ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 13 James Madison over 92 Southeast Louisiana 52.5 to 28.0 9 North Dakota State over 71 Southern Illinois 38.5 to 17.5 80-90% chance of victory: 155 Jackson State over 219 Prairie View 31.5 to 17.5 8 Cincinnati over 48 Houston 38.5 to 24.5 3 Michigan over 41 Iowa 31.5 to 17.5 70-80% chance of victory: 46 Villanova over 94 Holy Cross 31.5 to 21.0 69 Sam Houston State over 122 Incarnate Word 42.0 to 28.0 88 Montana State over 130 Tennessee - Martin 28.0 to 17.5 20 South Dakota State over 102 Sacramento State 35.0 to 24.5 60-70% chance of victory: 27 Western Kentucky over 89 Texas - San Antonio 38.5 to 31.5 6 Utah over 22 Oregon 35.0 to 28.0 64 California over 73 Southern California 31.5 to 24.5 1 Georgia over 4 Alabama 31.5 to 21.0 7 Oklahoma State over 29 Baylor 28.0 to 17.5 52 San Diego State over 80 Utah State 28.0 to 17.5 83 Kennesaw State over 103 East Tennessee State 28.0 to 24.5 50-60% chance of victory: 49 Eastern Washington over 90 Montana 31.5 to 31.5 51 Louisiana - Lafayette over 43 Appalachian State 28.0 to 24.5 121 Kent State over 127 Northern Illinois 38.5 to 38.5 12 Pittsburgh over 14 Wake Forest 42.0 to 42.0
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