ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 80-90% chance of victory: 70-80% chance of victory: 11 Oklahoma over 211 Missouri State 66.5 to 24.5 21 Texas over 227 Texas - El Paso 56.0 to 10.5 54 Texas Tech over 252 Houston Baptist 66.5 to 24.5 60-70% chance of victory: 64 Miami - Florida over 88 Alabama - Birmingham 42.0 to 31.5 29 Appalachian State over 142 North Carolina - Charlot 49.0 to 24.5 27 Army over 140 Northeast Louisiana 45.5 to 21.0 60 Florida State over 114 Georgia Tech 42.0 to 28.0 105 Georgia Southern over 206 Campbell 42.0 to 28.0 24 Iowa State over 51 Louisiana - Lafayette 42.0 to 31.5 108 Kansas over 148 Coastal Carolina 42.0 to 35.0 31 Kansas State over 104 Arkansas State 42.0 to 21.0 74 Louisville over 99 Western Kentucky 42.0 to 35.0 34 North Carolina over 72 Syracuse 45.5 to 35.0 14 Notre Dame over 59 Duke 45.5 to 24.5 33 Oklahoma State over 97 Tulsa 49.0 to 31.5 62 Pittsburgh over 174 Austin Peay 35.0 to 17.5 55 Tulane over 117 South Alabama 35.0 to 28.0 2 Clemson over 52 Wake Forest 52.5 to 24.5 57 West Virginia over 253 Eastern Kentucky 49.0 to 14.0 50-60% chance of victory: 121 South Florida over 154 The Citadel 38.5 to 31.5 181 Texas State - San Marcos over 186 Texas - San Antonio 31.5 to 28.0
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