ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
80-90% chance of victory:
30 California - Los Angeles over 219 Alabama State 49.0 to 14.0
1 Georgia over 163 Samford 70.0 to 10.5
12 James Madison over 203 Norfolk State 59.5 to 10.5
4 Michigan over 246 Hawaii 66.5 to 3.5
62 Montana State over 248 Morehead State 59.5 to 14.0
64 Maryland over 243 North Carolina - Charlot 52.5 to 17.5
3 Ohio State over 167 Arkansas State 66.5 to 17.5
70 San Diego State over 230 Idaho State 45.5 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
42 Boise State over 172 New Mexico 38.5 to 14.0
31 Auburn over 149 San Jose State 38.5 to 10.5
140 Austin Peay over 245 Mississippi Valley State 42.0 to 7.0
10 Clemson over 136 Furman 45.5 to 10.5
52 Coastal Carolina over 190 Gardner - Webb 52.5 to 24.5
97 Syracuse over 175 Connecticut 35.0 to 21.0
27 North Carolina over 113 Georgia State 66.5 to 49.0
61 Villanova over 252 Long Island 56.0 to 14.0
43 Louisiana State over 217 Southern 56.0 to 21.0
29 Miami - Florida over 181 Southern Mississippi 52.5 to 14.0
18 Michigan State over 213 Akron 56.0 to 10.5
39 Minnesota over 169 Western Illinois 49.0 to 21.0
20 Mississippi over 166 Central Arkansas 52.5 to 21.0
105 Jacksonville State over 223 Murray State 38.5 to 14.0
53 Nebraska over 161 Georgia Southern 42.0 to 21.0
33 North Carolina State over 174 Charleston Southern 42.0 to 14.0
11 North Dakota State over 164 North Carolina A&T 45.5 to 7.0
66 Northwestern over 153 Duke 38.5 to 21.0
5 Notre Dame over 79 Marshall 42.0 to 17.5
8 Oklahoma over 129 Kent State 63.0 to 24.5
15 Penn State over 152 Ohio 45.5 to 14.0
32 Purdue over 170 Indiana State 42.0 to 14.0
107 Rutgers over 256 Wagner 42.0 to 14.0
108 Sam Houston State over 184 Northern Arizona 42.0 to 24.5
144 South Florida over 231 Howard 42.0 to 24.5
84 Southern Illinois over 187 Southeast Missouri State 45.5 to 21.0
54 Southern Methodist over 255 Lamar 59.5 to 14.0
69 Texas Christian over 228 Tarleton State 56.0 to 21.0
86 Toledo over 240 Massachusetts 52.5 to 14.0
143 Towson over 251 Morgan State 42.0 to 10.5
7 Utah over 218 Southern Utah 59.5 to 7.0
56 Washington over 159 Portland State 42.0 to 17.5
55 West Virginia over 147 Kansas 45.5 to 21.0
114 Wyoming over 226 Northern Colorado 42.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
57 Central Florida over 72 Louisville 38.5 to 28.0
50 Air Force over 100 Colorado 31.5 to 17.5
40 Mississippi State over 127 Arizona 38.5 to 24.5
24 Arkansas over 85 South Carolina 35.0 to 21.0
67 Army over 88 Texas - San Antonio 35.0 to 28.0
160 Eastern Kentucky over 192 Bowling Green 35.0 to 24.5
99 Holy Cross over 125 Buffalo 38.5 to 28.0
76 California over 122 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 24.5
90 Central Michigan over 157 South Alabama 38.5 to 24.5
6 Cincinnati over 87 Kennesaw State 38.5 to 17.5
150 Delaware over 237 Delaware State 38.5 to 17.5
92 East Carolina over 138 Old Dominion 38.5 to 24.5
131 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 241 Eastern Illinois 31.5 to 14.0
115 Georgia Tech over 176 Western Carolina 45.5 to 31.5
233 Lindenwood over 259 Houston Baptist 70.0 to 49.0
142 Illinois State over 225 Valparaiso 38.5 to 21.0
