida 42.0 to 24.5
1 Ohio State over 151 Rutgers 63.0 to 7.0
9 Oklahoma over 190 Kansas 59.5 to 17.5
10 Penn State over 107 Maryland 45.5 to 17.5
28 Wake Forest over 135 Syracuse 42.0 to 21.0
5 Wisconsin over 60 Purdue 42.0 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
44 Louisiana - Lafayette over 129 Arkansas State 42.0 to 24.5
16 Cincinnati over 77 Houston 42.0 to 21.0
147 Eastern Kentucky over 227 Stephen F. Austin 35.0 to 17.5
65 Florida Atlantic over 154 Western Kentucky 31.5 to 14.0
143 Georgia State over 237 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 24.5
78 Mississippi State over 162 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 14.0
103 Fresno State over 181 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 21.0
15 Texas over 37 West Virginia 42.0 to 28.0
42 Texas Christian over 84 Texas Tech 38.5 to 24.5
50 Appalachian State over 148 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 21.0
27 Virginia Tech over 101 Liberty 42.0 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
82 Tulane over 163 East Carolina 42.0 to 28.0
26 Minnesota over 100 Illinois 38.5 to 28.0
6 Michigan over 48 Indiana 42.0 to 24.5
133 North Carolina - Charlot over 211 Middle Tennessee State 38.5 to 28.0
66 Tulsa over 164 Navy 31.5 to 21.0
111 Louisiana Tech over 200 North Texas 45.5 to 31.5
60-70% chance of victory:
98 Western Michigan over 247 Akron 45.5 to 21.0
130 Toledo over 231 Bowling Green 49.0 to 28.0
94 Wyoming over 131 Colorado State 28.0 to 24.5
71 Southern Methodist over 136 Temple 38.5 to 31.5
24 Miami - Florida over 59 North Carolina State 31.5 to 28.0
79 San Diego State over 124 San Jose State 28.0 to 14.0
52 Arkansas over 51 Tennessee 31.5 to 28.0
47 Army over 64 Air Force 24.5 to 17.5
14 Washington over 54 California 31.5 to 21.0
30 North Carolina over 55 Duke 35.0 to 28.0
96 Florida State over 86 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 24.5
117 Georgia Southern over 97 Troy State 24.5 to 21.0
102 Hawaii over 193 New Mexico 42.0 to 28.0
21 Iowa over 56 Michigan State 24.5 to 10.5
35 Iowa State over 39 Baylor 28.0 to 24.5
4 Georgia over 7 Florida 28.0 to 28.0
59 North Carolina State over 58 Boston College 31.5 to 31.5
3 Clemson over 13 Notre Dame 31.5 to 24.5
8 Oregon over 61 Stanford 45.5 to 24.5
34 Washington State over 69 Oregon State 45.5 to 38.5
124 San Jose State over 152 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 28.0
40 South Carolina over 25 Texas A&M 31.5 to 28.0
31 Southern California over 45 Arizona State 42.0 to 31.5
58 Boston College over 135 Syracuse 31.5 to 24.5
160 Florida International over 184 Texas - El Paso 24.5 to 24.5
11 Utah over 89 Arizona 45.5 to 21.0
49 Virginia over 63 Louisville 35.0 to 31.5
94 Wyoming over 120 Utah State 28.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
85 Ohio over 127 Central Michigan 42.0 to 35.0
115 Eastern Michigan over 128 Kent State 38.5 to 35.0
121 Miami - Ohio over 112 Ball State 35.0 to 35.0
80 Buffalo over 137 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
120 Utah State over 152 Nevada - Reno 31.5 to 31.5
36 Boise State over 17 Brigham Young 31.5 to 28.0
90 Colorado over 83 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 35.0
43 Kansas State over 29 Oklahoma State 24.5 to 24.5
72 Northwestern over 46 Nebraska 24.5 to 24.5
122 Texas - San Antonio over 171 Rice 28.0 to 24.5
214 Southern Mississippi over 220 North Alabama 38.5 to 38.5
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