ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
45 Boise State over 207 Nevada - Las Vegas 45.5 to 21.0
1 Alabama over 47 Arkansas 49.0 to 21.0
145 Arkansas State over 239 Northeast Louisiana 45.5 to 28.0
7 Georgia over 136 Vanderbilt 42.0 to 7.0
12 Iowa over 96 Illinois 35.0 to 17.5
34 Marshall over 177 Rice 35.0 to 10.5
2 Ohio State over 85 Michigan State 45.5 to 17.5
23 North Carolina over 236 Western Carolina 59.5 to 21.0
8 Notre Dame over 137 Syracuse 42.0 to 7.0
6 Oklahoma over 46 Baylor 45.5 to 24.5
70 Texas Tech over 215 Kansas 52.5 to 24.5
146 Troy State over 239 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
1 Alabama over 29 Louisiana State 49.0 to 24.5
89 Wyoming over 195 New Mexico 31.5 to 17.5
77 San Diego State over 132 Colorado State 31.5 to 17.5
4 Florida over 66 Tennessee 42.0 to 24.5
10 Cincinnati over 62 Tulsa 31.5 to 17.5
15 Utah over 50 Oregon State 38.5 to 21.0
3 Clemson over 52 Virginia Tech 45.5 to 28.0
18 Washington over 81 Stanford 35.0 to 17.5
5 Wisconsin over 13 Indiana 31.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
115 Louisiana Tech over 185 North Texas 42.0 to 31.5
72 Air Force over 172 Utah State 35.0 to 21.0
14 Oregon over 90 California 31.5 to 17.5
99 Central Michigan over 124 Ball State 35.0 to 28.0
35 Michigan over 82 Maryland 38.5 to 24.5
38 Tulane over 102 Memphis 38.5 to 28.0
86 Western Michigan over 142 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
56 Appalachian State over 43 Louisiana - Lafayette 28.0 to 24.5
120 Toledo over 161 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
27 Southern California over 32 Washington State 38.5 to 35.0
196 Texas - El Paso over 192 Southern Mississippi 28.0 to 24.5
250 Akron over 245 Bowling Green 28.0 to 24.5
49 Arizona State over 42 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 31.5
9 Brigham Young over 28 Coastal Carolina 31.5 to 28.0
95 Duke over 110 Florida State 35.0 to 28.0
19 Iowa State over 33 West Virginia 28.0 to 21.0
21 Texas over 68 Kansas State 35.0 to 28.0
60 Kentucky over 87 South Carolina 28.0 to 21.0
29 Louisiana State over 26 Mississippi 45.5 to 38.5
67 Houston over 102 Memphis 35.0 to 35.0
25 Northwestern over 44 Minnesota 28.0 to 24.5
31 Missouri over 58 Mississippi State 24.5 to 21.0
31 Missouri over 47 Arkansas 31.5 to 21.0
105 Nevada - Reno over 101 Fresno State 28.0 to 28.0
141 North Carolina - Charlot over 169 Florida International 35.0 to 28.0
57 North Carolina State over 106 Georgia Tech 38.5 to 28.0
40 Buffalo over 103 Ohio 38.5 to 31.5
51 Purdue over 63 Nebraska 31.5 to 28.0
37 Penn State over 65 Rutgers 35.0 to 28.0
104 San Jose State over 127 Hawaii 35.0 to 31.5
146 Troy State over 171 South Alabama 21.0 to 21.0
39 Texas Christian over 36 Oklahoma State 28.0 to 21.0
41 Virginia over 48 Boston College 31.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
141 North Carolina - Charlot over 150 Western Kentucky 24.5 to 24.5
91 Arizona over 74 Colorado 31.5 to 31.5
17 Auburn over 11 Texas A&M 24.5 to 24.5
118 Georgia Southern over 98 Florida Atlantic 21.0 to 21.0
131 Miami - Ohio over 112 Kent State 38.5 to 35.0
73 Southern Methodist over 67 Houston 42.0 to 38.5
30 Wake Forest over 22 Miami - Florida 31.5 to 31.5
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