ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 69 Buffalo over 242 Bowling Green 45.5 to 14.0 121 Kent State over 253 Akron 42.0 to 14.0 56 Air Force over 185 New Mexico 42.0 to 14.0 82 Florida Atlantic over 247 Massachusetts 56.0 to 14.0 1 Alabama over 35 Kentucky 45.5 to 14.0 16 Auburn over 60 Tennessee 35.0 to 14.0 11 Brigham Young over 221 North Alabama 52.5 to 14.0 3 Clemson over 123 Florida State 49.0 to 21.0 6 Georgia over 74 Mississippi State 35.0 to 10.5 19 Texas over 207 Kansas 52.5 to 21.0 113 Louisiana Tech over 232 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 21.0 41 Marshall over 136 North Carolina - Charlot 35.0 to 14.0 21 Miami - Florida over 133 Georgia Tech 42.0 to 17.5 43 Nebraska over 110 Illinois 38.5 to 21.0 2 Ohio State over 25 Indiana 45.5 to 24.5 102 Troy State over 195 Middle Tennessee State 42.0 to 24.5 4 Florida over 127 Vanderbilt 49.0 to 17.5 56 Air Force over 135 Colorado State 38.5 to 21.0 84 Alabama - Birmingham over 211 Southern Mississippi 38.5 to 21.0 66 Liberty over 247 Massachusetts 63.0 to 21.0 24 Central Florida over 171 South Florida 49.0 to 24.5 1 Alabama over 16 Auburn 42.0 to 21.0 3 Clemson over 80 Pittsburgh 45.5 to 14.0 52 Southern Methodist over 154 East Carolina 45.5 to 31.5 4 Florida over 35 Kentucky 42.0 to 21.0 2 Ohio State over 110 Illinois 52.5 to 14.0 25 Indiana over 95 Maryland 42.0 to 24.5 44 Texas Christian over 207 Kansas 38.5 to 14.0 82 Florida Atlantic over 195 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 17.5 59 Louisiana - Lafayette over 232 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 17.5 103 Ohio over 242 Bowling Green 45.5 to 14.0 10 Cincinnati over 151 Temple 38.5 to 14.0 80-90% chance of victory: 96 Wyoming over 175 Utah State 31.5 to 17.5 63 Louisville over 131 Syracuse 35.0 to 21.0 8 Oregon over 73 California - Los Angeles 45.5 to 21.0 135 Colorado State over 178 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 28.0 9 Oklahoma over 29 Oklahoma State 42.0 to 24.5 84 Alabama - Birmingham over 193 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 17.5 45 Virginia over 212 Abilene Christian 42.0 to 14.0 96 Wyoming over 178 Nevada - Las Vegas 31.5 to 17.5 8 Oregon over 70 Oregon State 42.0 to 24.5 139 Miami - Ohio over 253 Akron 35.0 to 14.0 48 Boise State over 88 San Jose State 38.5 to 24.5 14 Iowa over 43 Nebraska 35.0 to 17.5 29 Oklahoma State over 89 Texas Tech 38.5 to 24.5 6 Georgia over 57 South Carolina 35.0 to 21.0 32 Southern California over 85 Colorado 38.5 to 24.5 47 Coastal Carolina over 148 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 24.5 70-80% chance of victory: 76 Army over 119 Georgia Southern 24.5 to 10.5 48 Boise State over 117 Hawaii 38.5 to 31.5 59 Louisiana - Lafayette over 128 Central Arkansas 35.0 to 24.5 27 Michigan over 101 Rutgers 38.5 to 21.0 71 Appalachian State over 102 Troy State 31.5 to 21.0 23 Mississippi over 74 Mississippi State 38.5 to 28.0 108 Texas - San Antonio over 200 North Texas 45.5 to 31.5 87 Western Michigan over 157 Northern Illinois 38.5 to 24.5 60-70% chance of victory: 103 Ohio over 139 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 28.0 124 Ball State over 157 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 28.0 120 Eastern Michigan over 126 Toledo 35.0 to 31.5 50 Minnesota over 53 Purdue 35.0 to 28.0 18 Louisiana