ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 1 Alabama over 38 Arkansas 52.5 to 21.0 127 Miami - Ohio over 253 Bowling Green 38.5 to 14.0 45 Buffalo over 241 Akron 49.0 to 10.5 9 Indiana over 67 Purdue 38.5 to 17.5 16 Texas over 208 Kansas 52.5 to 21.0 28 Northwestern over 91 Illinois 31.5 to 14.0 2 Ohio State over 36 Michigan 52.5 to 24.5 33 Texas Christian over 121 Louisiana Tech 38.5 to 17.5 80-90% chance of victory: 82 Marshall over 159 North Carolina - Charlot 35.0 to 14.0 70 Army over 150 Navy 28.0 to 10.5 13 Brigham Young over 80 San Diego State 31.5 to 10.5 134 Colorado State over 188 Utah State 38.5 to 28.0 4 Florida over 32 Louisiana State 45.5 to 24.5 133 Hawaii over 203 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 24.5 34 Penn State over 86 Michigan State 31.5 to 17.5 11 Texas A&M over 61 Tennessee 31.5 to 17.5 11 Texas A&M over 27 Mississippi 42.0 to 28.0 23 Coastal Carolina over 132 Troy State 31.5 to 17.5 6 Oklahoma over 41 West Virginia 35.0 to 24.5 70-80% chance of victory: 102 Fresno State over 192 New Mexico 35.0 to 21.0 12 Cincinnati over 56 Tulsa 28.0 to 17.5 61 Tennessee over 137 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 17.5 8 Notre Dame over 30 Wake Forest 38.5 to 28.0 60-70% chance of victory: 55 Pittsburgh over 105 Georgia Tech 31.5 to 24.5 136 Florida Atlantic over 193 Southern Mississippi 28.0 to 17.5 54 Arizona State over 90 Arizona 28.0 to 24.5 22 Utah over 51 Colorado 28.0 to 21.0 82 Marshall over 169 Florida International 31.5 to 17.5 85 San Jose State over 92 Nevada - Reno 31.5 to 28.0 144 Arkansas State over 226 Incarnate Word 49.0 to 38.5 93 Ball State over 104 Western Michigan 42.0 to 38.5 18 Southern California over 31 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 31.5 126 Eastern Michigan over 172 Northern Illinois 35.0 to 24.5 112 Florida State over 123 Duke 35.0 to 28.0 60 Appalachian State over 106 Georgia Southern 24.5 to 21.0 100 Ohio over 110 Kent State 38.5 to 38.5 30 Wake Forest over 57 Louisville 35.0 to 31.5 78 Maryland over 76 Rutgers 35.0 to 31.5 66 Houston over 101 Memphis 35.0 to 35.0 15 Miami - Florida over 29 North Carolina 38.5 to 28.0 20 Auburn over 53 Mississippi State 24.5 to 17.5 7 Georgia over 26 Missouri 31.5 to 24.5 43 Nebraska over 42 Minnesota 35.0 to 31.5 21 Oregon over 25 Washington 31.5 to 24.5 50 Oregon State over 49 Stanford 35.0 to 31.5 81 Alabama - Birmingham over 141 Rice 28.0 to 21.0 103 Toledo over 120 Central Michigan 35.0 to 28.0 40 Washington State over 65 California 31.5 to 24.5 44 Boise State over 97 Wyoming 28.0 to 24.5 50-60% chance of victory: 48 Baylor over 39 Oklahoma State 28.0 to 24.5 14 Iowa over 5 Wisconsin 21.0 to 21.0 191 North Texas over 198 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 31.5 64 Virginia Tech over 37 Virginia 31.5 to 31.5
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