ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
70 California - Davis over 224 Idaho State 49.0 to 14.0
97 Fresno State over 196 Hawaii 42.0 to 17.5
51 Holy Cross over 217 Lehigh 45.5 to 10.5
58 Incarnate Word over 260 Houston Baptist 66.5 to 7.0
62 Southeast Louisiana over 256 Lamar 59.5 to 14.0
67 Montana over 218 California Poly 49.0 to 14.0
1 Ohio State over 134 Northwestern 59.5 to 14.0
5 Michigan over 126 Rutgers 42.0 to 10.5
95 Samford over 241 Virginia Military 52.5 to 17.5
57 North Dakota State over 237 Western Illinois 49.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
162 Connecticut over 243 Massachusetts 35.0 to 10.5
74 Fordham over 239 Bucknell 52.5 to 24.5
226 Charleston Southern over 259 Robert Morris 35.0 to 14.0
32 Cincinnati over 109 Navy 38.5 to 17.5
13 Oregon over 166 Colorado 49.0 to 17.5
183 Davidson over 250 Stetson 42.0 to 21.0
123 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 228 Georgetown 42.0 to 17.5
231 Grambling over 257 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 38.5 to 17.5
86 William & Mary over 206 Hampton 35.0 to 21.0
10 Penn State over 100 Indiana 38.5 to 21.0
240 Alabama A&M over 258 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 24.5
23 Minnesota over 118 Nebraska 35.0 to 21.0
99 Western Kentucky over 172 North Carolina - Charlot 45.5 to 31.5
171 North Carolina A&T over 255 Norfolk State 45.5 to 17.5
157 North Carolina Central over 200 Howard 42.0 to 28.0
139 North Texas over 207 Florida International 38.5 to 21.0
66 Montana State over 173 Northern Arizona 42.0 to 21.0
234 Dayton over 261 Presbyterian 42.0 to 14.0
68 Princeton over 176 Dartmouth 35.0 to 14.0
88 Rhode Island over 195 Maine 38.5 to 21.0
84 Richmond over 148 New Hampshire 31.5 to 17.5
71 San Jose State over 197 Colorado State 35.0 to 10.5
7 Southern California over 103 California 45.5 to 17.5
6 Texas Christian over 50 Texas Tech 45.5 to 28.0
83 Jackson State over 214 Texas Southern 42.0 to 14.0
81 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 211 The Citadel 31.5 to 10.5
12 Utah over 82 Arizona 49.0 to 24.5
22 North Carolina over 102 Virginia 42.0 to 28.0
115 Yale over 181 Brown 42.0 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
114 Kent State over 152 Ball State 35.0 to 28.0
130 Northern Illinois over 159 Central Michigan 38.5 to 31.5
28 California - Los Angeles over 108 Arizona State 38.5 to 28.0
26 Arkansas over 69 Liberty 42.0 to 28.0
76 Boise State over 77 Brigham Young 31.5 to 24.5
138 Campbell over 210 Bryant 38.5 to 28.0
121 Pennsylvania over 179 Cornell 31.5 to 17.5
106 Delaware over 132 Monmouth 35.0 to 28.0
110 Elon over 143 Albany 35.0 to 28.0
2 Georgia over 3 Tennessee 42.0 to 28.0
117 Harvard over 164 Columbia 31.5 to 17.5
89 Idaho over 192 Eastern Washington 49.0 to 31.5
14 Illinois over 55 Michigan State 24.5 to 14.0
129 North Dakota over 193 Indiana State 38.5 to 28.0
43 Iowa State over 59 West Virginia 28.0 to 21.0
15 Oklahoma State over 42 Kansas 45.5 to 38.5
4 Alabama over 16 Louisiana State 35.0 to 24.5
127 Middle Tennessee State over 177 Louisiana Tech 42.0 to 31.5
31 Central Florida over 96 Memphis 42.0 to 28.0
33 Florida State over 91 Miami - Florida 31.5 to 24.5
