Division IA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 1 7.23 13.0-1.0 5.8-8.2 IA SEC Georgia 2 2 7.47 13.0-1.0 5.5-8.5 IA SEC Alabama 3 3 6.51 12.0-2.0 5.5-8.5 IA Big_12 Oklahoma State 4 2 6.36 12.0-2.0 5.6-8.4 IA Big_Ten Michigan 5 3 5.94 11.0-2.0 5.1-7.9 IA Big_Ten Michigan State 6 3 5.86 12.0-2.0 6.1-7.9 IA Big_12 Baylor 7 4 5.84 13.0-1.0 7.2-6.8 IA Amer_Athl Cincinnati 8 6 5.55 11.0-2.0 5.4-7.6 IA Big_Ten Ohio State 9 3 5.43 11.0-2.0 5.6-7.4 IA Big_12 Oklahoma 10 6 5.41 11.0-2.0 5.6-7.4 IA Indep Notre Dame 11 4 4.66 10.0-3.0 5.3-7.7 IA SEC Mississippi 12 5 4.54 13.0-1.0 8.5-5.5 IA Sun_Belt Louisiana - Lafayette 13 4 4.42 11.0-3.0 6.6-7.4 IA ACC Wake Forest 14 7 4.40 10.0-3.0 5.6-7.4 IA ACC Clemson 15 5 4.38 10.0-4.0 5.6-8.4 IA PAC_12 Oregon 16 5 4.33 11.0-3.0 6.7-7.3 IA ACC Pittsburgh 17 5 4.30 10.0-4.0 5.7-8.3 IA PAC_12 Utah 18 5 4.23 10.0-4.0 5.8-8.2 IA Big_Ten Iowa 19 7 3.94 12.0-2.0 8.1-5.9 IA MWC San Diego State 20 8 3.77 12.0-2.0 8.2-5.8 IA Amer_Athl Houston 21 6 3.71 10.0-3.0 6.3-6.7 IA SEC Kentucky 22 6 3.67 9.0-3.0 5.3-6.7 IA ACC North Carolina State 23 6 3.62 9.0-4.0 5.4-7.6 IA SEC Arkansas 24 6 3.54 9.0-4.0 5.5-7.5 IA Big_Ten Purdue 25 11 3.53 10.0-3.0 6.5-6.5 IA Indep Brigham Young 26 6 3.50 9.0-4.0 5.5-7.5 IA Big_Ten Wisconsin 27 9 3.01 11.0-3.0 8.0-6.0 IA MWC Utah State 28 8 2.81 12.0-2.0 9.2-4.8 IA CUSA Texas - San Antonio 29 9 2.74 9.0-4.0 6.3-6.7 IA Big_Ten Minnesota 30 6 2.60 8.0-4.0 5.4-6.6 IA PAC_12 California - Los Angeles 31 11 2.56 8.0-5.0 5.4-7.6 IA Big_12 Kansas State 32 10 2.42 10.0-3.0 7.6-5.4 IA MWC Air Force 33 8 2.23 8.0-4.0 5.8-6.2 IA SEC Texas A&M 34 9 2.18 10.0-4.0 7.8-6.2 IA Sun_Belt Appalachian State 35 8 2.12 10.0-3.0 7.9-5.1 IA MWC Fresno State 36 8 2.04 7.0-6.0 5.0-8.0 IA Big_Ten Penn State 37 9 1.86 11.0-2.0 9.1-3.9 IA Sun_Belt Coastal Carolina 38 9 1.85 7.0-6.0 5.1-7.9 IA Big_12 Iowa State 39 8 1.76 7.0-5.0 5.2-6.8 IA ACC Miami - Florida 40 10 1.75 8.0-5.0 6.3-6.7 IA PAC_12 Arizona State 41 13 1.66 9.0-4.0 7.3-5.7 IA Amer_Athl Central Florida 42 17 1.44 7.0-6.0 5.6-7.4 IA Big_12 Texas Tech 43 8 1.43 8.0-4.0 6.6-5.4 IA Amer_Athl Southern Methodist 44 8 1.37 7.0-6.0 5.6-7.4 IA SEC Mississippi State 45 12 1.36 9.0-4.0 7.6-5.4 IA Indep Army 46 19 1.35 9.0-4.0 7.6-5.4 IA CUSA Alabama - Birmingham 47 21 1.33 7.0-6.0 5.7-7.3 IA SEC South