prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
69% 105 Fresno State 45 52.6, 217 Connecticut 0 31.4
66% 89 San Jose State 45 48.8, 190 Southern Utah 14 36.0
66% 38 California - Los Angel 44 51.9, 106 Hawaii 10 40.3
65% 174 Indiana State 26 42.0, 224 Eastern Illinois 21 31.8
51% 197 Texas - El Paso 30 41.5, 205 New Mexico State 3 41.2
41% 94 Illinois 30 39.0, 46 Nebraska 22 43.6
33% 242 North Carolina Central 23 30.2, 154 Alcorn State 14 45.2
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
2 0.91 5 1.20 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 7 5 4.4 1.13
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net