ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 80-90% chance of victory: 129 Buffalo over 178 Akron 38.5 to 21.0 61 Texas - San Antonio over 121 North Texas 42.0 to 28.0 107 Jackson State over 193 Southern 35.0 to 14.0 1 Georgia over 14 Louisiana State 35.0 to 17.5 3 Michigan over 46 Purdue 45.5 to 21.0 70-80% chance of victory: 70 Holy Cross over 100 New Hampshire 38.5 to 28.0 40 Incarnate Word over 71 Furman 42.0 to 35.0 60 North Dakota State over 66 Montana 35.0 to 21.0 64 South Dakota State over 72 Delaware 31.5 to 21.0 78 William & Mary over 128 Gardner - Webb 42.0 to 24.5 60-70% chance of victory: 62 Boise State over 57 Fresno State 31.5 to 24.5 44 Montana State over 59 Weber State 38.5 to 35.0 38 Sacramento State over 74 Richmond 35.0 to 28.0 79 Samford over 95 Southeast Louisiana 38.5 to 38.5 80 Troy State over 98 Coastal Carolina 28.0 to 21.0 29 Tulane over 42 Central Florida 31.5 to 28.0 16 Clemson over 37 North Carolina 38.5 to 35.0 84 Ohio over 126 Toledo 35.0 to 31.5 50-60% chance of victory: 12 Utah over 10 Southern California 38.5 to 38.5 4 Texas Christian over 7 Kansas State 35.0 to 31.5
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