Carolina 48 13 1.32 9.0-4.0 7.7-5.3 IA MAC Central Michigan 49 12 1.08 7.0-6.0 5.9-7.1 IA PAC_12 Oregon State 50 18 1.05 7.0-6.0 6.0-7.0 IA Big_Ten Maryland 51 13 0.93 7.0-6.0 6.1-6.9 IA PAC_12 Washington State 52 12 0.92 9.0-5.0 8.1-5.9 IA MAC Northern Illinois 53 10 0.91 7.0-6.0 6.1-6.9 IA SEC Tennessee 54 10 0.91 7.0-5.0 6.1-5.9 IA MWC Boise State 55 12 0.86 6.0-7.0 5.1-7.9 IA SEC Louisiana State 56 12 0.85 6.0-6.0 5.1-6.9 IA ACC Virginia 57 12 0.80 8.0-5.0 7.2-5.8 IA MWC Nevada - Reno 58 12 0.77 6.0-7.0 5.2-7.8 IA SEC Auburn 59 13 0.75 7.0-5.0 6.3-5.7 IA Amer_Athl East Carolina 60 15 0.53 8.0-5.0 7.5-5.5 IA MAC Western Michigan 61 15 0.52 6.0-7.0 5.5-7.5 IA Big_12 West Virginia 62 11 0.47 8.0-5.0 7.5-5.5 IA Sun_Belt Georgia State 63 11 0.43 7.0-6.0 6.6-6.4 IA Amer_Athl Tulsa 64 13 0.40 6.0-7.0 5.6-7.4 IA ACC Louisville 65 11 0.32 6.0-7.0 5.7-7.3 IA SEC Florida 66 12 0.30 8.0-5.0 7.7-5.3 IA CUSA Western Kentucky 67 13 0.20 6.0-7.0 5.8-7.2 IA ACC North Carolina 68 11 0.18 5.0-7.0 4.8-7.2 IA Big_12 Texas Christian 69 11 0.04 6.0-7.0 6.0-7.0 IA ACC Virginia Tech 70 9 0.02 5.0-7.0 5.0-7.0 IA Big_12 Texas 71 9 -0.00 5.0-7.0 5.0-7.0 IA ACC Florida State 72 9 -0.02 8.0-5.0 8.0-5.0 IA Indep Liberty 73 10 -0.04 6.0-7.0 6.0-7.0 IA SEC Missouri 74 9 -0.06 5.0-7.0 5.1-6.9 IA ACC Syracuse 75 9 -0.12 6.0-6.0 6.1-5.9 IA ACC Boston College 76 12 -0.52 5.0-7.0 5.5-6.5 IA PAC_12 California 77 12 -0.54 5.0-7.0 5.5-6.5 IA Big_Ten Illinois 78 13 -0.57 5.0-8.0 5.6-7.4 IA Big_Ten Rutgers 79 14 -0.72 7.0-6.0 7.7-5.3 IA MWC Wyoming 80 15 -0.75 6.0-6.0 6.7-5.3 IA Amer_Athl Memphis 81 16 -0.89 7.0-6.0 7.9-5.1 IA CUSA Middle Tennessee State 82 12 -0.99 4.0-8.0 5.0-7.0 IA PAC_12 Colorado 83 13 -1.01 7.0-6.0 8.0-5.0 IA MAC Miami - Ohio 84 16 -1.02 7.0-6.0 8.0-5.0 IA MAC Eastern Michigan 85 12 -1.03 7.0-6.0 8.0-5.0 IA CUSA Marshall 86 17 -1.15 7.0-7.0 8.1-5.9 IA MAC Kent State 87 11 -1.24 4.0-8.0 5.2-6.8 IA PAC_12 Southern California 88 11 -1.47 4.0-8.0 5.5-6.5 IA Amer_Athl Navy 89 15 -1.50 7.0-6.0 8.5-4.5 IA MAC Toledo 90 12 -1.56 4.0-8.0 5.6-6.4 IA PAC_12 Washington 91 12 -1.57 3.0-9.0 4.6-7.4 IA PAC_12 Stanford 92 14 -1.59 6.0-7.0 7.6-5.4 IA MAC Ball State 93 13 -1.61 3.0-9.0 4.6-7.4 IA ACC Georgia Tech 94 13 -1.65 3.0-9.0 4.6-7.4 IA Big_Ten Nebraska 95 13 -1.66 7.0-6.0 8.7-4.3 IA CUSA Texas - El Paso 96 13 -1.79 