prob winning team actual/pred score, losing team actual/pred score 100% Northern Iowa 50/53.0, Western Illinois 6/15.6 99% Michigan 41/47.9, Purdue 13/12.8 99% North Carolina 59/61.2, Campbell 7/26.1 99% Idaho 27/49.5, Northern Colorado 13/16.8 99% Tennessee 59/45.6, Connecticut 3/14.1 98% Monmouth 56/45.8, Stony Brook 17/17.0 98% Oregon 63/44.8, California 19/16.2 97% Youngstown State 19/44.7, Indiana State 7/18.4 97% Florida State 24/46.4, Pittsburgh 7/20.2 96% Eastern Washington 48/43.2, California Poly 13/19.1 96% Montana State 45/42.3, Northern Arizona 21/18.2 95% Sam Houston State 24/36.3, Kennesaw State 21/12.6 95% Holy Cross 28/45.6, Lehigh 24/22.1 95% Western Carolina 28/43.1, Wofford 25/19.8 95% Mercer 38/28.7, The Citadel 16/ 5.9 94% Duke 24/31.0, Wake Forest 21/ 9.4 93% Ohio State 35/30.8, Rutgers 16/ 9.7 93% North Carolina Central 38/40.4, Norfolk State 24/19.6 93% Liberty 56/44.5, Louisiana Tech 30/24.1 92% Morgan State 24/30.7, Delaware State 17/11.0 91% South Dakota State 33/31.8, North Dakota State 16/12.9 91% Jackson State 21/35.3, Texas Southern 19/16.5 91% Fordham 27/38.3, Bucknell 21/19.6 90% Memphis 59/41.0, South Florida 50/23.0 90% Tennessee - Martin 44/31.7, Tennessee Tech 41/13.9 89% Bowling Green 24/27.5, Ball State 21/10.1 89% Davidson 61/43.2, Stetson 41/26.2 88% North Dakota 45/32.7, Murray State 31/16.0 88% Toledo 31/38.0, Buffalo 13/21.7 88% Penn State 51/30.2, Maryland 15/14.0 88% Central Arkansas 27/43.0, North Alabama 14/26.9 87% Southern Methodist 36/34.0, Rice 31/17.9 87% Utah 55/25.8, Arizona State 3/10.1 86% Louisville 34/30.4, Virginia Tech 3/15.3 85% Eastern Illinois 16/33.8, Lindenwood 10/19.3 85% Auburn 31/35.0, Vanderbilt 15/20.6 84% Southeast Louisiana 38/32.2, McNeese State 24/18.4 83% Albany 24/24.7, William & Mary 8/11.1 83% Harvard 38/25.3, Columbia 24/12.1 82% Bethune - Cookman 20/26.4, Mississippi Valley State 7/13.5 82% Florida A&M 42/33.7, Alabama A&M 28/21.0 81% Austin Peay 33/36.6, Eastern Kentucky 30/24.4 80% Valparaiso 21/25.7, Dayton 7/13.9 80% Oregon State 26/42.9, Colorado 19/31.1 80% Nevada - Las Vegas 56/36.0, New Mexico 14/24.4 79% Georgia 30/26.8, Missouri 21/15.7 78% Pennsylvania 23/30.5, Cornell 8/19.9 75% Coastal Carolina 28/30.0, Old Dominion 24/20.4 75% Wyoming 24/31.3, Colorado State 15/21.8 75% Tulane 13/22.1, East Carolina 10/12.8 74% Prairie View 38/20.7, Arkansas - Pine Bluff 14/11.5 74% South Carolina 38/28.9, Jacksonville State 28/19.9 73% Butler 49/28.5, Morehead State 7/19.7 73% Drake 10/23.7, Marist 3/15.2 73% Mississippi 38/26.2, Texas A&M 35/17.8 72% Massachusetts 31/27.0, Merrimack 21/19.0 71% Duquesne 34/24.8, Wagner 26/16.8 71% West Virginia 37/26.6, Brigham Young 7/18.9 71% Iowa 10/20.9, Northwestern 7/13.3 69% Western Kentucky 21/25.4, Texas - El Paso 13/18.4 69% Towson 42/21.9, North Carolina A&T 32/15.1 68% Abilene Christian 24/24.8, Utah Tech 7/18.0 68% Texas - San Antonio 