State over 38 Arkansas 38.5 to 31.5 47 Coastal Carolina over 71 Appalachian State 28.0 to 24.5 49 Arizona State over 85 Colorado 28.0 to 24.5 26 Wake Forest over 67 Duke 35.0 to 31.5 184 Eastern Kentucky over 229 Western Carolina 38.5 to 24.5 99 Fresno State over 88 San Jose State 28.0 to 24.5 33 Iowa State over 40 Kansas State 31.5 to 24.5 95 Maryland over 100 Michigan State 28.0 to 24.5 94 Memphis over 179 Stephen F. Austin 42.0 to 24.5 62 San Diego State over 115 Nevada - Reno 24.5 to 17.5 42 North Carolina State over 66 Liberty 38.5 to 35.0 168 Rice over 200 North Texas 38.5 to 31.5 5 Wisconsin over 31 Northwestern 28.0 to 14.0 14 Iowa over 30 Penn State 24.5 to 24.5 36 Virginia Tech over 80 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 28.0 37 Missouri over 57 South Carolina 31.5 to 28.0 52 Southern Methodist over 61 Houston 42.0 to 38.5 108 Texas - San Antonio over 211 Southern Mississippi 35.0 to 24.5 34 Washington State over 81 Stanford 35.0 to 28.0 151 Temple over 154 East Carolina 35.0 to 28.0 13 Texas A&M over 23 Mississippi 42.0 to 35.0 12 Utah over 32 Southern California 38.5 to 24.5 15 Washington over 91 Arizona 42.0 to 17.5 170 Western Kentucky over 161 Florida International 24.5 to 21.0 175 Utah State over 185 New Mexico 35.0 to 24.5 64 Boston College over 63 Louisville 31.5 to 28.0 54 California over 81 Stanford 28.0 to 21.0 7 Notre Dame over 22 North Carolina 38.5 to 31.5 15 Washington over 34 Washington State 35.0 to 28.0 12 Utah over 49 Arizona State 31.5 to 21.0 134 Arkansas State over 165 South Alabama 31.5 to 24.5 46 Baylor over 40 Kansas State 28.0 to 24.5 69 Buffalo over 121 Kent State 38.5 to 28.0 73 California - Los Angeles over 91 Arizona 38.5 to 31.5 113 Louisiana Tech over 161 Florida International 31.5 to 28.0 45 Virginia over 123 Florida State 31.5 to 28.0 119 Georgia Southern over 141 Georgia State 31.5 to 28.0 67 Duke over 133 Georgia Tech 31.5 to 28.0 117 Hawaii over 115 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 31.5 61 Houston over 65 Tulsa 35.0 to 31.5 27 Michigan over 30 Penn State 31.5 to 24.5 31 Northwestern over 100 Michigan State 21.0 to 14.0 37 Missouri over 38 Arkansas 35.0 to 24.5 136 North Carolina - Charlot over 170 Western Kentucky 24.5 to 21.0 53 Purdue over 101 Rutgers 35.0 to 24.5 168 Rice over 193 Texas - El Paso 28.0 to 21.0 42 North Carolina State over 131 Syracuse 35.0 to 28.0 19 Texas over 33 Iowa State 38.5 to 31.5 13 Texas A&M over 18 Louisiana State 35.0 to 35.0 126 Toledo over 124 Ball State 38.5 to 31.5 39 Tulane over 94 Memphis 42.0 to 31.5 60 Tennessee over 127 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 21.0 9 Oklahoma over 28 West Virginia 35.0 to 28.0 50-60% chance of victory: 87 Western Michigan over 109 Central Michigan 35.0 to 31.5 39 Tulane over 65 Tulsa 31.5 to 31.5 10 Cincinnati over 24 Central Florida 31.5 to 31.5 54 California over 70 Oregon State 28.0 to 28.0 165 South Alabama over 141 Georgia State 28.0 to 28.0 171 South Florida over 150 Navy 28.0 to 28.0 134 Arkansas State over 148 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 35.0 109 Central Michigan over 120 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 31.5 62 San Diego State over 99 Fresno State 21.0 to 17.5 26 Wake Forest over 21 Miami - Florida 31.5 to 31.5
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