ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
70-80% chance of victory:
30 Arizona State over 220 Southern Utah 52.5 to 17.5
16 Auburn over 238 Akron 56.0 to 10.5
17 James Madison over 249 Morehead State 70.0 to 17.5
51 Pittsburgh over 244 Massachusetts 59.5 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
68 Ball State over 209 Western Illinois 49.0 to 28.0
53 Buffalo over 236 Wagner 49.0 to 24.5
33 Central Florida over 46 Boise State 49.0 to 42.0
44 Coastal Carolina over 183 The Citadel 45.5 to 28.0
165 Florida International over 251 Long Island 49.0 to 31.5
113 Maine over 143 Delaware 38.5 to 31.5
2 Ohio State over 35 Minnesota 52.5 to 35.0
48 Appalachian State over 123 East Carolina 45.5 to 31.5
83 Eastern Washington over 187 Nevada - Las Vegas 52.5 to 35.0
66 North Carolina State over 149 South Florida 45.5 to 28.0
92 Rutgers over 151 Temple 38.5 to 31.5
169 Samford over 213 Tennessee Tech 52.5 to 42.0
54 Tennessee over 242 Bowling Green 56.0 to 17.5
157 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 181 Austin Peay 35.0 to 28.0
55 Tulsa over 103 California - Davis 38.5 to 31.5
15 Utah over 85 Weber State 42.0 to 24.5
132 Youngstown State over 225 Incarnate Word 52.5 to 31.5
74 Colorado over 222 Northern Colorado 49.0 to 24.5
69 South Dakota State over 126 Colorado State 45.5 to 31.5
146 South Dakota over 164 Kansas 45.5 to 38.5
104 Duke over 154 North Carolina - Charlot 42.0 to 35.0
28 Northwestern over 79 Michigan State 35.0 to 21.0
36 Wake Forest over 194 Old Dominion 52.5 to 24.5
62 Air Force over 218 Lafayette 42.0 to 21.0
167 South Carolina State over 227 Alabama A&M 38.5 to 31.5
61 Arkansas over 142 Rice 42.0 to 28.0
57 Boston College over 198 Colgate 45.5 to 24.5
64 California over 94 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 28.0
14 Cincinnati over 127 Miami - Ohio 49.0 to 21.0
153 Holy Cross over 254 Connecticut 42.0 to 14.0
174 Dayton over 219 Robert Morris 49.0 to 38.5
97 Sacramento State over 245 Dixie State 66.5 to 49.0
8 Florida over 128 Florida Atlantic 49.0 to 21.0
203 Georgetown over 240 Marist 38.5 to 24.5
102 Georgia Southern over 235 Gardner - Webb 49.0 to 24.5
70 Army over 120 Georgia State 38.5 to 31.5
107 Georgia Tech over 156 Northern Illinois 42.0 to 31.5
152 North Dakota over 192 Idaho State 38.5 to 35.0
67 Illinois over 125 Texas - San Antonio 38.5 to 28.0
129 Illinois State over 250 Butler 45.5 to 17.5
6 Iowa over 18 Indiana 35.0 to 28.0
13 Iowa State over 106 Northern Iowa 38.5 to 21.0
39 Kentucky over 221 Northeast Louisiana 52.5 to 21.0
95 Villanova over 216 Lehigh 45.5 to 31.5
72 Liberty over 197 Campbell 49.0 to 28.0
91 Memphis over 159 Nicholls State 42.0 to 31.5
32 Michigan over 99 Western Michigan 52.5 to 35.0
117 Monmouth over 188 Middle Tennessee State 49.0 to 38.5
45 Mississippi State over 139 Louisiana Tech 45.5 to 24.5
41 Missouri over 108 Central Michigan 45.5 to 31.5
86 Towson over 234 Morgan State 49.0 to 24.5
12 Brigham Young over 122 Arizona 49.0 to 28.0