37/34.1, North Texas 29/27.5 67% New Mexico State 13/22.8, Middle Tennessee State 7/16.5 67% Troy State 28/16.9, South Alabama 10/10.6 67% Utah State 32/34.3, San Diego State 24/28.1 67% Central Florida 28/26.2, Cincinnati 26/20.2 65% Fresno State 37/25.4, Boise State 30/20.0 65% Sacred Heart 31/20.3, Central Connecticut 24/15.0 64% James Madison 42/27.0, Georgia State 14/22.1 63% Lamar 41/17.2, Texas A&M-Commerce 21/12.5 62% Yale 36/27.9, Brown 17/23.8 61% Weber State 33/24.4, Idaho State 21/20.4 60% Arkansas 39/23.6, Florida 36/20.2 59% Alabama State 17/23.1, Grambling 6/19.9 57% California - Davis 37/17.9, Portland State 23/15.4 56% Appalachian State 31/32.6, Marshall 9/30.4 56% Texas Tech 35/20.7, Texas Christian 28/18.6 56% Southern Mississippi 24/17.7, Northeast Louisiana 7/15.6 56% Houston 25/26.5, Baylor 24/24.4 55% Akron 31/15.5, Kent State 27/13.6 54% Texas 33/15.6, Kansas State 30/14.2 53% Montana 34/21.7, Sacramento State 7/20.6 53% Tarleton State 59/25.4, Stephen F. Austin 17/24.3 53% Dartmouth 23/13.1, Princeton 21/12.1 53% Kansas 28/25.9, Iowa State 21/25.0 52% Alabama 42/21.4, Louisiana State 28/20.6 52% Washington 52/28.7, Southern California 42/27.9 49% Texas State - San Marcos 45/29.1, Georgia Southern 24/29.3 49% Georgia Tech 45/26.0, Virginia 17/26.3 49% San Diego 23/21.9, Presbyterian 13/22.2 49% Alcorn State 44/ 9.8, Southern 21/10.3 48% Furman 17/23.1, Tennessee - Chattanooga 14/23.7 48% North Carolina - Charlott 33/15.5, Tulsa 26/16.3 47% Arizona 27/15.5, California - Los Angeles 10/16.5 46% Villanova 45/20.5, New Hampshire 33/22.0 42% North Carolina State 20/18.3, Miami - Florida 6/21.0 41% Virginia Military 31/ 6.5, East Tennessee State 24/ 9.6 41% Illinois State 36/14.8, Missouri State 35/18.0 38% Gardner - Webb 45/22.2, Bryant 44/26.5 38% Illinois 27/17.5, Minnesota 26/21.9 37% Michigan State 20/ 8.0, Nebraska 17/12.6 37% Alabama - Birmingham 45/22.4, Florida Atlantic 42/27.0 35% Kentucky 24/13.7, Mississippi State 3/19.1 35% Boston College 17/16.9, Syracuse 10/22.3 33% South Carolina State 27/15.8, Howard 24/22.0 32% Central Michigan 37/23.6, Northern Illinois 31/30.0 31% Hawaii 27/15.7, Nevada - Reno 14/22.5 30% Nicholls State 45/11.8, Incarnate Word 32/19.3 27% Charleston Southern 35/14.6, Tennessee State 21/23.2 26% Long Island 29/16.1, Saint Francis - Pennsylva 28/25.3 25% Hampton 42/18.4, Maine 35/27.7 23% Indiana 20/16.1, Wisconsin 14/26.2 21% South Dakota 14/ 8.2, Southern Illinois 7/19.6 20% Oklahoma State 27/19.2, Oklahoma 24/30.8 20% Arkansas State 37/23.1, Louisiana - Lafayette 17/34.9 19% Clemson 31/17.2, Notre Dame 23/29.4 18% Temple 32/15.2, Navy 18/27.9 14% Stanford 10/19.6, Washington State 7/34.7 13% Elon 33/12.6, Delaware 27/28.2 05% Colgate 37/13.6, Lafayette 34/37.1 03% Army 23/ 6.4, Air Force 3/31.9 03% Robert Morris 21/15.4, Southeast Missouri State 20/41.1
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