ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
70 Louisiana - Lafayette over 155 Georgia State 38.5 to 17.5
2 Alabama over 29 Louisiana State 49.0 to 24.5
55 Appalachian State over 176 Arkansas State 49.0 to 28.0
163 Austin Peay over 246 Eastern Illinois 31.5 to 14.0
40 Brigham Young over 205 Idaho State 45.5 to 14.0
72 Central Florida over 128 Tulane 42.0 to 24.5
5 Cincinnati over 116 Tulsa 42.0 to 10.5
81 East Carolina over 210 Temple 42.0 to 17.5
1 Georgia over 105 Missouri 52.5 to 10.5
26 James Madison over 146 Campbell 45.5 to 14.0
34 Kansas State over 206 Kansas 42.0 to 14.0
166 Rhode Island over 243 Massachusetts 42.0 to 21.0
4 Michigan over 94 Indiana 42.0 to 17.5
248 Northwestern State over 257 Houston Baptist 38.5 to 21.0
12 Notre Dame over 118 Navy 38.5 to 14.0
93 Kennesaw State over 219 Robert Morris 35.0 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
106 Ball State over 208 Akron 38.5 to 21.0
95 Western Michigan over 134 Central Michigan 38.5 to 28.0
60 Harvard over 136 Columbia 31.5 to 17.5
19 Pittsburgh over 135 Duke 45.5 to 24.5
44 Coastal Carolina over 184 Georgia Southern 38.5 to 21.0
52 San Diego State over 125 Hawaii 31.5 to 21.0
104 Holy Cross over 185 Lafayette 31.5 to 14.0
145 Jackson State over 226 Texas Southern 42.0 to 21.0
14 Penn State over 98 Maryland 35.0 to 21.0
47 Minnesota over 108 Illinois 28.0 to 10.5
10 Mississippi over 69 Liberty 42.0 to 28.0
115 Monmouth over 188 North Alabama 42.0 to 24.5
63 Nevada - Reno over 148 San Jose State 35.0 to 17.5
91 Utah State over 191 New Mexico State 45.5 to 28.0
90 North Dakota over 161 Youngstown State 35.0 to 21.0
103 California - Davis over 192 Northern Arizona 38.5 to 24.5
121 Montana over 222 Northern Colorado 28.0 to 14.0
123 Sacramento State over 217 California Poly 35.0 to 17.5
156 Samford over 216 The Citadel 45.5 to 31.5
88 Sam Houston State over 236 Dixie State 42.0 to 7.0
15 Florida over 111 South Carolina 35.0 to 21.0
50 Southern Illinois over 82 Missouri State 42.0 to 28.0
35 Houston over 137 South Florida 35.0 to 21.0
158 Tennessee - Martin over 215 Tennessee State 35.0 to 21.0
223 Valparaiso over 258 Presbyterian 49.0 to 21.0
92 Weber State over 160 Portland State 35.0 to 14.0
87 South Dakota over 152 Western Illinois 38.5 to 28.0
70-80% chance of victory:
75 California over 140 Arizona 28.0 to 17.5
225 Grambling over 255 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 28.0 to 17.5
107 Yale over 194 Brown 42.0 to 28.0
33 Northern Iowa over 151 Illinois State 24.5 to 10.5
41 Miami - Florida over 86 Georgia Tech 35.0 to 24.5
3 Ohio State over 22 Nebraska 38.5 to 24.5
172 North Carolina - Charlot over 214 Rice 31.5 to 21.0
31 Iowa over 114 Northwestern 24.5 to 14.0
193 Prairie View over 242 Alabama State 31.5 to 21.0
211 South Carolina State over 228 Howard 35.0 to 24.5
171 Florida A&M over 224 Southern 31.5 to 24.5
71 Western Kentucky over 122 Middle Tennessee State 42.0 to 28.0
100 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 207 Wofford 28.0 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
110 Miami - Ohio over 177 Ohio 28.0 to 21.0
97 Toledo over 102 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 24.5
141 Kent State over 120 Northern Illinois 35.0 to 35.0
232 Delaware State over 252 Morgan State 24.5 to 21.0
