ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
4 Alabama over 57 Auburn 45.5 to 14.0
11 Utah over 177 Colorado 49.0 to 10.5
1 Georgia over 131 Georgia Tech 49.0 to 0.0
78 Liberty over 196 New Mexico State 45.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
92 Ohio over 162 Bowling Green 38.5 to 24.5
214 Alabama State over 259 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 38.5 to 10.5
67 Boise State over 111 Utah State 35.0 to 21.0
28 Iowa over 98 Nebraska 31.5 to 10.5
42 Central Florida over 166 South Florida 45.5 to 24.5
7 Texas over 20 Baylor 38.5 to 21.0
15 Clemson over 34 South Carolina 38.5 to 21.0
126 Middle Tennessee State over 239 Florida International 38.5 to 17.5
9 Kansas State over 40 Kansas 42.0 to 21.0
52 Maryland over 130 Rutgers 35.0 to 17.5
97 Army over 224 Massachusetts 38.5 to 14.0
129 North Texas over 181 Rice 42.0 to 28.0
146 Northern Illinois over 205 Akron 42.0 to 24.5
2 Ohio State over 6 Michigan 42.0 to 28.0
8 Penn State over 56 Michigan State 42.0 to 17.5
94 San Jose State over 190 Hawaii 42.0 to 21.0
60 Texas - San Antonio over 152 Texas - El Paso 42.0 to 21.0
5 Texas Christian over 45 Iowa State 31.5 to 14.0
3 Tennessee over 83 Vanderbilt 52.5 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
37 California - Los Angeles over 88 California 35.0 to 28.0
178 Colorado State over 204 New Mexico 24.5 to 14.0
12 Florida State over 27 Florida 38.5 to 24.5
69 Fresno State over 124 Wyoming 35.0 to 21.0
30 North Carolina over 53 North Carolina State 35.0 to 28.0
100 Toledo over 170 Western Michigan 28.0 to 21.0
91 Troy State over 161 Arkansas State 31.5 to 17.5
68 Syracuse over 136 Boston College 28.0 to 21.0
17 Wake Forest over 55 Duke 38.5 to 31.5
58 Houston over 121 Tulsa 45.5 to 31.5
50 Purdue over 85 Indiana 35.0 to 31.5
48 James Madison over 76 Coastal Carolina 38.5 to 28.0
14 Louisville over 49 Kentucky 24.5 to 17.5
105 Alabama - Birmingham over 183 Louisiana Tech 38.5 to 24.5
61 Marshall over 104 Georgia State 31.5 to 17.5
44 Pittsburgh over 114 Miami - Florida 28.0 to 21.0
155 Nevada - Las Vegas over 187 Nevada - Reno 35.0 to 28.0
31 Illinois over 118 Northwestern 24.5 to 10.5
33 Oklahoma State over 63 West Virginia 42.0 to 31.5
46 South Alabama over 157 Old Dominion 31.5 to 17.5
87 East Carolina over 164 Temple 35.0 to 21.0
13 Louisiana State over 79 Texas A&M 28.0 to 17.5
197 Southern over 235 Grambling 31.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
147 Miami - Ohio over 150 Ball State 24.5 to 17.5
26 Mississippi over 23 Mississippi State 38.5 to 35.0
71 Arizona over 113 Arizona State 38.5 to 31.5
137 Eastern Michigan over 149 Central Michigan 31.5 to 28.0
125 Buffalo over 127 Kent State 31.5 to 28.0
47 Cincinnati over 36 Tulane 28.0 to 24.5
86 Western Kentucky over 133 Florida Atlantic 31.5 to 28.0
74 Appalachian State over 115 Georgia Southern 38.5 to 31.5
132 Southern Mississippi over 153 Northeast Louisiana 31.5 to 28.0
19 Oregon State over 18 Oregon 31.5 to 28.0
73 Air Force over 107 San Diego State 21.0 to 17.5
10 Southern California over 16 Notre Dame 42.0 to 35.0
72 Southern Methodist over 90 Memphis 45.5 to 38.5
110 Louisiana - Lafayette over 142 Texas State - San Marcos 28.0 to 24.5
116 Virginia Tech over 123 Virginia 24.5 to 21.0
21 Washington State over 22 Washington 31.5 to 28.0
35 Wisconsin over 29 Minnesota 24.5 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
38 Arkansas over 54 Missouri 31.5 to 28.0
81 Brigham Young over 106 Stanford 28.0 to 28.0
25 Texas Tech over 24 Oklahoma 31.5 to 31.5
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