ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
2 Alabama over 184 Northeast Louisiana 66.5 to 3.5
4 Michigan over 227 Connecticut 70.0 to 7.0
19 Tennessee over 208 Akron 59.5 to 14.0
20 Wisconsin over 243 New Mexico State 49.0 to 0.0
80-90% chance of victory:
91 Austin Peay over 222 Alabama A&M 42.0 to 14.0
12 North Dakota State over 125 Arizona 45.5 to 14.0
33 Arizona State over 123 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 17.5
18 Baylor over 180 Texas State - San Marcos 49.0 to 10.5
60 Marshall over 189 Bowling Green 42.0 to 21.0
34 California - Los Angeles over 150 South Alabama 45.5 to 17.5
110 Central Michigan over 252 Bucknell 42.0 to 17.5
8 Clemson over 159 Louisiana Tech 52.5 to 10.5
56 Coastal Carolina over 131 Buffalo 42.0 to 24.5
49 Florida over 156 South Florida 45.5 to 17.5
120 Georgia State over 215 North Carolina - Charlot 49.0 to 24.5
21 Mississippi over 119 Georgia Tech 38.5 to 24.5
144 Illinois State over 242 Eastern Illinois 35.0 to 10.5
71 Montana over 175 Indiana State 31.5 to 10.5
39 Iowa over 130 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 10.5
17 Iowa State over 152 Ohio 45.5 to 14.0
143 Stony Brook over 245 Massachusetts 45.5 to 14.0
52 Mercer over 198 The Citadel 45.5 to 10.5
6 Cincinnati over 114 Miami - Ohio 38.5 to 14.0
81 Missouri over 202 Abilene Christian 42.0 to 21.0
10 Oklahoma over 151 Nebraska 59.5 to 28.0
85 Nevada - Las Vegas over 181 North Texas 38.5 to 17.5
3 Ohio State over 84 Toledo 52.5 to 17.5
5 Oklahoma State over 254 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 73.5 to 14.0
41 Louisiana - Lafayette over 194 Rice 45.5 to 14.0
1 Georgia over 86 South Carolina 38.5 to 3.5
108 South Dakota over 212 California Poly 38.5 to 17.5
45 South Dakota State over 259 Butler 56.0 to 7.0
88 Rutgers over 211 Temple 38.5 to 14.0
15 Texas over 83 Texas - San Antonio 49.0 to 21.0
13 Utah over 80 San Diego State 35.0 to 14.0
65 Virginia over 141 Old Dominion 38.5 to 21.0
94 Virginia Tech over 210 Wofford 38.5 to 14.0
22 Wake Forest over 78 Liberty 45.5 to 28.0
54 Washington State over 139 Colorado State 38.5 to 17.5
169 Western Carolina over 261 Presbyterian 66.5 to 31.5
23 Pittsburgh over 102 Western Michigan 45.5 to 28.0
70-80% chance of victory:
36 Air Force over 96 Wyoming 42.0 to 31.5
48 Appalachian State over 147 Troy State 42.0 to 17.5
25 Arkansas over 93 Missouri State 42.0 to 28.0
50 Boise State over 133 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 21.0
99 Boston College over 153 Maine 31.5 to 21.0
63 Dartmouth over 225 Valparaiso 52.5 to 14.0
89 East Carolina over 168 Campbell 38.5 to 24.5
155 Eastern Kentucky over 187 Charleston Southern 38.5 to 24.5
111 Elon over 192 Gardner - Webb 42.0 to 21.0
47 Houston over 115 Kansas 49.0 to 35.0
128 Idaho State over 173 Central Arkansas 45.5 to 31.5
164 Jackson State over 226 Grambling 31.5 to 14.0
32 Kansas State over 97 Tulane 35.0 to 17.5
135 Kent State over 249 Long Island 49.0 to 28.0
26 Kentucky over 132 Youngstown State 42.0 to 21.0
117 William & Mary over 205 Lafayette 28.0 to 14.0
126 Richmond over 231 Lehigh 31.5 to 14.0