13 Utah over 77 Stanford 31.5 to 24.5
213 Alabama A&M over 244 Mississippi Valley State 38.5 to 28.0
112 Alabama - Birmingham over 129 Louisiana Tech 28.0 to 21.0
46 Arizona State over 62 Southern California 31.5 to 24.5
28 Arkansas over 56 Mississippi State 31.5 to 24.5
203 Alcorn State over 231 Bethune - Cookman 31.5 to 28.0
189 Bryant over 229 Central Connecticut 28.0 to 24.5
49 Oregon State over 113 Colorado 31.5 to 24.5
197 Davidson over 209 Saint Thomas - Minnesota 38.5 to 31.5
96 William & Mary over 170 Delaware 24.5 to 17.5
127 East Tennessee State over 119 Virginia Military 35.0 to 28.0
59 Villanova over 109 Elon 31.5 to 21.0
154 Old Dominion over 204 Florida International 31.5 to 28.0
124 Fordham over 218 Georgetown 38.5 to 24.5
195 Hampton over 178 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 35.0
201 Idaho over 212 Southern Utah 31.5 to 28.0
89 Southeast Louisiana over 131 Incarnate Word 42.0 to 38.5
16 Iowa State over 17 Texas 35.0 to 35.0
196 Jacksonville State over 202 Abilene Christian 31.5 to 24.5
43 Kentucky over 45 Tennessee 28.0 to 24.5
181 Duquesne over 245 Long Island 35.0 to 24.5
126 Maine over 149 Stony Brook 28.0 to 24.5
235 Marist over 249 Drake 17.5 to 14.0
159 McNeese State over 153 Nicholls State 28.0 to 24.5
61 Southern Methodist over 99 Memphis 38.5 to 35.0
237 Murray State over 239 Tennessee Tech 28.0 to 24.5
48 Air Force over 74 Army 28.0 to 24.5
175 New Mexico over 165 Nevada - Las Vegas 24.5 to 21.0
7 Wake Forest over 39 North Carolina 42.0 to 38.5
187 Norfolk State over 241 North Carolina Central 31.5 to 24.5
162 Pennsylvania over 198 Cornell 28.0 to 17.5
6 Michigan State over 38 Purdue 28.0 to 24.5
142 Richmond over 130 Towson 24.5 to 21.0
25 Wisconsin over 80 Rutgers 24.5 to 17.5
174 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 199 Sacred Heart 21.0 to 17.5
220 San Diego over 234 Morehead State 38.5 to 28.0
179 North Texas over 221 Southern Mississippi 28.0 to 28.0
138 Stephen F. Austin over 157 Eastern Kentucky 24.5 to 21.0
238 Dayton over 254 Stetson 31.5 to 28.0
227 Tarleton State over 247 Lamar 38.5 to 35.0
20 Texas A&M over 18 Auburn 24.5 to 21.0
23 Baylor over 76 Texas Christian 31.5 to 28.0
78 Texas - San Antonio over 139 Texas - El Paso 28.0 to 21.0
143 Troy State over 150 South Alabama 24.5 to 21.0
9 Oregon over 54 Washington 24.5 to 24.5
168 Furman over 190 Western Carolina 31.5 to 24.5
24 Oklahoma State over 58 West Virginia 24.5 to 21.0
83 Colorado State over 132 Wyoming 24.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
73 Virginia Tech over 101 Boston College 24.5 to 24.5
79 Dartmouth over 67 Princeton 24.5 to 24.5
167 Albany over 147 New Hampshire 24.5 to 21.0
251 Bucknell over 250 Lehigh 17.5 to 17.5
173 Charleston Southern over 182 North Carolina A&T 24.5 to 24.5
57 Eastern Washington over 66 Montana State 38.5 to 38.5
64 Marshall over 85 Florida Atlantic 28.0 to 24.5
51 Florida State over 30 North Carolina State 28.0 to 28.0
42 Fresno State over 27 Boise State 28.0 to 28.0
36 Clemson over 53 Louisville 24.5 to 21.0
8 North Dakota State over 21 South Dakota State 24.5 to 24.5
169 Northeast Louisiana over 200 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 35.0
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