102 Indiana over 171 Idaho 38.5 to 24.5
36 Kansas State over 75 Missouri 35.0 to 24.5
46 Louisiana - Lafayette over 119 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 24.5
137 Maine over 205 Colgate 31.5 to 17.5
111 Miami - Ohio over 216 Robert Morris 38.5 to 17.5
128 Monmouth over 155 Fordham 42.0 to 35.0
82 Montana over 106 South Dakota 31.5 to 17.5
198 North Texas over 242 Texas Southern 38.5 to 28.0
151 Nicholls State over 178 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 28.0
9 Oklahoma State over 41 Arizona State 35.0 to 21.0
259 Houston Baptist over 261 Presbyterian 49.0 to 42.0
124 Richmond over 188 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 17.5
44 South Dakota State over 118 California - Davis 38.5 to 17.5
2 Alabama over 23 Texas 49.0 to 31.5
201 Texas - El Paso over 214 New Mexico State 24.5 to 21.0
19 Texas A&M over 49 Appalachian State 31.5 to 21.0
121 East Tennessee State over 202 The Citadel 38.5 to 24.5
154 Troy State over 211 Alabama A&M 38.5 to 24.5
109 Tulane over 209 Alcorn State 38.5 to 24.5
80 Tulsa over 120 Northern Illinois 42.0 to 28.0
81 Weber State over 145 Utah State 31.5 to 21.0
168 Virginia Military over 253 Bucknell 38.5 to 21.0
117 William & Mary over 173 Campbell 35.0 to 21.0
13 Wisconsin over 58 Washington State 35.0 to 17.5
116 Elon over 200 Wofford 35.0 to 21.0
135 Youngstown State over 215 Dayton 45.5 to 31.5
50-60% chance of victory:
95 Missouri State over 134 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 31.5
194 Prairie View over 204 Abilene Christian 31.5 to 28.0
162 Albany over 156 New Hampshire 24.5 to 24.5
91 Western Michigan over 132 Ball State 35.0 to 31.5
191 South Carolina State over 227 Bethune - Cookman 31.5 to 28.0
14 Baylor over 26 Brigham Young 31.5 to 31.5
146 Rhode Island over 196 Bryant 35.0 to 28.0
207 San Diego over 224 California Poly 35.0 to 28.0
199 Central Connecticut over 179 Sacred Heart 24.5 to 24.5
130 Colorado State over 133 Middle Tennessee State 31.5 to 28.0
37 Florida over 28 Kentucky 31.5 to 28.0
110 Southeast Louisiana over 139 Florida Atlantic 45.5 to 42.0
63 Fresno State over 48 Oregon State 31.5 to 31.5
222 Georgetown over 232 Lehigh 24.5 to 21.0
45 Illinois over 59 Virginia 28.0 to 24.5
16 Iowa State over 34 Iowa 24.5 to 21.0
74 Liberty over 83 Alabama - Birmingham 31.5 to 28.0
158 Louisiana Tech over 195 Stephen F. Austin 38.5 to 35.0
94 Memphis over 126 Navy 31.5 to 24.5
101 Nevada - Reno over 123 Incarnate Word 38.5 to 31.5
78 Northern Iowa over 112 North Dakota 21.0 to 17.5
51 Eastern Washington over 68 Oregon 38.5 to 38.5
17 Pittsburgh over 22 Tennessee 42.0 to 35.0
189 McNeese State over 186 Rice 28.0 to 21.0
47 Southern California over 98 Stanford 35.0 to 31.5
212 Lafayette over 208 Temple 24.5 to 21.0
180 Texas State - San Marcos over 206 Florida International 35.0 to 31.5
60 Texas Tech over 38 Houston 38.5 to 38.5
25 Vanderbilt over 21 Wake Forest 45.5 to 45.5
89 Virginia Tech over 93 Boston College 28.0 to 24.5
238 Grambling over 247 Northwestern State 28.0 to 21.0
177 Jackson State over 220 Tennessee State 31.5 to 21.0
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