2023 Week 11 (7-11 Nov) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA


90-100% chance of victory:

   Air Force                  over  Hawaii                     rounded predicted score:  35.0-14.0
   Albany                     over  Stony Brook                rounded predicted score:  42.0-14.0
   Austin Peay                over  Utah Tech                  rounded predicted score:  45.5-17.5
   Boise State                over  New Mexico                 rounded predicted score:  42.0-21.0
   California - Los Angeles   over  Arizona State              rounded predicted score:  31.5-10.5
   Florida State              over  Miami - Florida            rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Furman                     over  Virginia Military          rounded predicted score:  35.0-14.0
   Illinois State             over  Murray State               rounded predicted score:  31.5-10.5
   Incarnate Word             over  Northwestern State         rounded predicted score:  35.0-10.5
   James Madison              over  Connecticut                rounded predicted score:  42.0-14.0
   Kansas State               over  Baylor                     rounded predicted score:  49.0-14.0
   Kennesaw State             over  Houston Christian          rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   Louisiana State            over  Florida                    rounded predicted score:  45.5-21.0
   Louisville                 over  Virginia                   rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   Merrimack                  over  Central Connecticut        rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Miami - Ohio               over  Akron                      rounded predicted score:  42.0-14.0
   Montana State              over  Eastern Washington         rounded predicted score:  45.5-24.5
   Northern Arizona           over  Northern Colorado          rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   Ohio State                 over  Michigan State             rounded predicted score:  42.0-7.0
   Oregon State               over  Stanford                   rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   Oregon                     over  Southern California        rounded predicted score:  42.0-21.0
   Rhode Island               over  North Carolina A&T         rounded predicted score:  35.0-14.0
   Sacramento State           over  California Poly            rounded predicted score:  49.0-17.5
   South Alabama              over  Arkansas State             rounded predicted score:  35.0-14.0
   Southern Methodist         over  North Texas                rounded predicted score:  45.5-17.5
   Toledo                     over  Eastern Michigan           rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   Troy State                 over  Northeast Louisiana        rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   Tulane                     over  Tulsa                      rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   Villanova                  over  Towson                     rounded predicted score:  35.0-14.0
   Western Carolina           over  East Tennessee State       rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5

80-90% chance of victory:

   Alabama State              over  Mississippi Valley State   rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0
   Alabama                    over  Kentucky                   rounded predicted score:  31.5-14.0
   Bowling Green              over  Kent State                 rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0
   Bryant                     over  Lindenwood                 rounded predicted score:  38.5-24.5
   Central Arkansas           over  Eastern Kentucky           rounded predicted score:  38.5-28.0
   Davidson                   over  Morehead State             rounded predicted score:  42.0-28.0
   Drake                      over  Presbyterian               rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0
   Duquesne                   over  Stonehill                  rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Grambling                  over  Arkansas - Pine Bluff      rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Indiana State              over  Western Illinois           rounded predicted score:  28.0-10.5
   Liberty                    over  Old Dominion               rounded predicted score:  38.5-24.5
   Louisiana - Lafayette      over  Southern Mississippi       rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   McNeese State              over  Houston Christian          rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0
   Memphis                    over  North Carolina - Charlott  rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Nicholls State             over  Lamar                      rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0
   Northern Illinois          over  Ball State                 rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0
   Oklahoma                   over  West Virginia              rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   South Carolina             over  Vanderbilt                 rounded predicted score:  38.5-24.5
   South Dakota State         over  Youngstown State           rounded predicted score:  38.5-21.0
   South Florida              over  Temple                     rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Southern                   over  Prairie View               rounded predicted score:  24.5-10.5
   Texas A&M                  over  Mississippi State          rounded predicted score:  31.5-14.0
   Utah State                 over  Nevada - Reno              rounded predicted score:  38.5-21.0
   Wisconsin                  over  Northwestern               rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5

70-80% chance of victory:

   California - Davis         over  Idaho State                rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Clemson                    over  Georgia Tech               rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Coastal Carolina           over  Texas State - San Marcos   rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Dartmouth                  over  Cornell                    rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Delaware                   over  Campbell                   rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Eastern Illinois           over  Tennessee State            rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Gardner - Webb             over  Tennessee Tech             rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Harvard                    over  Pennsylvania               rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Idaho                      over  Weber State                rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Long Island                over  Wagner                     rounded predicted score:  17.5-10.5
   Louisiana Tech             over  Sam Houston State          rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Middle Tennessee State     over  Florida International      rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Montana                    over  Portland State             rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Nevada - Las Vegas         over  Wyoming                    rounded predicted score:  31.5-24.5
   Norfolk State              over  Delaware State             rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Tarleton State             over  Abilene Christian          rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Texas                      over  Texas Christian            rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Washington                 over  Utah                       rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   William & Mary             over  Hampton                    rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5

60-70% chance of victory:

   Alcorn State               over  Texas Southern             rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Arizona                    over  Colorado                   rounded predicted score:  35.0-28.0
   Colorado State             over  San Diego State            rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Florida Atlantic           over  East Carolina              rounded predicted score:  14.0-10.5
   Georgia                    over  Mississippi                rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Houston                    over  Cincinnati                 rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Illinois                   over  Indiana                    rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Lafayette                  over  Fordham                    rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Marist                     over  Dayton                     rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Mercer                     over  Samford                    rounded predicted score:  17.5-10.5
   Monmouth                   over  New Hampshire              rounded predicted score:  31.5-24.5
   North Carolina Central     over  Howard                     rounded predicted score:  31.5-24.5
   North Dakota State         over  Southern Illinois          rounded predicted score:  17.5-10.5
   Ohio                       over  Buffalo                    rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Robert Morris              over  Charleston Southern        rounded predicted score:  17.5-10.5
   Saint Thomas - Minnesota   over  San Diego                  rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   South Dakota               over  North Dakota               rounded predicted score:  17.5-10.5
   Southeast Louisiana        over  Texas A&M-Commerce         rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Southern Utah              over  Stephen F. Austin          rounded predicted score:  31.5-28.0
   Syracuse                   over  Pittsburgh                 rounded predicted score:  14.0-10.5
   Texas - San Antonio        over  Rice                       rounded predicted score:  28.0-24.5
   Valparaiso                 over  Stetson                    rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Western Kentucky           over  New Mexico State           rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Western Michigan           over  Central Michigan           rounded predicted score:  28.0-24.5
   Wofford                    over  The Citadel                rounded predicted score:  14.0-7.0

50-60% chance of victory:

   Arkansas                   over  Auburn                     rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Army                       over  Holy Cross                 rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Bethune - Cookman          over  Alabama A&M                rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Boston College             over  Virginia Tech              rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Bucknell                   over  Georgetown                 rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   California                 over  Washington State           rounded predicted score:  28.0-24.5
   Colgate                    over  Lehigh                     rounded predicted score:  14.0-10.5
   Columbia                   over  Brown                      rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Elon                       over  Richmond                   rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   Georgia State              over  Appalachian State          rounded predicted score:  31.5-28.0
   Iowa State                 over  Brigham Young              rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Iowa                       over  Rutgers                    rounded predicted score:  7.0-3.5
   Kansas                     over  Texas Tech                 rounded predicted score:  28.0-24.5
   Marshall                   over  Georgia Southern           rounded predicted score:  24.5-24.5
   Maryland                   over  Nebraska                   rounded predicted score:  14.0-14.0
   Morgan State               over  South Carolina State       rounded predicted score:  10.5-10.5
   Navy                       over  Alabama - Birmingham       rounded predicted score:  21.0-21.0
   North Carolina State       over  Wake Forest                rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   North Carolina             over  Duke                       rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   Northern Iowa              over  Missouri State             rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Oklahoma State             over  Central Florida            rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Penn State                 over  Michigan                   rounded predicted score:  7.0-7.0
   Purdue                     over  Minnesota                  rounded predicted score:  21.0-21.0
   San Jose State             over  Fresno State               rounded predicted score:  21.0-21.0
   Tennessee - Martin         over  Southeast Missouri State   rounded predicted score:  24.5-24.5
   Tennessee                  over  Missouri                   rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Yale                       over  Princeton                  rounded predicted score:  14.0-10.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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