6.0-7.0 7.8-5.2 IA MWC Hawaii 97 14 -1.94 5.0-7.0 6.9-5.1 IA CUSA Florida Atlantic 98 15 -1.98 6.0-7.0 8.0-5.0 IA CUSA Old Dominion 99 10 -2.11 5.0-7.0 7.1-4.9 IA MWC San Jose State 100 12 -2.35 2.0-*** 4.3-7.7 IA Big_Ten Indiana 101 11 -2.39 5.0-7.0 7.4-4.6 IA Sun_Belt Troy State 102 14 -2.46 6.0-7.0 8.5-4.5 IA CUSA North Texas 103 12 -2.54 3.0-9.0 5.5-6.5 IA Big_Ten Northwestern 104 14 -2.58 4.0-8.0 6.6-5.4 IA Sun_Belt Northeast Louisiana 105 16 -2.69 2.0-*** 4.7-7.3 IA Big_12 Kansas 106 14 -2.75 3.0-9.0 5.8-6.2 IA ACC Duke 107 13 -2.78 5.0-7.0 7.8-4.2 IA Sun_Belt South Alabama 108 13 -2.98 5.0-7.0 8.0-4.0 IA CUSA North Carolina - Charlot 109 14 -3.21 4.0-8.0 7.2-4.8 IA CUSA Rice 110 13 -3.43 3.0-9.0 6.4-5.6 IA MWC Colorado State 111 13 -3.43 2.0-*** 5.4-6.6 IA SEC Vanderbilt 112 13 -3.44 2.0-*** 5.4-6.6 IA Amer_Athl South Florida 113 12 -3.50 4.0-8.0 7.5-4.5 IA MAC Bowling Green 114 13 -3.57 4.0-8.0 7.6-4.4 IA Sun_Belt Texas State - San Marcos 115 12 -3.57 2.0-*** 5.6-6.4 IA Amer_Athl Tulane 116 12 -3.62 3.0-9.0 6.6-5.4 IA MWC New Mexico 117 9 -3.66 3.0-9.0 6.7-5.3 IA Amer_Athl Temple 118 9 -3.78 4.0-8.0 7.8-4.2 IA MAC Buffalo 119 8 -3.87 1.0-*** 4.9-7.1 IA PAC_12 Arizona 120 8 -3.91 3.0-9.0 6.9-5.1 IA Sun_Belt Georgia Southern 121 8 -4.06 2.0-*** 6.1-5.9 IA MWC Nevada - Las Vegas 122 7 -4.31 3.0-9.0 7.3-4.7 IA CUSA Louisiana Tech 123 7 -4.50 3.0-9.0 7.5-4.5 IA MAC Ohio 124 8 -4.77 2.0-*** 6.8-5.2 IA Sun_Belt Arkansas State 125 9 -4.89 3.0-9.0 7.9-4.1 IA CUSA Southern Mississippi 126 8 -4.94 2.0-*** 6.9-5.1 IA Indep New Mexico State 127 7 -4.96 2.0-*** 7.0-5.0 IA MAC Akron 128 8 -5.17 1.0-*** 6.2-5.8 IA Indep Connecticut 129 5 -5.46 1.0-*** 6.5-5.5 IA Indep Massachusetts 130 2 -6.70 1.0-*** 7.7-4.3 IA CUSA Florida International
Division IAA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 5 6.03 13.0-1.0 7.0-7.0 IAA Missouri_V North Dakota State 2 4 5.05 12.0-2.0 7.0-7.0 IAA Colonial James Madison 3 9 3.83 12.0-2.0 8.2-5.8 IAA Big_Sky Montana State 4 7 3.59 9.0-1.0 5.4-4.6 IAA Ivy Dartmouth 5 7 3.54 9.0-1.0 5.5-4.5 IAA Ivy Princeton 6 7 3.54 10.0-3.0 6.5-6.5 IAA Colonial Villanova 7 11 3.17 10.0-4.0 6.8-7.2 IAA Missouri_V South Dakota State 8 7 2.89 10.0-2.0 7.1-4.9 IAA Southern East Tennessee State 9 10 2.69 11.0-1.0 8.3-3.7 IAA WAC Sam Houston State 10 7 2.67 8.0-2.0 5.3-4.7 