95 Memphis over 160 Arkansas State 45.5 to 31.5
127 Middle Tennessee State over 220 Tennessee State 35.0 to 21.0
35 Minnesota over 116 Colorado 35.0 to 14.0
134 Monmouth over 213 Georgetown 42.0 to 24.5
179 Sacred Heart over 247 Morgan State 28.0 to 10.5
145 New Hampshire over 219 North Carolina Central 38.5 to 17.5
162 New Mexico over 214 Texas - El Paso 28.0 to 14.0
30 North Carolina State over 58 Texas Tech 38.5 to 28.0
7 Notre Dame over 68 California 35.0 to 14.0
103 Incarnate Word over 200 Prairie View 45.5 to 31.5
112 Southeast Louisiana over 209 Central Connecticut 42.0 to 24.5
165 Southeast Missouri State over 183 Nicholls State 38.5 to 28.0
43 Southern California over 66 Fresno State 42.0 to 28.0
188 Southern Mississippi over 251 Northwestern State 38.5 to 21.0
67 Princeton over 257 Stetson 56.0 to 14.0
124 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 190 North Alabama 38.5 to 21.0
193 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 258 Wagner 38.5 to 17.5
74 West Virginia over 157 Towson 31.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
92 Alabama - Birmingham over 154 Georgia Southern 35.0 to 24.5
61 Villanova over 73 Army 31.5 to 28.0
158 Ball State over 230 Murray State 31.5 to 21.0
109 California - Davis over 204 San Diego 38.5 to 21.0
241 Delaware State over 256 Houston Baptist 28.0 to 17.5
148 Duke over 177 North Carolina A&T 28.0 to 24.5
72 Central Florida over 104 Florida Atlantic 31.5 to 28.0
146 Fordham over 166 Albany 42.0 to 31.5
240 Duquesne over 244 Hawaii 31.5 to 28.0
171 Idaho over 250 Drake 28.0 to 21.0
239 Northern Colorado over 255 Lamar 28.0 to 21.0
42 Louisiana State over 38 Mississippi State 35.0 to 28.0
140 Columbia over 248 Marist 38.5 to 21.0
195 McNeese State over 221 Alcorn State 28.0 to 21.0
113 North Dakota over 167 Northern Arizona 28.0 to 21.0
64 Vanderbilt over 122 Northern Illinois 38.5 to 35.0
70 Northern Iowa over 98 Sacramento State 28.0 to 21.0
107 Southern Illinois over 174 Northwestern 35.0 to 21.0
11 Oregon over 27 Brigham Young 45.5 to 42.0
44 Montana State over 46 Oregon State 35.0 to 31.5
161 Pennsylvania over 197 Colgate 31.5 to 17.5
129 Rhode Island over 136 Delaware 28.0 to 24.5
37 Purdue over 82 Syracuse 28.0 to 24.5
149 Samford over 236 Tennessee Tech 42.0 to 31.5
28 Texas A&M over 40 Miami - Florida 28.0 to 24.5
75 Jacksonville State over 79 Tulsa 31.5 to 24.5
14 Michigan State over 53 Washington 28.0 to 21.0
176 Western Illinois over 203 Southern Utah 38.5 to 31.5
218 Southern over 246 Texas Southern 45.5 to 31.5
50-60% chance of victory:
69 Louisville over 57 Florida State 28.0 to 28.0
29 Auburn over 16 Penn State 28.0 to 24.5
185 Brown over 199 Bryant 42.0 to 38.5
121 East Tennessee State over 137 Furman 31.5 to 24.5
101 Holy Cross over 100 Yale 35.0 to 35.0
87 Indiana over 90 Western Kentucky 38.5 to 38.5
55 Maryland over 51 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 38.5
196 Hampton over 206 Norfolk State 38.5 to 35.0
186 Cornell over 172 Virginia Military 31.5 to 31.5
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