2023 Week 4 (21-24 Sep) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA


90-100% chance of victory:

   Duke                       over  Connecticut                rounded predicted score:  56.0-17.5
   Eastern Illinois           over  McNeese State              rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   Florida A&M                over  Alabama State              rounded predicted score:  31.5-10.5
   Florida                    over  North Carolina - Charlott  rounded predicted score:  42.0-14.0
   Fordham                    over  Stonehill                  rounded predicted score:  42.0-21.0
   Fresno State               over  Kent State                 rounded predicted score:  42.0-21.0
   Georgia                    over  Alabama - Birmingham       rounded predicted score:  63.0-10.5
   Holy Cross                 over  Colgate                    rounded predicted score:  49.0-17.5
   Illinois State             over  Lindenwood                 rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   Illinois                   over  Florida Atlantic           rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Indiana                    over  Akron                      rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Liberty                    over  Florida International      rounded predicted score:  45.5-24.5
   Louisville                 over  Boston College             rounded predicted score:  42.0-21.0
   Miami - Florida            over  Temple                     rounded predicted score:  45.5-17.5
   Miami - Ohio               over  Delaware State             rounded predicted score:  70.0-14.0
   Missouri State             over  Utah Tech                  rounded predicted score:  45.5-21.0
   Montana                    over  Northern Arizona           rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Nebraska                   over  Louisiana Tech             rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Old Dominion               over  Texas A&M-Commerce         rounded predicted score:  52.5-17.5
   Oregon                     over  Colorado                   rounded predicted score:  42.0-21.0
   Penn State                 over  Iowa                       rounded predicted score:  31.5-10.5
   Robert Morris              over  Houston Christian          rounded predicted score:  45.5-14.0
   South Carolina State       over  The Citadel                rounded predicted score:  28.0-7.0
   Southeast Louisiana        over  Houston Christian          rounded predicted score:  52.5-14.0
   Southern California        over  Arizona State              rounded predicted score:  66.5-21.0
   Southern Utah              over  Western Illinois           rounded predicted score:  45.5-17.5
   Syracuse                   over  Army                       rounded predicted score:  35.0-10.5
   Tennessee - Martin         over  North Alabama              rounded predicted score:  38.5-21.0
   Texas State - San Marcos   over  Nevada - Reno              rounded predicted score:  42.0-21.0
   Texas                      over  Baylor                     rounded predicted score:  42.0-21.0
   Toledo                     over  Western Michigan           rounded predicted score:  42.0-14.0
   Tulane                     over  Nicholls State             rounded predicted score:  63.0-14.0
   William & Mary             over  Maine                      rounded predicted score:  35.0-14.0

80-90% chance of victory:

   Albany                     over  Morgan State               rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Alcorn State               over  Prairie View               rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Coastal Carolina           over  Georgia State              rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Dartmouth                  over  Lehigh                     rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0
   East Carolina              over  Gardner - Webb             rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Harvard                    over  Brown                      rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Idaho                      over  Sacramento State           rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Iowa State                 over  Oklahoma State             rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Kennesaw State             over  Tennessee Tech             rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Louisiana State            over  Arkansas                   rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   North Carolina Central     over  Mississippi Valley State   rounded predicted score:  31.5-14.0
   North Carolina State       over  Virginia                   rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Oklahoma                   over  Cincinnati                 rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Pennsylvania               over  Bucknell                   rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Richmond                   over  Stony Brook                rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0
   Tennessee                  over  Texas - San Antonio        rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Troy State                 over  Western Kentucky           rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Valparaiso                 over  Marist                     rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Washington                 over  California                 rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Western Carolina           over  Charleston Southern        rounded predicted score:  31.5-14.0

70-80% chance of victory:

   California - Davis         over  Eastern Washington         rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Campbell                   over  Elon                       rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Grambling                  over  Texas Southern             rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Jackson State              over  Bethune - Cookman          rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Jacksonville State         over  Eastern Michigan           rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Kentucky                   over  Vanderbilt                 rounded predicted score:  35.0-24.5
   Louisiana - Lafayette      over  Buffalo                    rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Michigan                   over  Rutgers                    rounded predicted score:  21.0-10.5
   Oregon State               over  Washington State           rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Saint Thomas - Minnesota   over  Morehead State             rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0
   Samford                    over  Tennessee - Chattanooga    rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   South Alabama              over  Central Michigan           rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Towson                     over  Norfolk State              rounded predicted score:  21.0-10.5
   Utah State                 over  James Madison              rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5

60-70% chance of victory:

   Air Force                  over  San Jose State             rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Alabama A&M                over  Arkansas - Pine Bluff      rounded predicted score:  14.0-10.5
   Appalachian State          over  Wyoming                    rounded predicted score:  35.0-28.0
   Arizona                    over  Stanford                   rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Ball State                 over  Georgia Southern           rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Boise State                over  San Diego State            rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Bowling Green              over  Ohio                       rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Butler                     over  Stetson                    rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Central Arkansas           over  Abilene Christian          rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Florida State              over  Clemson                    rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Furman                     over  Mercer                     rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Houston                    over  Sam Houston State          rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Idaho State                over  Northern Colorado          rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Kansas State               over  Central Florida            rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Lafayette                  over  Monmouth                   rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Marshall                   over  Virginia Tech              rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Massachusetts              over  New Mexico                 rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Memphis                    over  Missouri                   rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Merrimack                  over  Wagner                     rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   North Carolina             over  Pittsburgh                 rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Northwestern               over  Minnesota                  rounded predicted score:  14.0-7.0
   Portland State             over  California Poly            rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Purdue                     over  Wisconsin                  rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Saint Francis - Pennsylva  over  Sacred Heart               rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   South Carolina             over  Mississippi State          rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Southeast Missouri State   over  Eastern Kentucky           rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Southern Mississippi       over  Arkansas State             rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Texas A&M                  over  Auburn                     rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Yale                       over  Cornell                    rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5

50-60% chance of victory:

   Brigham Young              over  Kansas                     rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Bryant                     over  Princeton                  rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   California - Los Angeles   over  Utah                       rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Dayton                     over  San Diego                  rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Georgetown                 over  Columbia                   rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Michigan State             over  Maryland                   rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Middle Tennessee State     over  Colorado State             rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Mississippi                over  Alabama                    rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Nevada - Las Vegas         over  Texas - El Paso            rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   New Hampshire              over  Delaware                   rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   New Mexico State           over  Hawaii                     rounded predicted score:  24.5-24.5
   Northern Illinois          over  Tulsa                      rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   Ohio State                 over  Notre Dame                 rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   Rice                       over  South Florida              rounded predicted score:  21.0-21.0
   Stephen F. Austin          over  Austin Peay                rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Texas Christian            over  Southern Methodist         rounded predicted score:  21.0-21.0
   Texas Tech                 over  West Virginia              rounded predicted score:  24.5-24.5
   Villanova                  over  Rhode Island               rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Wake Forest                over  Georgia Tech               rounded predicted score:  24.5-24.5
   Weber State                over  Montana State              rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Wofford                    over  Virginia Military          rounded predicted score:  10.5-10.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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