20 Mississippi State over 73 Auburn 35.0 to 21.0
158 Austin Peay over 223 North Alabama 45.5 to 28.0
56 South Dakota State over 119 Northern Iowa 31.5 to 24.5
191 Portland State over 242 Northern Colorado 38.5 to 24.5
184 Prairie View over 230 Alcorn State 31.5 to 24.5
213 South Carolina State over 238 Delaware State 28.0 to 17.5
63 Southern Methodist over 80 Houston 42.0 to 35.0
112 Tennessee - Martin over 185 Kennesaw State 38.5 to 24.5
128 Southeast Missouri State over 204 Tennessee State 31.5 to 21.0
136 Villanova over 186 Towson 38.5 to 24.5
146 Utah State over 189 New Mexico 28.0 to 14.0
40 South Carolina over 93 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 24.5
122 Virginia Tech over 142 Georgia Tech 24.5 to 17.5
27 Wisconsin over 39 Maryland 35.0 to 24.5
64 Air Force over 107 Army 31.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
98 Buffalo over 135 Ohio 35.0 to 28.0
54 Appalachian State over 87 Coastal Carolina 35.0 to 31.5
165 Rice over 170 Texas - El Paso 28.0 to 24.5
65 Duke over 137 Boston College 28.0 to 21.0
92 Alabama - Birmingham over 90 Texas - San Antonio 28.0 to 24.5
219 Alabama State over 248 Bethune - Cookman 31.5 to 24.5
194 Colgate over 220 Lafayette 21.0 to 14.0
140 Eastern Kentucky over 141 Central Arkansas 38.5 to 35.0
163 Illinois State over 131 Youngstown State 28.0 to 24.5
101 Louisiana - Lafayette over 85 Troy State 21.0 to 21.0
225 McNeese State over 235 Eastern Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
18 Wake Forest over 45 North Carolina State 31.5 to 31.5
153 Texas State - San Marcos over 169 Northeast Louisiana 31.5 to 28.0
25 Oklahoma over 19 Baylor 31.5 to 28.0
79 Marshall over 124 Old Dominion 24.5 to 17.5
41 Purdue over 47 Iowa 24.5 to 21.0
222 San Diego over 205 Butler 28.0 to 24.5
145 San Diego State over 125 Nevada - Las Vegas 28.0 to 24.5
38 Washington State over 75 Stanford 24.5 to 21.0
221 Stonehill over 254 Wagner 59.5 to 42.0
236 Stony Brook over 215 Morgan State 24.5 to 21.0
150 South Florida over 190 Temple 28.0 to 24.5
36 Texas A&M over 37 Florida 31.5 to 24.5
52 Tulane over 111 Tulsa 35.0 to 31.5
48 Weber State over 49 Sacramento State 31.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
161 Bowling Green over 167 Western Michigan 28.0 to 28.0
35 Washington over 29 Oregon State 35.0 to 31.5
212 Duquesne over 198 Sacred Heart 17.5 to 14.0
174 Southern over 209 Florida A&M 24.5 to 24.5
94 Georgia Southern over 61 South Alabama 31.5 to 31.5
11 Kansas State over 8 Texas 28.0 to 24.5
246 Central Connecticut over 247 Long Island 35.0 to 35.0
24 Louisville over 30 James Madison 28.0 to 28.0
46 Missouri over 44 Kentucky 21.0 to 21.0
253 Marist over 251 Morehead State 31.5 to 31.5
9 Clemson over 21 Notre Dame 28.0 to 28.0
34 Syracuse over 60 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 28.0
168 South Dakota over 149 Missouri State 28.0 to 28.0
113 Southern Mississippi over 116 Georgia State 28.0 to 28.0
180 Abilene Christian over 202 Tarleton State 35.0 to 31.5
227 Tennessee Tech over 203 Lindenwood 49.0 to 42.0
216 Valparaiso over 199 Saint Thomas - Minnesota 35.0 to 35.0
182 Western Carolina over 187 Wofford 35.0 to 31.5
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