ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
2 Ohio State over 45 Iowa 45.5 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
55 Appalachian State over 129 Georgia State 42.0 to 24.5
76 Tulsa over 198 Temple 38.5 to 17.5
3 Alabama over 18 Mississippi State 45.5 to 21.0
185 Colgate over 239 Georgetown 35.0 to 21.0
101 Delaware over 226 Morgan State 42.0 to 10.5
96 Richmond over 202 Hampton 35.0 to 17.5
17 James Madison over 103 Marshall 38.5 to 14.0
169 Kennesaw State over 233 Tennessee Tech 42.0 to 21.0
109 Kent State over 206 Akron 42.0 to 21.0
46 Holy Cross over 219 Lafayette 35.0 to 7.0
209 Prairie View over 258 Lamar 35.0 to 17.5
42 Maryland over 154 Northwestern 35.0 to 14.0
79 San Jose State over 214 New Mexico State 35.0 to 10.5
80 California - Davis over 240 Northern Colorado 49.0 to 17.5
127 Southeast Missouri State over 253 Northwestern State 49.0 to 21.0
26 Notre Dame over 126 Nevada - Las Vegas 42.0 to 14.0
30 Oregon State over 157 Colorado 42.0 to 14.0
225 Saint Thomas - Minnesota over 260 Presbyterian 49.0 to 21.0
180 North Carolina A&T over 256 Robert Morris 31.5 to 14.0
179 Southern over 261 Houston Baptist 45.5 to 10.5
19 Cincinnati over 67 Southern Methodist 42.0 to 28.0
4 Tennessee over 124 Tennessee - Martin 52.5 to 21.0
70 Texas - San Antonio over 173 North Texas 49.0 to 28.0
85 William & Mary over 195 Towson 35.0 to 21.0
134 Furman over 220 Virginia Military 38.5 to 21.0
14 Wake Forest over 122 Boston College 45.5 to 21.0
165 Western Carolina over 217 The Citadel 35.0 to 24.5
135 Youngstown State over 230 Western Illinois 45.5 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
50 Air Force over 98 Boise State 28.0 to 17.5
196 Alcorn State over 223 Texas Southern 35.0 to 21.0
131 Army over 158 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 24.5
28 Baylor over 41 Kansas 42.0 to 31.5
237 Butler over 255 Marist 28.0 to 21.0
144 Central Michigan over 171 Bowling Green 38.5 to 28.0
11 Clemson over 24 Syracuse 38.5 to 21.0
182 Colorado State over 199 Hawaii 35.0 to 28.0
236 Dayton over 254 Stetson 35.0 to 24.5
192 Davidson over 252 Drake 28.0 to 17.5
27 Central Florida over 72 East Carolina 35.0 to 28.0
162 Eastern Kentucky over 201 North Alabama 42.0 to 28.0
120 Idaho over 175 Portland State 42.0 to 28.0
176 Northern Arizona over 222 Idaho State 31.5 to 24.5
160 Illinois State over 189 Indiana State 28.0 to 21.0
102 Jackson State over 133 Campbell 38.5 to 24.5
210 Lehigh over 242 Bucknell 24.5 to 10.5
54 Brigham Young over 90 Liberty 35.0 to 28.0
89 Louisiana - Lafayette over 130 Arkansas State 35.0 to 24.5
69 Miami - Florida over 77 Duke 31.5 to 21.0
143 Miami - Ohio over 187 Western Michigan 28.0 to 17.5
251 Bethune - Cookman over 259 Mississippi Valley State 28.0 to 24.5
61 Missouri over 92 Vanderbilt 38.5 to 28.0
207 Valparaiso over 246 Morehead State 38.5 to 28.0
119 Fresno State over 183 New Mexico 24.5 to 17.5
188 North Carolina - Charlot over 234 Florida International 38.5 to 28.0
62 South Dakota State over 111 North Dakota 31.5 to 21.0
117 Northern Iowa over 137 Missouri State 31.5 to 24.5
197 Tennessee State over 229 Eastern Illinois 28.0 to 17.5
8 Texas Christian over 33 Kansas State 35.0 to 24.5
63 Tulane over 100 Memphis 35.0 to 28.0
110 Villanova over 167 Albany 45.5 to 28.0
29 Wisconsin over 39 Purdue 35.0 to 24.5
97 Wyoming over 138 Utah State 31.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
64 South Alabama over 91 Troy State 28.0 to 21.0
60 Western Kentucky over 78 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 28.0
153 Ball State over 161 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 28.0
38 Washington over 82 California 31.5 to 24.5
164 Gardner - Webb over 211 Charleston Southern 35.0 to 28.0
151 Columbia over 166 Dartmouth 24.5 to 21.0
216 Howard over 235 Delaware State 31.5 to 28.0
86 Jacksonville State over 65 Southeast Louisiana 42.0 to 38.5
9 Mississippi over 22 Louisiana State 31.5 to 28.0
141 Rice over 174 Louisiana Tech 35.0 to 35.0
47 Louisville over 44 Pittsburgh 31.5 to 28.0
113 Monmouth over 115 Rhode Island 35.0 to 28.0
83 Navy over 93 Houston 31.5 to 24.5
149 San Diego State over 168 Nevada - Reno 21.0 to 17.5
10 Oklahoma State over 6 Texas 38.5 to 35.0
95 Georgia Southern over 125 Old Dominion 31.5 to 31.5
23 Oregon over 21 California - Los Angeles 42.0 to 35.0
15 Penn State over 16 Minnesota 28.0 to 21.0
108 Pennsylvania over 121 Yale 31.5 to 28.0
87 Indiana over 136 Rutgers 28.0 to 24.5
53 Sacramento State over 66 Montana 35.0 to 28.0
123 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 227 Stonehill 66.5 to 42.0
156 North Carolina Central over 200 South Carolina State 31.5 to 28.0
112 Southern Illinois over 163 South Dakota 28.0 to 24.5
74 Stanford over 88 Arizona State 31.5 to 24.5
49 Mercer over 106 Tennessee - Chattanooga 28.0 to 24.5
147 Florida Atlantic over 177 Texas - El Paso 28.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
99 Virginia over 132 Georgia Tech 24.5 to 24.5
84 Harvard over 75 Princeton 28.0 to 28.0
172 Cornell over 190 Brown 35.0 to 35.0
73 Toledo over 105 Buffalo 31.5 to 31.5
186 Eastern Washington over 204 California Poly 45.5 to 45.5
243 Central Connecticut over 224 Duquesne 17.5 to 17.5
145 East Tennessee State over 140 Samford 31.5 to 31.5
203 Lindenwood over 245 Murray State 45.5 to 42.0
51 Weber State over 68 Montana State 28.0 to 28.0
107 Elon over 159 New Hampshire 24.5 to 21.0
208 McNeese State over 238 Nicholls State 28.0 to 28.0
139 Ohio over 118 Northern Illinois 38.5 to 38.5
34 Texas A&M over 48 South Carolina 21.0 to 21.0
184 Southern Utah over 178 Stephen F. Austin 28.0 to 24.5
181 Maine over 212 Stony Brook 24.5 to 21.0
152 Texas State - San Marcos over 142 Southern Mississippi 24.5 to 24.5
40 West Virginia over 57 Texas Tech 35.0 to 35.0
247 Wagner over 249 Long Island 31.5 to 31.5
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