ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 60 Appalachian State over 183 North Texas 45.5 to 21.0 1 Alabama over 8 Notre Dame 42.0 to 21.0 70-80% chance of victory: 39 Tulane over 94 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 28.0 73 Houston over 126 Hawaii 42.0 to 31.5 50 Louisiana - Lafayette over 115 Texas - San Antonio 35.0 to 24.5 14 Texas over 62 Colorado 42.0 to 28.0 7 Iowa over 44 Missouri 35.0 to 21.0 60-70% chance of victory: 12 Brigham Young over 26 Central Florida 38.5 to 35.0 109 Georgia Southern over 135 Louisiana Tech 31.5 to 24.5 93 Memphis over 147 Florida Atlantic 24.5 to 21.0 46 Buffalo over 103 Marshall 31.5 to 24.5 33 Coastal Carolina over 68 Liberty 31.5 to 28.0 75 Alabama - Birmingham over 92 South Carolina 28.0 to 24.5 149 Western Kentucky over 134 Georgia State 28.0 to 24.5 25 Miami - Florida over 31 Oklahoma State 28.0 to 28.0 15 Wisconsin over 36 Wake Forest 31.5 to 24.5 59 San Jose State over 82 Ball State 31.5 to 28.0 28 Texas Christian over 53 Arkansas 35.0 to 24.5 42 West Virginia over 85 Army 21.0 to 14.0 4 Georgia over 10 Cincinnati 28.0 to 21.0 16 Auburn over 24 Northwestern 21.0 to 17.5 2 Clemson over 3 Ohio State 38.5 to 35.0 13 Indiana over 30 Mississippi 38.5 to 35.0 47 Kentucky over 66 North Carolina State 28.0 to 24.5 11 Iowa State over 23 Oregon 31.5 to 24.5 9 Texas A&M over 18 North Carolina 35.0 to 31.5 50-60% chance of victory: 6 Oklahoma over 5 Florida 38.5 to 38.5 43 Mississippi State over 41 Tulsa 21.0 to 21.0
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