ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
62 Air Force over 135 Colorado State 38.5 to 21.0
86 Alabama - Birmingham over 195 Southern Mississippi 38.5 to 17.5
11 Iowa over 70 Nebraska 38.5 to 14.0
55 Liberty over 246 Massachusetts 59.5 to 17.5
24 Central Florida over 160 South Florida 49.0 to 24.5
1 Alabama over 16 Auburn 45.5 to 21.0
3 Clemson over 46 Pittsburgh 45.5 to 14.0
4 Florida over 49 Kentucky 42.0 to 21.0
2 Ohio State over 92 Illinois 49.0 to 17.5
15 Indiana over 97 Maryland 45.5 to 21.0
39 Texas Christian over 200 Kansas 38.5 to 14.0
57 Louisiana - Lafayette over 231 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 17.5
101 Ohio over 242 Bowling Green 45.5 to 17.5
26 Southern California over 81 Colorado 38.5 to 24.5
9 Cincinnati over 185 Temple 42.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
12 Oregon over 66 Oregon State 38.5 to 24.5
134 Miami - Ohio over 247 Akron 35.0 to 17.5
44 Boise State over 96 San Jose State 42.0 to 24.5
52 Southern Methodist over 136 East Carolina 42.0 to 31.5
34 Oklahoma State over 80 Texas Tech 35.0 to 24.5
7 Georgia over 75 South Carolina 35.0 to 17.5
33 Coastal Carolina over 148 Texas State - San Marcos 42.0 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
100 Wyoming over 178 Nevada - Las Vegas 31.5 to 17.5
71 Appalachian State over 127 Troy State 31.5 to 14.0
56 Buffalo over 105 Kent State 42.0 to 31.5
51 California - Los Angeles over 90 Arizona 42.0 to 31.5
104 Florida Atlantic over 167 Middle Tennessee State 28.0 to 17.5
118 Texas - San Antonio over 175 North Texas 42.0 to 28.0
36 Tulane over 88 Memphis 42.0 to 31.5
82 Western Michigan over 161 Northern Illinois 42.0 to 28.0
6 Oklahoma over 30 West Virginia 35.0 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
166 Utah State over 188 New Mexico 31.5 to 24.5
74 California over 76 Stanford 24.5 to 21.0
110 Central Michigan over 133 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 31.5
8 Notre Dame over 23 North Carolina 38.5 to 31.5
20 Texas over 19 Iowa State 35.0 to 31.5
18 Washington over 32 Washington State 35.0 to 28.0
13 Utah over 48 Arizona State 31.5 to 21.0
138 Arkansas State over 183 South Alabama 35.0 to 24.5
41 Baylor over 83 Kansas State 28.0 to 21.0
64 Boston College over 47 Louisville 28.0 to 28.0
116 Louisiana Tech over 174 Florida International 31.5 to 28.0
38 Virginia over 114 Florida State 31.5 to 28.0
107 Georgia Southern over 128 Georgia State 31.5 to 28.0
67 Duke over 131 Georgia Tech 31.5 to 28.0
63 Houston over 60 Tulsa 31.5 to 28.0
29 Michigan over 45 Penn State 35.0 to 28.0
21 Northwestern over 93 Michigan State 21.0 to 14.0
28 Mississippi over 59 Mississippi State 38.5 to 28.0
37 Missouri over 40 Arkansas 31.5 to 24.5
137 North Carolina - Charlot over 153 Western Kentucky 24.5 to 24.5
42 Purdue over 87 Rutgers 38.5 to 28.0
181 Rice over 197 Texas - El Paso 24.5 to 17.5
54 North Carolina State over 146 Syracuse 31.5 to 21.0
14 Texas A&M over 27 Louisiana State 38.5 to 31.5
115 Toledo over 125 Ball State 38.5 to 31.5
65 Tennessee over 123 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
68 San Diego State over 103 Fresno State 17.5 to 17.5
99 Nevada - Reno over 121 Hawaii 35.0 to 35.0
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