prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
94% 9 North Dakota State 27 41.6, 99 East Tennessee State 3 13.6
90% 12 James Madison 28 36.2, 75 Montana 6 15.2
38% 25 South Dakota State 35 26.0, 48 Villanova 21 27.8
37% 93 Montana State 42 24.4, 65 Sam Houston State 19 27.6
32% 112 Navy 17 20.7, 60 Army 13 30.3
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
0 0.00 3 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 2 1.08 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 5 2 3.8 0.53
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net