ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
5 Cincinnati over 164 Temple 49.0 to 10.5
217 Bethune - Cookman over 255 Mississippi Valley State 42.0 to 21.0
14 Florida over 178 Vanderbilt 49.0 to 10.5
75 California - Davis over 225 Idaho State 42.0 to 17.5
45 Liberty over 146 Middle Tennessee State 42.0 to 21.0
88 Missouri over 193 North Texas 49.0 to 24.5
57 Montana State over 205 California Poly 45.5 to 14.0
80 Nevada - Reno over 197 New Mexico State 45.5 to 21.0
115 North Carolina A&T over 213 North Alabama 38.5 to 17.5
204 Southern over 254 Texas Southern 42.0 to 24.5
4 Ohio State over 79 Maryland 49.0 to 21.0
169 Pennsylvania over 258 Lehigh 31.5 to 7.0
108 Sam Houston State over 251 Lamar 42.0 to 10.5
46 San Diego State over 183 New Mexico 35.0 to 7.0
2 Alabama over 29 Texas A&M 35.0 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
35 Coastal Carolina over 167 Arkansas State 49.0 to 31.5
31 California - Los Angeles over 128 Arizona 38.5 to 24.5
51 Central Florida over 87 East Carolina 45.5 to 35.0
161 Fordham over 244 Wagner 38.5 to 21.0
85 Kennesaw State over 211 Hampton 42.0 to 21.0
81 Harvard over 201 Cornell 35.0 to 10.5
34 Wisconsin over 120 Illinois 28.0 to 14.0
10 James Madison over 54 Villanova 42.0 to 28.0
187 Lafayette over 245 Bucknell 24.5 to 14.0
64 Marshall over 165 Old Dominion 42.0 to 17.5
56 Princeton over 148 Monmouth 38.5 to 21.0
52 Montana over 250 Dixie State 63.0 to 17.5
60 Southern Methodist over 163 Navy 38.5 to 24.5
21 North Carolina over 90 Florida State 42.0 to 28.0
76 Eastern Washington over 219 Northern Colorado 45.5 to 24.5
138 Tennessee - Martin over 198 Murray State 31.5 to 17.5
107 Towson over 168 Stony Brook 28.0 to 17.5
155 Mercer over 229 Western Carolina 42.0 to 28.0
69 Western Michigan over 116 Ball State 38.5 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
24 Arizona State over 62 Stanford 31.5 to 21.0
1 Georgia over 22 Auburn 31.5 to 17.5
170 Bowling Green over 231 Akron 31.5 to 17.5
156 Duquesne over 212 Bryant 35.0 to 17.5
9 Mississippi over 37 Arkansas 42.0 to 31.5
157 Georgia State over 214 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 28.0
192 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 253 Long Island 38.5 to 17.5
92 Toledo over 129 Northern Illinois 35.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
53 Houston over 104 Tulane 38.5 to 28.0
162 North Carolina - Charlot over 182 Florida International 28.0 to 28.0
41 Air Force over 86 Wyoming 31.5 to 17.5
200 Alabama A&M over 223 Jackson State 35.0 to 24.5
235 Alabama State over 230 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 28.0 to 24.5
166 Austin Peay over 208 Southeast Missouri State 38.5 to 28.0
73 Baylor over 58 West Virginia 24.5 to 21.0
27 Brigham Young over 39 Boise State 31.5 to 24.5
210 Brown over 218 Colgate 28.0 to 28.0
222 San Diego over 256 Butler 24.5 to 14.0
113 Colorado State over 141 San Jose State 24.5 to 21.0
72 Dartmouth over 97 Yale 31.5 to 21.0
249 Delaware State over 248 Houston Baptist 35.0 to 31.5
181 Eastern Kentucky over 194 Abilene Christian 24.5 to 17.5
144 East Tennessee State over 184 The Citadel 31.5 to 21.0
140 Campbell over 209 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 28.0
236 Northwestern State over 248 Houston Baptist 31.5 to 31.5
153 Portland State over 171 Idaho 31.5 to 28.0
8 Iowa over 6 Penn State 21.0 to 21.0
93 Buffalo over 125 Kent State 31.5 to 28.0
25 Louisiana State over 61 Kentucky 28.0 to 24.5
50 Louisville over 44 Virginia 35.0 to 31.5
246 Marist over 247 Stetson 28.0 to 24.5
221 Connecticut over 237 Massachusetts 35.0 to 31.5
3 Michigan over 20 Nebraska 24.5 to 24.5
94 Southeast Louisiana over 134 Nicholls State 35.0 to 31.5
228 North Carolina Central over 252 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 21.0
12 North Dakota State over 70 Northern Iowa 21.0 to 7.0
130 Central Michigan over 188 Ohio 31.5 to 24.5
239 Morehead State over 257 Presbyterian 35.0 to 28.0
126 Rhode Island over 131 Delaware 28.0 to 24.5
179 Charleston Southern over 224 Robert Morris 24.5 to 21.0
19 Michigan State over 43 Rutgers 31.5 to 28.0
145 Sacramento State over 202 Southern Utah 24.5 to 14.0
227 Saint Thomas - Minnesota over 234 Valparaiso 49.0 to 42.0
98 South Dakota over 114 North Dakota 28.0 to 24.5
36 South Dakota State over 74 Southern Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
26 Wake Forest over 84 Syracuse 31.5 to 24.5
42 Tennessee over 83 South Carolina 31.5 to 21.0
150 South Alabama over 177 Texas State - San Marcos 28.0 to 24.5
63 Texas Tech over 49 Texas Christian 35.0 to 35.0
124 Troy State over 159 Georgia Southern 28.0 to 21.0
106 Tulsa over 103 Memphis 31.5 to 31.5
139 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 174 Virginia Military 31.5 to 28.0
17 Notre Dame over 68 Virginia Tech 28.0 to 24.5
33 Oregon State over 95 Washington State 35.0 to 31.5
118 Western Kentucky over 110 Texas - San Antonio 28.0 to 28.0
123 William & Mary over 143 Albany 24.5 to 17.5
132 Wofford over 135 Furman 21.0 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
241 Morgan State over 242 Howard 28.0 to 28.0
91 Florida Atlantic over 100 Alabama - Birmingham 24.5 to 21.0
220 Grambling over 232 Alcorn State 17.5 to 17.5
175 Columbia over 195 Central Connecticut 28.0 to 24.5
215 Dayton over 240 Drake 28.0 to 28.0
105 Duke over 89 Georgia Tech 31.5 to 31.5
112 Eastern Michigan over 111 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 31.5
191 Florida A&M over 176 South Carolina State 28.0 to 28.0
185 Indiana State over 151 Western Illinois 31.5 to 31.5
173 Jacksonville State over 152 Stephen F. Austin 21.0 to 21.0
149 Maine over 122 Elon 28.0 to 28.0
7 Texas over 11 Oklahoma 38.5 to 38.5
30 Southern California over 23 Utah 28.0 to 28.0
160 Texas - El Paso over 190 Southern Mississippi 24.5 to 24.5
121 Missouri State over 158 Youngstown State 35.0 to 31.5
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