ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
23 Fresno State over 202 Nevada - Las Vegas 49.0 to 14.0
1 Alabama over 193 Southern Mississippi 63.0 to 3.5
17 Auburn over 161 Georgia State 49.0 to 14.0
22 Brigham Young over 167 South Florida 45.5 to 10.5
43 Coastal Carolina over 237 Massachusetts 59.5 to 14.0
84 Wyoming over 242 Connecticut 42.0 to 10.5
71 Houston over 171 Navy 38.5 to 17.5
5 Iowa over 126 Colorado State 42.0 to 10.5
29 Minnesota over 234 Bowling Green 49.0 to 7.0
54 Montana over 195 California Poly 45.5 to 17.5
3 Ohio State over 238 Akron 66.5 to 7.0
8 Oregon over 133 Arizona 45.5 to 14.0
47 Montana State over 166 Portland State 42.0 to 21.0
99 Southeast Louisiana over 235 Northwestern State 49.0 to 21.0
2 Georgia over 151 Vanderbilt 42.0 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
37 Arizona State over 103 Colorado 31.5 to 14.0
107 Central Michigan over 180 Florida International 38.5 to 21.0
95 Duke over 176 Kansas 42.0 to 21.0
9 Florida over 78 Tennessee 42.0 to 21.0
21 North Carolina over 117 Georgia Tech 38.5 to 21.0
118 Louisiana Tech over 200 North Texas 45.5 to 28.0
77 Maryland over 109 Kent State 38.5 to 24.5
61 Northwestern over 153 Ohio 35.0 to 14.0
6 Oklahoma over 42 West Virginia 42.0 to 21.0
74 Buffalo over 183 Old Dominion 38.5 to 21.0
46 Purdue over 124 Illinois 38.5 to 21.0
26 Southern California over 58 Oregon State 42.0 to 28.0
127 Stony Brook over 208 Fordham 35.0 to 17.5
10 Texas over 55 Texas Tech 45.5 to 28.0
27 Utah over 91 Washington State 38.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
75 Dartmouth over 198 Sacred Heart 35.0 to 7.0
185 Duquesne over 218 Houston Baptist 42.0 to 24.5
104 Furman over 201 Mercer 38.5 to 17.5
53 Louisiana - Lafayette over 148 Georgia Southern 31.5 to 21.0
125 Sacramento State over 210 Idaho State 31.5 to 21.0
56 Miami - Florida over 162 Central Connecticut 38.5 to 21.0
14 Michigan over 48 Rutgers 38.5 to 21.0
131 Hawaii over 209 New Mexico State 35.0 to 24.5
102 North Carolina A&T over 175 North Carolina Central 49.0 to 28.0
4 Clemson over 45 North Carolina State 31.5 to 17.5
105 Troy State over 224 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 17.5
31 Texas Christian over 80 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 24.5
68 Tulsa over 154 Arkansas State 45.5 to 24.5
51 Virginia Tech over 139 Richmond 35.0 to 17.5
28 Washington over 81 California 28.0 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
44 Appalachian State over 69 Marshall 28.0 to 21.0
112 Harvard over 194 Brown 45.5 to 24.5
152 North Carolina - Charlot over 165 Middle Tennessee State 31.5 to 24.5
57 Liberty over 100 Syracuse 28.0 to 24.5
82 Air Force over 97 Florida Atlantic 24.5 to 17.5
72 Army over 111 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 24.5
115 Toledo over 119 Ball State 31.5 to 28.0
19 Iowa State over 49 Baylor 24.5 to 21.0
67 Boston College over 65 Missouri 35.0 to 31.5
228 Colgate over 247 Lehigh 21.0 to 10.5
182 Columbia over 220 Georgetown 24.5 to 14.0
196 Dayton over 256 Presbyterian 42.0 to 21.0
217 Drake over 249 Valparaiso 31.5 to 17.5
110 East Carolina over 189 Charleston Southern 35.0 to 28.0
179 Eastern Kentucky over 159 Austin Peay 28.0 to 24.5
121 Eastern Michigan over 150 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 28.0
123 Elon over 130 William & Mary 24.5 to 21.0
229 Gardner - Webb over 226 Western Carolina 35.0 to 31.5
168 Incarnate Word over 181 McNeese State 31.5 to 28.0
73 South Dakota State over 157 Indiana State 35.0 to 21.0
155 Pennsylvania over 206 Lafayette 28.0 to 21.0
205 Abilene Christian over 246 Lamar 28.0 to 21.0
94 Memphis over 116 Texas - San Antonio 38.5 to 28.0
34 Michigan State over 39 Nebraska 21.0 to 17.5
20 Louisiana State over 62 Mississippi State 31.5 to 24.5
114 South Dakota over 186 Missouri State 31.5 to 24.5
138 Monmouth over 141 Holy Cross 31.5 to 28.0
147 Nicholls State over 207 North Alabama 35.0 to 24.5
213 Northern Colorado over 187 Northern Arizona 28.0 to 24.5
128 Maine over 156 Northern Illinois 35.0 to 28.0
177 Prairie View over 223 Grambling 28.0 to 21.0
15 Texas A&M over 36 Arkansas 31.5 to 21.0
64 Tulane over 93 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 28.0
35 Oklahoma State over 40 Kansas State 28.0 to 21.0
16 Penn State over 70 Villanova 35.0 to 24.5
59 Pittsburgh over 113 New Hampshire 28.0 to 21.0
85 Princeton over 236 Stetson 49.0 to 14.0
192 Rice over 257 Texas Southern 42.0 to 17.5
214 Robert Morris over 253 Howard 42.0 to 24.5
173 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 219 Norfolk State 31.5 to 17.5
244 Saint Thomas - Minnesota over 250 Butler 56.0 to 49.0
143 Samford over 178 East Tennessee State 35.0 to 28.0
60 San Diego State over 98 Towson 24.5 to 21.0
63 Kentucky over 83 South Carolina 24.5 to 21.0
190 Southeast Missouri State over 225 Tennessee State 35.0 to 28.0
88 Southern Illinois over 122 Illinois State 28.0 to 21.0
86 Eastern Washington over 146 Southern Utah 38.5 to 28.0
25 California - Los Angeles over 50 Stanford 35.0 to 31.5
172 Temple over 233 Wagner 28.0 to 21.0
212 Eastern Illinois over 243 Tennessee Tech 28.0 to 17.5
149 Texas - El Paso over 163 New Mexico 24.5 to 21.0
41 Boise State over 106 Utah State 38.5 to 28.0
108 Wofford over 191 Virginia Military 38.5 to 24.5
30 Indiana over 137 Western Kentucky 31.5 to 21.0
87 Yale over 170 Cornell 38.5 to 21.0
140 Youngstown State over 184 Western Illinois 38.5 to 28.0
204 Southern over 258 Mississippi Valley State 38.5 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
38 Virginia over 33 Wake Forest 35.0 to 31.5
232 Alabama State over 216 Bethune - Cookman 28.0 to 28.0
231 Alcorn State over 230 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 21.0 to 21.0
134 Central Arkansas over 142 Sam Houston State 31.5 to 31.5
203 Davidson over 188 San Diego 35.0 to 31.5
90 Florida State over 52 Louisville 31.5 to 31.5
158 Jacksonville State over 136 Tennessee - Martin 24.5 to 24.5
241 Marist over 227 Bryant 28.0 to 28.0
13 Wisconsin over 24 Notre Dame 21.0 to 21.0
79 Weber State over 66 California - Davis 24.5 to 21.0
96 Western Michigan over 101 San Jose State 31.5 to 31.5
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