ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 121 Troy State over 239 Northeast Louisiana 42.0 to 17.5 10 Indiana over 65 Purdue 38.5 to 21.0 9 Cincinnati over 59 Tulsa 31.5 to 14.0 4 Georgia over 147 Vanderbilt 45.5 to 7.0 80-90% chance of victory: 7 Iowa over 37 Michigan 35.0 to 21.0 1 Alabama over 8 Florida 49.0 to 28.0 2 Ohio State over 26 Northwestern 38.5 to 17.5 32 Penn State over 85 Illinois 35.0 to 17.5 11 Texas A&M over 49 Tennessee 31.5 to 21.0 35 Wake Forest over 93 Florida State 42.0 to 31.5 13 Wisconsin over 46 Minnesota 35.0 to 17.5 70-80% chance of victory: 39 Buffalo over 94 Ball State 42.0 to 31.5 21 Utah over 43 Washington State 35.0 to 24.5 60-70% chance of victory: 77 Marshall over 87 Alabama - Birmingham 24.5 to 14.0 18 Southern California over 22 Oregon 35.0 to 28.0 34 California - Los Angeles over 48 Stanford 35.0 to 28.0 28 Coastal Carolina over 50 Louisiana - Lafayette 35.0 to 24.5 31 Louisiana State over 30 Mississippi 42.0 to 35.0 74 Maryland over 97 Michigan State 31.5 to 24.5 3 Clemson over 5 Notre Dame 35.0 to 28.0 6 Oklahoma over 14 Iowa State 38.5 to 31.5 47 Boise State over 81 San Jose State 35.0 to 28.0 68 Southern Methodist over 113 Texas - San Antonio 38.5 to 31.5 22 Oregon over 52 Colorado 35.0 to 28.0 18 Southern California over 22 Oregon 35.0 to 28.0 50-60% chance of victory: 57 Nebraska over 64 Rutgers 28.0 to 28.0 58 Air Force over 82 Army 21.0 to 17.5 38 Missouri over 56 Mississippi State 24.5 to 24.5 33 Arizona State over 53 Oregon State 31.5 to 31.5
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