IAA Ivy Harvard 11 8 2.60 10.0-2.0 7.4-4.6 IAA Patriot Holy Cross 12 11 2.46 10.0-3.0 7.5-5.5 IAA Big_Sky Montana 13 10 2.45 10.0-2.0 7.5-4.5 IAA Big_South Kennesaw State 14 12 2.16 9.0-3.0 6.8-5.2 IAA Big_Sky Eastern Washington 15 11 2.06 10.0-2.0 7.9-4.1 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee - Martin 16 13 1.93 8.0-4.0 6.1-5.9 IAA Missouri_V Missouri State 17 11 1.77 8.0-5.0 6.2-6.8 IAA Missouri_V Southern Illinois 18 13 1.63 9.0-3.0 7.4-4.6 IAA Big_Sky Sacramento State 19 10 1.59 7.0-3.0 5.4-4.6 IAA Ivy Columbia 20 17 1.17 10.0-3.0 8.8-4.2 IAA Southland Incarnate Word 21 14 0.92 6.0-3.0 5.1-3.9 IAA Southern Mercer 22 18 0.88 8.0-4.0 7.1-4.9 IAA Big_Sky California - Davis 23 19 0.76 6.0-6.0 5.2-6.8 IAA Missouri_V Northern Iowa 24 19 0.76 10.0-2.0 9.2-2.8 IAA SWAC Jackson State 25 15 0.75 6.0-5.0 5.3-5.7 IAA Colonial Elon 26 16 0.57 6.0-5.0 5.4-5.6 IAA Colonial William & Mary 27 16 0.57 7.0-4.0 6.4-4.6 IAA Colonial Rhode Island 28 18 0.48 7.0-5.0 6.5-5.5 IAA Missouri_V South Dakota 29 21 0.42 9.0-4.0 8.6-4.4 IAA Southland Southeast Louisiana 30 18 0.42 7.0-4.0 6.6-4.4 IAA Big_South Monmouth 31 13 0.21 6.0-5.0 5.8-5.2 IAA Colonial Richmond 32 10 0.00 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0 IAA NE Merrimack 33 17 -0.19 8.0-3.0 8.2-2.8 IAA SWAC Florida A&M 34 18 -0.21 6.0-5.0 6.2-4.8 IAA Big_Sky Weber State 35 15 -0.31 6.0-3.0 6.3-2.7 IAA NE Duquesne 36 20 -0.33 7.0-4.0 7.3-3.7 IAA WAC Eastern Kentucky 37 21 -0.45 7.0-3.0 7.5-2.5 IAA Pioneer Davidson 38 14 -0.48 5.0-5.0 5.5-4.5 IAA Ivy Yale 39 20 -0.52 5.0-6.0 5.5-5.5 IAA Missouri_V Indiana State 40 19 -0.53 7.0-4.0 7.5-3.5 IAA NE Sacred Heart 41 14 -0.54 5.0-5.0 5.5-4.5 IAA Colonial Maine 42 24 -0.55 7.0-4.0 7.5-3.5 IAA WAC Stephen F. Austin 43 20 -0.59 6.0-3.0 6.6-2.4 IAA Pioneer Saint Thomas - Minnesota 44 17 -0.63 5.0-6.0 5.6-5.4 IAA Colonial Stony Brook 45 17 -0.65 6.0-5.0 6.6-4.4 IAA Southern Furman 46 18 -0.68 5.0-6.0 5.7-5.3 IAA Colonial Delaware 47 17 -0.73 5.0-6.0 5.7-5.3 IAA Missouri_V North Dakota 48 18 -0.78 6.0-5.0 6.8-4.2 IAA Southern Virginia Military 49 17 -0.85 6.0-5.0 6.9-4.1 IAA Southern Tennessee - Chattanooga 50 18 -0.96 6.0-4.0 7.0-3.0 IAA Pioneer Morehead State 51 17 -0.97 6.0-3.0 7.0-2.0 IAA SWAC Alabama A&M 52 24 -1.05 7.0-4.0 8.0-3.0 IAA Pioneer San Diego 53 13 -1.06 6.0-5.0 