ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
14 Oregon over 94 California 35.0 to 14.0
64 Princeton over 195 Brown 45.5 to 17.5
86 California - Davis over 230 Northern Colorado 38.5 to 10.5
98 Yale over 226 Connecticut 42.0 to 14.0
128 Fordham over 247 Bucknell 38.5 to 14.0
1 Georgia over 39 Kentucky 35.0 to 7.0
67 Harvard over 180 Lafayette 38.5 to 10.5
12 North Dakota State over 153 Illinois State 35.0 to 14.0
112 Miami - Ohio over 211 Akron 38.5 to 14.0
2 Alabama over 59 Mississippi State 42.0 to 21.0
178 Norfolk State over 258 Houston Baptist 56.0 to 10.5
44 Liberty over 219 Northeast Louisiana 45.5 to 14.0
17 James Madison over 140 Richmond 38.5 to 17.5
82 Southeast Louisiana over 258 Houston Baptist 66.5 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
75 Marshall over 189 North Texas 38.5 to 21.0
46 San Diego State over 167 San Jose State 28.0 to 7.0
10 Clemson over 73 Syracuse 28.0 to 14.0
198 Abilene Christian over 251 Lamar 35.0 to 14.0
34 Villanova over 147 Albany 35.0 to 21.0
96 Buffalo over 194 Ohio 35.0 to 21.0
5 Cincinnati over 62 Central Florida 42.0 to 24.5
205 Davidson over 256 Presbyterian 42.0 to 17.5
58 Eastern Washington over 162 Idaho 56.0 to 31.5
123 Furman over 197 The Citadel 35.0 to 14.0
231 Grambling over 249 Texas Southern 35.0 to 17.5
118 Holy Cross over 212 Georgetown 31.5 to 14.0
7 Iowa over 70 Purdue 28.0 to 10.5
171 Jackson State over 229 Alabama State 28.0 to 14.0
80 Texas Tech over 188 Kansas 45.5 to 28.0
102 Colorado State over 182 New Mexico 31.5 to 21.0
16 Oklahoma over 37 Texas Christian 42.0 to 28.0
161 Portland State over 213 Idaho State 38.5 to 24.5
93 South Carolina over 185 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 14.0
48 Southern Illinois over 111 North Dakota 35.0 to 21.0
8 Texas over 38 Oklahoma State 38.5 to 24.5
109 Texas - San Antonio over 202 Rice 35.0 to 17.5
25 South Dakota State over 154 Western Illinois 42.0 to 21.0
95 Western Michigan over 119 Kent State 38.5 to 28.0
70-80% chance of victory:
106 Memphis over 150 Navy 35.0 to 24.5
201 Dayton over 233 Marist 38.5 to 28.0
79 Kennesaw State over 131 North Carolina A&T 35.0 to 21.0
126 Missouri State over 184 Indiana State 38.5 to 24.5
83 Montana over 148 Sacramento State 31.5 to 14.0
132 Northern Illinois over 181 Bowling Green 31.5 to 21.0
101 Alabama - Birmingham over 206 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 17.5
53 Virginia over 108 Duke 42.0 to 28.0
76 Nevada - Reno over 125 Hawaii 38.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
149 South Alabama over 163 Georgia Southern 24.5 to 21.0
208 Cornell over 234 Colgate 21.0 to 14.0
55 Montana State over 81 Weber State 24.5 to 21.0
169 Florida A&M over 224 Alabama A&M 35.0 to 24.5
21 Arkansas over 23 Auburn 31.5 to 28.0
49 Baylor over 40 Brigham Young 28.0 to 24.5
200 Prairie View over 243 Bethune - Cookman 35.0 to 28.0
27 Boise State over 35 Air Force 28.0 to 21.0
63 Boston College over 43 North Carolina State 28.0 to 24.5
113 Campbell over 130 Monmouth 38.5 to 31.5
137 Central Arkansas over 177 Eastern Kentucky 31.5 to 24.5
92 Toledo over 145 Central Michigan 28.0 to 24.5
179 Charleston Southern over 196 Hampton 35.0 to 28.0
135 Colorado over 133 Arizona 28.0 to 21.0
168 Columbia over 170 Pennsylvania 28.0 to 21.0
124 Tennessee - Martin over 221 Eastern Illinois 28.0 to 17.5
134 Incarnate Word over 156 Nicholls State 35.0 to 31.5
15 Michigan State over 51 Indiana 31.5 to 28.0
13 Iowa State over 41 Kansas State 28.0 to 24.5
11 Florida over 45 Louisiana State 35.0 to 31.5
122 William & Mary over 166 Maine 31.5 to 24.5
138 Mercer over 165 Virginia Military 38.5 to 31.5
18 Nebraska over 66 Minnesota 24.5 to 17.5
220 Alcorn State over 254 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 17.5
28 Texas A&M over 89 Missouri 35.0 to 24.5
236 Morehead State over 255 Butler 38.5 to 28.0
110 Utah State over 172 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 24.5
71 Dartmouth over 117 New Hampshire 24.5 to 17.5
210 North Alabama over 215 Robert Morris 28.0 to 28.0
31 North Carolina over 56 Miami - Florida 35.0 to 28.0
190 Northern Arizona over 204 Southern Utah 28.0 to 21.0
61 Northern Iowa over 99 South Dakota 24.5 to 10.5
186 McNeese State over 244 Northwestern State 28.0 to 17.5
104 Western Kentucky over 158 Old Dominion 35.0 to 28.0
209 Sacred Heart over 214 Central Connecticut 24.5 to 21.0
222 San Diego over 246 Drake 21.0 to 14.0
217 South Carolina State over 250 Morgan State 28.0 to 17.5
191 Southeast Missouri State over 199 Murray State 31.5 to 24.5
105 Tulsa over 146 South Florida 31.5 to 24.5
9 Mississippi over 29 Tennessee 42.0 to 38.5
228 Tennessee State over 242 Tennessee Tech 28.0 to 24.5
103 Louisiana Tech over 159 Texas - El Paso 28.0 to 24.5
141 Troy State over 176 Texas State - San Marcos 28.0 to 24.5
120 Towson over 115 Rhode Island 31.5 to 24.5
20 Utah over 24 Arizona State 28.0 to 21.0
33 Washington over 32 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 24.5
42 Wisconsin over 78 Army 28.0 to 14.0
155 Wofford over 129 Samford 38.5 to 31.5
52 Fresno State over 85 Wyoming 31.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
47 Appalachian State over 74 Louisiana - Lafayette 28.0 to 28.0
218 Southern over 240 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 31.5 to 31.5
187 Bryant over 183 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 28.0 to 24.5
235 Tarleton State over 239 Dixie State 56.0 to 52.5
114 Eastern Michigan over 100 Ball State 28.0 to 28.0
57 Rutgers over 97 Northwestern 21.0 to 21.0
238 Saint Thomas - Minnesota over 252 Stetson 38.5 to 38.5
164 Stony Brook over 142 Delaware 21.0 to 17.5
127 East Tennessee State over 143 Tennessee - Chattanooga 24.5 to 24.5
22 Pittsburgh over 69 Virginia Tech 31.5 to 31.5
68 Stanford over 91 Washington State 28.0 to 28.0
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