ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 70-80% chance of victory: 75 Utah State over 225 Connecticut 56.0 to 28.0 60-70% chance of victory: 119 Florida Atlantic over 174 North Carolina - Charlot 45.5 to 31.5 66 Florida State over 181 Duquesne 52.5 to 31.5 115 Hawaii over 163 Vanderbilt 45.5 to 38.5 149 Mercer over 238 Morehead State 56.0 to 35.0 68 Nevada - Reno over 204 New Mexico State 63.0 to 38.5 47 North Carolina over 173 Florida A&M 52.5 to 35.0 49 Western Kentucky over 155 Austin Peay 56.0 to 38.5 37 Nebraska over 106 Northwestern 42.0 to 31.5 50-60% chance of victory: 93 Illinois over 110 Wyoming 38.5 to 31.5 160 Nevada - Las Vegas over 216 Idaho State 45.5 to 38.5 138 North Texas over 154 Texas - El Paso 42.0 to 42.0 234 Howard over 239 Alabama State 38.5 to 38.5 141 Stephen F. Austin over 175 Jacksonville State 38.5 to 38.5
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