7.1-3.9 IAA Patriot Fordham 54 19 -1.13 6.0-5.0 7.1-3.9 IAA Southland Nicholls State 55 16 -1.19 4.0-7.0 5.2-5.8 IAA Colonial Towson 56 18 -1.27 7.0-5.0 8.3-3.7 IAA MEAC South Carolina State 57 16 -1.27 6.0-4.0 7.3-2.7 IAA NE Bryant 58 17 -1.43 6.0-5.0 7.4-3.6 IAA Ohio_V Austin Peay 59 16 -1.61 3.0-7.0 4.6-5.4 IAA Missouri_V Youngstown State 60 19 -1.63 5.0-6.0 6.6-4.4 IAA WAC Jacksonville State 61 16 -1.67 6.0-4.0 7.7-2.3 IAA Pioneer Dayton 62 14 -1.69 5.0-5.0 6.7-3.3 IAA Ohio_V Murray State 63 15 -1.70 4.0-6.0 5.7-4.3 IAA Big_Sky Portland State 64 15 -1.85 4.0-7.0 5.8-5.2 IAA Missouri_V Illinois State 65 16 -1.87 6.0-5.0 7.9-3.1 IAA SWAC Prairie View 66 15 -1.91 5.0-5.0 6.9-3.1 IAA MEAC Norfolk State 67 17 -1.98 5.0-6.0 7.0-4.0 IAA Big_South North Carolina A&T 68 17 -1.98 3.0-8.0 5.0-6.0 IAA Colonial New Hampshire 69 14 -2.01 5.0-6.0 7.0-4.0 IAA Patriot Colgate 70 15 -2.04 4.0-6.0 6.0-4.0 IAA Big_South Charleston Southern 71 20 -2.09 5.0-6.0 7.1-3.9 IAA Big_Sky Northern Arizona 72 14 -2.27 5.0-5.0 7.3-2.7 IAA MEAC North Carolina Central 73 16 -2.34 4.0-6.0 6.3-3.7 IAA Big_South Robert Morris 74 17 -2.34 3.0-7.0 5.3-4.7 IAA Big_Sky Idaho 75 18 -2.39 4.0-6.0 6.4-3.6 IAA Southland McNeese State 76 17 -2.49 4.0-6.0 6.5-3.5 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee State 77 13 -2.52 3.0-7.0 5.5-4.5 IAA Ivy Pennsylvania 78 18 -2.53 6.0-5.0 8.5-2.5 IAA SWAC Alcorn State 79 16 -2.57 3.0-6.0 5.6-3.4 IAA NE Central Connecticut 80 17 -2.58 4.0-7.0 6.6-4.4 IAA Southern Western Carolina 81 21 -2.68 4.0-6.0 6.7-3.3 IAA Pioneer Valparaiso 82 21 -2.79 5.0-5.0 7.8-2.2 IAA Pioneer Marist 83 19 -2.80 4.0-7.0 6.8-4.2 IAA Southern Samford 84 22 -2.82 3.0-5.0 5.8-2.2 IAA WAC Tarleton State 85 17 -2.85 4.0-6.0 6.9-3.1 IAA Big_South Hampton 86 18 -2.89 3.0-7.0 5.9-4.1 IAA Southern The Citadel 87 19 -2.92 4.0-6.0 6.9-3.1 IAA NE Saint Francis - Pennsylv 88 19 -3.00 4.0-7.0 7.0-4.0 IAA Ohio_V Southeast Missouri State 89 26 -3.00 4.0-6.0 7.0-3.0 IAA WAC Central Arkansas 90 19 -3.02 2.0-8.0 5.0-5.0 IAA Ivy Brown 91 24 -3.05 3.0-6.0 6.1-2.9 IAA WAC Abilene Christian 92 15 -3.09 4.0-5.0 7.1-1.9 IAA MEAC Delaware State 93 20 -3.10 2.0-9.0 5.1-5.9 IAA Missouri_V Western Illinois 94 17 -3.17 3.0-6.0 6.2-2.8 IAA SWAC Alabama State 95 19 -3.27 4.0-6.0 7.3-2.7 IAA SWAC Mississippi Valley State 96 16 -3.28 2.0-8.0 