ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
80-90% chance of victory:
1 Alabama over 196 Mercer 70.0 to 14.0
58 Purdue over 240 Connecticut 45.5 to 17.5
4 Oklahoma over 231 Western Carolina 66.5 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
16 Auburn over 229 Alabama State 52.5 to 10.5
47 Baylor over 257 Texas Southern 59.5 to 14.0
30 Central Florida over 214 Bethune - Cookman 52.5 to 21.0
3 Clemson over 168 South Carolina State 49.0 to 10.5
77 Maryland over 255 Howard 52.5 to 17.5
53 Boston College over 249 Massachusetts 56.0 to 17.5
26 North Dakota State over 251 Valparaiso 56.0 to 7.0
40 Virginia over 137 Illinois 45.5 to 21.0
38 West Virginia over 254 Long Island 49.0 to 10.5
60-70% chance of victory:
44 Boise State over 83 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 21.0
42 Coastal Carolina over 166 Kansas 42.0 to 21.0
158 Temple over 243 Akron 31.5 to 17.5
116 Albany over 153 Rhode Island 35.0 to 28.0
223 Alcorn State over 228 Northwestern State 35.0 to 24.5
72 San Diego State over 122 Arizona 28.0 to 21.0
27 Arizona State over 182 Nevada - Las Vegas 49.0 to 17.5
11 Texas over 61 Arkansas 42.0 to 31.5
91 Memphis over 124 Arkansas State 38.5 to 35.0
65 Army over 139 Western Kentucky 31.5 to 14.0
174 South Alabama over 250 Bowling Green 31.5 to 17.5
184 Sacred Heart over 233 Bryant 31.5 to 24.5
115 Elon over 208 Campbell 35.0 to 21.0
108 Central Michigan over 212 Robert Morris 38.5 to 28.0
14 Cincinnati over 193 Murray State 49.0 to 14.0
135 Stony Brook over 211 Colgate 28.0 to 17.5
130 Colorado State over 152 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 28.0
173 Dayton over 234 Eastern Illinois 42.0 to 28.0
138 Delaware over 188 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 17.5
200 Georgetown over 247 Delaware State 35.0 to 21.0
90 Weber State over 248 Dixie State 59.5 to 38.5
81 South Carolina over 127 East Carolina 38.5 to 31.5
157 Florida International over 149 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 28.0
85 Florida State over 164 Jacksonville State 38.5 to 21.0
125 Monmouth over 205 Fordham 38.5 to 31.5
36 Fresno State over 170 California Poly 42.0 to 17.5
5 Georgia over 86 Alabama - Birmingham 38.5 to 10.5
89 Kennesaw State over 111 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 31.5
177 Houston Baptist over 227 Northern Colorado 42.0 to 31.5
160 Prairie View over 220 Incarnate Word 45.5 to 35.0
23 Indiana over 156 Idaho 42.0 to 17.5
17 James Madison over 112 Maine 45.5 to 21.0
63 Kansas State over 119 Southern Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
118 Kent State over 217 Virginia Military 49.0 to 35.0
55 Louisiana - Lafayette over 165 Nicholls State 38.5 to 21.0
19 Louisiana State over 185 McNeese State 49.0 to 17.5
50 Louisville over 176 Eastern Kentucky 42.0 to 21.0
74 Marshall over 202 North Carolina Central 28.0 to 10.5
32 Miami - Florida over 52 Appalachian State 31.5 to 24.5
29 Michigan over 31 Washington 31.5 to 24.5
73 Michigan State over 128 Youngstown State 31.5 to 28.0
35 Minnesota over 131 Miami - Ohio 42.0 to 21.0
25 Mississippi over 180 Austin Peay 45.5 to 21.0
45 Mississippi State over 62 North Carolina State 31.5 to 24.5
123 Central Arkansas over 204 Missouri State 35.0 to 28.0
66 Montana over 207 Western Illinois 42.0 to 21.0
78 Montana State over 201 Drake 38.5 to 21.0
64 Air Force over 159 Navy 31.5 to 17.5
8 Texas A&M over 82 Colorado 38.5 to 21.0
43 Buffalo over 97 Nebraska 35.0 to 28.0
93 Nevada - Reno over 199 Idaho State 42.0 to 24.5
167 New Mexico over 226 New Mexico State 31.5 to 21.0
24 North Carolina over 132 Georgia State 49.0 to 24.5
147 North Carolina - Charlot over 232 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 24.5
96 Wyoming over 154 Northern Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
34 Northwestern over 197 Indiana State 38.5 to 14.0
6 Notre Dame over 95 Toledo 45.5 to 17.5
219 Tennessee State over 239 Jackson State 31.5 to 28.0
107 Ohio over 206 Duquesne 35.0 to 21.0
2 Ohio State over 22 Oregon 49.0 to 24.5
28 Oklahoma State over 60 Tulsa 31.5 to 21.0
59 Oregon State over 120 Hawaii 42.0 to 31.5
20 Penn State over 69 Ball State 38.5 to 21.0
92 Houston over 146 Rice 31.5 to 24.5
142 Richmond over 225 Lehigh 35.0 to 17.5
148 South Dakota over 169 Northern Arizona 42.0 to 35.0
21 Southern California over 51 Stanford 38.5 to 24.5
56 Southern Methodist over 181 North Texas 56.0 to 31.5
183 Grambling over 190 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 28.0
9 Florida over 163 South Florida 49.0 to 21.0
140 Tennessee - Martin over 162 Samford 38.5 to 35.0
110 Furman over 216 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 24.5
33 Texas Christian over 71 California 31.5 to 17.5
126 Texas - San Antonio over 245 Lamar 42.0 to 21.0
76 Texas Tech over 192 Stephen F. Austin 42.0 to 17.5
48 Tulane over 238 Morgan State 45.5 to 14.0
88 Villanova over 235 Bucknell 45.5 to 14.0
54 Virginia Tech over 178 Middle Tennessee State 45.5 to 21.0
129 Central Connecticut over 241 Wagner 38.5 to 21.0
37 Wake Forest over 215 Norfolk State 49.0 to 21.0
46 Washington State over 172 Portland State 49.0 to 28.0
150 William & Mary over 218 Lafayette 28.0 to 17.5
12 Wisconsin over 114 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 14.0
50-60% chance of victory:
98 North Carolina A&T over 101 Duke 31.5 to 31.5
151 Utah State over 145 North Dakota 28.0 to 28.0
13 Brigham Young over 18 Utah 28.0 to 24.5
99 Georgia Southern over 134 Florida Atlantic 21.0 to 21.0
15 Iowa State over 7 Iowa 24.5 to 24.5
39 Kentucky over 41 Missouri 28.0 to 24.5
136 Louisiana Tech over 141 Southeast Louisiana 35.0 to 35.0
117 New Hampshire over 87 Towson 24.5 to 24.5
161 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 210 North Alabama 31.5 to 28.0
203 Old Dominion over 221 Hampton 31.5 to 31.5
105 Northern Iowa over 102 Sacramento State 24.5 to 21.0
171 Sam Houston State over 144 Southeast Missouri State 28.0 to 28.0
133 San Diego over 100 California - Davis 35.0 to 31.5
80 Rutgers over 109 Syracuse 28.0 to 28.0
57 Tennessee over 49 Pittsburgh 24.5 to 24.5
191 The Citadel over 194 Charleston Southern 28.0 to 28.0
68 Liberty over 106 Troy State 31.5 to 28.0
121 Illinois State over 104 Western Michigan 31.5 to 28.0
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