ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 80-90% chance of victory: 63 Coastal Carolina over 123 Northern Illinois 42.0 to 28.0 53 Fresno State over 159 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 17.5 32 North Carolina over 108 South Carolina 38.5 to 24.5 70-80% chance of victory: 71 Toledo over 121 Middle Tennessee State 35.0 to 24.5 35 Brigham Young over 94 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 24.5 29 Boise State over 88 Central Michigan 35.0 to 21.0 60-70% chance of victory: 7 North Dakota State over 10 James Madison 28.0 to 24.5 17 South Dakota State over 67 Montana State 28.0 to 24.5 90 Liberty over 118 Eastern Michigan 35.0 to 28.0 50 Louisiana - Lafayette over 77 Marshall 28.0 to 24.5 157 Jackson State over 210 South Carolina State 24.5 to 17.5 38 Oregon State over 62 Utah State 38.5 to 31.5 45 Appalachian State over 36 Western Kentucky 35.0 to 31.5 87 Tulsa over 126 Old Dominion 31.5 to 24.5 69 San Diego State over 86 Texas - San Antonio 28.0 to 24.5 107 Wyoming over 136 Kent State 31.5 to 28.0 65 Army over 92 Missouri 35.0 to 31.5 47 Florida over 79 Central Florida 35.0 to 28.0 98 Miami - Ohio over 130 North Texas 35.0 to 28.0 104 Memphis over 112 Hawaii 31.5 to 31.5 49 Nevada - Reno over 103 Western Michigan 38.5 to 35.0 31 Auburn over 44 Houston 31.5 to 28.0 33 Mississippi State over 78 Texas Tech 35.0 to 28.0 41 Minnesota over 70 West Virginia 24.5 to 21.0 15 Clemson over 16 Iowa State 24.5 to 21.0 14 Oklahoma over 27 Oregon 35.0 to 31.5 60 Virginia over 59 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 38.5 66 Virginia Tech over 91 Maryland 35.0 to 28.0 12 Pittsburgh over 24 Michigan State 35.0 to 28.0 13 Wisconsin over 40 Arizona State 28.0 to 21.0 25 Tennessee over 28 Purdue 35.0 to 31.5 3 Alabama over 8 Cincinnati 35.0 to 24.5 1 Georgia over 4 Michigan 28.0 to 21.0 19 Texas A&M over 26 Wake Forest 35.0 to 31.5 34 Miami - Florida over 39 Washington State 31.5 to 28.0 22 Kentucky over 46 Iowa 24.5 to 21.0 5 Notre Dame over 9 Oklahoma State 24.5 to 21.0 11 Penn State over 37 Arkansas 28.0 to 21.0 2 Ohio State over 6 Utah 38.5 to 28.0 50-60% chance of victory: 119 Georgia State over 129 Ball State 28.0 to 28.0 96 Boston College over 83 East Carolina 28.0 to 24.5 20 North Carolina State over 18 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 31.5 42 Air Force over 55 Louisville 28.0 to 28.0 23 Baylor over 21 Mississippi 28.0 to 28.0 48 Louisiana State over 51 Kansas State 24.5 to 24.5
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