5.3-4.7 IAA Ivy Cornell 97 19 -3.28 3.0-8.0 6.3-4.7 IAA Big_Sky Northern Colorado 98 18 -3.29 3.0-8.0 6.3-4.7 IAA Patriot Lehigh 99 16 -3.30 3.0-7.0 6.3-3.7 IAA Big_South Gardner - Webb 100 16 -3.39 3.0-8.0 6.4-4.6 IAA Patriot Lafayette 101 17 -3.50 3.0-8.0 6.5-4.5 IAA Big_South North Alabama 102 14 -3.51 3.0-8.0 6.5-4.5 IAA Big_South Campbell 103 15 -3.60 2.0-9.0 5.6-5.4 IAA Big_Sky California Poly 104 13 -3.61 2.0-9.0 5.6-5.4 IAA Colonial Albany 105 12 -3.70 2.0-7.0 5.7-3.3 IAA NE Long Island 106 9 -3.96 4.0-7.0 8.0-3.0 IAA SWAC Grambling 107 7 -4.32 3.0-8.0 7.3-3.7 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee Tech 108 7 -4.43 2.0-7.0 6.4-2.6 IAA SWAC Texas Southern 109 10 -4.48 3.0-8.0 7.5-3.5 IAA Southland Northwestern State 110 10 -4.58 1.0-7.0 5.6-2.4 IAA Pioneer Stetson 111 9 -4.68 3.0-7.0 7.7-2.3 IAA SWAC Southern 112 9 -4.74 2.0-8.0 6.7-3.3 IAA Patriot Georgetown 113 12 -4.88 0.0-*** 4.9-5.1 IAA WAC Dixie State 114 12 -4.92 1.0-8.0 5.9-3.1 IAA Pioneer Drake 115 9 -4.95 3.0-8.0 7.9-3.1 IAA MEAC Howard 116 11 -5.01 1.0-*** 6.0-5.0 IAA Big_Sky Idaho State 117 10 -5.08 1.0-*** 6.1-4.9 IAA Southern Wofford 118 11 -5.25 1.0-8.0 6.2-2.8 IAA Pioneer Butler 119 10 -5.29 1.0-*** 6.3-4.7 IAA Big_Sky Southern Utah 120 9 -5.39 2.0-9.0 7.4-3.6 IAA MEAC Morgan State 121 5 -5.56 1.0-*** 6.6-4.4 IAA Patriot Bucknell 122 6 -5.57 2.0-9.0 7.6-3.4 IAA SWAC Bethune - Cookman 123 8 -5.69 1.0-9.0 6.7-3.3 IAA WAC Lamar 124 4 -5.90 1.0-9.0 6.9-3.1 IAA SWAC Arkansas - Pine Bluff 125 4 -6.20 1.0-*** 7.2-3.8 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Illinois 126 3 -6.51 0.0-9.0 6.5-2.5 IAA Pioneer Presbyterian 127 3 -6.59 0.0-*** 6.6-3.4 IAA NE Wagner 128 2-10.95 0.0-*** 10.9-5.1 IAA Southland Houston Baptist
KEY:
rnk - rank based on how may games the given team has won divided by
the average number of wins other teams would get playing that
schedule using the Bassett Football Model
u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places)
scr - Stephenson earned rank score: the actual wins of a team
subtracted by the average simulated wins of all teams if they
had played that team's schedule (as simulated by the model)
act w-l - actual win-loss record
sim w-l - simulated win-loss record of all teams if playing that schedule
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