93 Nebraska over 204 Fordham 42.0 to 24.5
3 Clemson over 5 Georgia 42.0 to 35.0
1 Alabama over 31 Miami - Florida 52.5 to 28.0
24 North Dakota State over 110 Albany 45.5 to 24.5
26 Oklahoma State over 202 Missouri State 52.5 to 21.0
21 Oregon over 63 Fresno State 38.5 to 24.5
160 Rhode Island over 230 Bryant 45.5 to 31.5
141 Richmond over 253 Howard 52.5 to 24.5
180 Sacred Heart over 229 Bucknell 38.5 to 24.5
124 San Diego over 170 California Poly 49.0 to 31.5
73 San Diego State over 256 New Mexico State 45.5 to 7.0
78 South Carolina over 215 Eastern Illinois 45.5 to 21.0
150 Southeast Louisiana over 211 North Alabama 49.0 to 35.0
22 Southern California over 76 San Jose State 45.5 to 28.0
65 Southern Methodist over 210 Abilene Christian 52.5 to 31.5
189 Stephen F. Austin over 247 Tarleton State 59.5 to 49.0
11 Texas over 50 Louisiana - Lafayette 49.0 to 31.5
10 Texas A&M over 112 Kent State 56.0 to 28.0
34 Texas Christian over 195 Duquesne 49.0 to 21.0
43 Baylor over 147 Texas State - San Marcos 45.5 to 31.5
105 Toledo over 212 Norfolk State 45.5 to 31.5
115 Troy State over 185 Southern 38.5 to 31.5
4 Oklahoma over 49 Tulane 52.5 to 35.0
135 Vanderbilt over 196 East Tennessee State 35.0 to 28.0
42 Virginia over 136 William & Mary 42.0 to 28.0
207 Davidson over 226 Virginia Military 45.5 to 42.0
25 Washington over 60 Montana 42.0 to 31.5
40 Washington State over 155 Utah State 52.5 to 31.5
176 Eastern Kentucky over 233 Western Carolina 42.0 to 31.5
9 Wisconsin over 20 Penn State 38.5 to 28.0
7 Notre Dame over 89 Florida State 45.5 to 31.5
182 Florida A&M over 237 Jackson State 42.0 to 31.5
178 Grambling over 217 Tennessee State 42.0 to 35.0
50-60% chance of victory:
84 Alabama - Birmingham over 148 Jacksonville State 35.0 to 31.5
162 New Mexico over 172 Houston Baptist 49.0 to 42.0
158 Northern Arizona over 177 Sam Houston State 42.0 to 42.0
130 Southern Illinois over 140 Southeast Missouri State 35.0 to 35.0
133 Stony Brook over 119 New Hampshire 28.0 to 28.0
116 Eastern Michigan over 184 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 38.5 to 35.0
23 North Carolina over 52 Virginia Tech 45.5 to 42.0
121 Central Arkansas over 131 Arkansas State 45.5 to 45.5
19 Louisiana State over 27 California - Los Angeles 38.5 to 38.5
100 Wofford over 114 Elon 31.5 to 31.5
111 Furman over 96 North Carolina A&T 35.0 to 35.0
37 West Virginia over 81 Maryland 38.5 to 31.5
87 Marshall over 145 Navy 31.5 to 24.5
186 North Texas over 224 Northwestern State 49.0 to 45.5
38 Stanford over 59 Kansas State 38.5 to 35.0
77 Texas Tech over 88 Houston 42.0 to 42.0
101 Ohio over 109 Syracuse 38.5 to 35.0
58 Purdue over 56 Oregon State 45.5 to 42.0
168 South Alabama over 179 Southern Mississippi 38.5 to 31.5
137 Texas - El Paso over 208 Bethune - Cookman 28.0 to 24.5
75 Montana State over 98 Wyoming 31.5 to 28.0
171 Portland State over 173 Hawaii 35.0 to 35.0
29 Mississippi over 47 Louisville 45.5 to 42.0
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