2023 Week 12 (14-19 Nov) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA


90-100% chance of victory:

   Alabama                    over  Tennessee - Chattanooga    rounded predicted score:  63.0-17.5
   Arkansas                   over  Florida International      rounded predicted score:  45.5-17.5
   Auburn                     over  New Mexico State           rounded predicted score:  35.0-14.0
   Connecticut                over  Sacred Heart               rounded predicted score:  35.0-10.5
   Davidson                   over  Dayton                     rounded predicted score:  38.5-21.0
   Elon                       over  Hampton                    rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Florida State              over  North Alabama              rounded predicted score:  73.5-21.0
   Fresno State               over  New Mexico                 rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   Furman                     over  Wofford                    rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Holy Cross                 over  Georgetown                 rounded predicted score:  45.5-24.5
   Idaho                      over  Idaho State                rounded predicted score:  45.5-21.0
   Incarnate Word             over  Houston Christian          rounded predicted score:  45.5-14.0
   Liberty                    over  Massachusetts              rounded predicted score:  52.5-24.5
   Louisiana State            over  Georgia State              rounded predicted score:  56.0-24.5
   Michigan                   over  Maryland                   rounded predicted score:  35.0-10.5
   Mississippi State          over  Southern Mississippi       rounded predicted score:  35.0-14.0
   Mississippi                over  Northeast Louisiana        rounded predicted score:  59.5-17.5
   New Hampshire              over  Maine                      rounded predicted score:  45.5-24.5
   North Carolina Central     over  Delaware State             rounded predicted score:  45.5-17.5
   Notre Dame                 over  Wake Forest                rounded predicted score:  42.0-14.0
   Ohio State                 over  Minnesota                  rounded predicted score:  42.0-10.5
   Oklahoma                   over  Brigham Young              rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   Oregon                     over  Arizona State              rounded predicted score:  45.5-14.0
   Penn State                 over  Rutgers                    rounded predicted score:  35.0-7.0
   San Jose State             over  San Diego State            rounded predicted score:  35.0-14.0
   South Dakota State         over  Missouri State             rounded predicted score:  49.0-17.5
   South Dakota               over  Western Illinois           rounded predicted score:  45.5-10.5
   Southern Illinois          over  Indiana State              rounded predicted score:  38.5-7.0
   Texas - San Antonio        over  South Florida              rounded predicted score:  42.0-24.5
   Texas A&M                  over  Abilene Christian          rounded predicted score:  59.5-14.0
   Texas Christian            over  Baylor                     rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Texas Southern             over  Arkansas - Pine Bluff      rounded predicted score:  35.0-14.0
   Troy State                 over  Louisiana - Lafayette      rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Weber State                over  California Poly            rounded predicted score:  31.5-14.0
   Western Carolina           over  Virginia Military          rounded predicted score:  38.5-21.0
   Youngstown State           over  Murray State               rounded predicted score:  42.0-21.0

80-90% chance of victory:

   Alabama A&M                over  Mississippi Valley State   rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Ball State                 over  Kent State                 rounded predicted score:  21.0-7.0
   Bucknell                   over  Marist                     rounded predicted score:  38.5-21.0
   Duke                       over  Virginia                   rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Florida A&M                over  Bethune - Cookman          rounded predicted score:  31.5-14.0
   Gardner - Webb             over  Charleston Southern        rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Iowa                       over  Illinois                   rounded predicted score:  24.5-10.5
   Jackson State              over  Alcorn State               rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Jacksonville State         over  Louisiana Tech             rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Lafayette                  over  Lehigh                     rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Lamar                      over  McNeese State              rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Miami - Ohio               over  Buffalo                    rounded predicted score:  31.5-14.0
   Missouri                   over  Florida                    rounded predicted score:  38.5-21.0
   Ohio                       over  Central Michigan           rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Portland State             over  Northern Colorado          rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Saint Thomas - Minnesota   over  Valparaiso                 rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0
   Southern Utah              over  Utah Tech                  rounded predicted score:  38.5-24.5
   Western Kentucky           over  Sam Houston State          rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Wyoming                    over  Hawaii                     rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0

70-80% chance of victory:

   Alabama - Birmingham       over  Temple                     rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Alabama State              over  Prairie View               rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Butler                     over  Drake                      rounded predicted score:  21.0-10.5
   Colorado State             over  Nevada - Reno              rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   East Tennessee State       over  The Citadel                rounded predicted score:  14.0-3.5
   Eastern Kentucky           over  Stephen F. Austin          rounded predicted score:  35.0-28.0
   Eastern Michigan           over  Akron                      rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Fordham                    over  Colgate                    rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Georgia Southern           over  Old Dominion               rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Howard                     over  Morgan State               rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   James Madison              over  Appalachian State          rounded predicted score:  35.0-24.5
   Kansas State               over  Kansas                     rounded predicted score:  35.0-24.5
   Merrimack                  over  Duquesne                   rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Middle Tennessee State     over  Texas - El Paso            rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   North Dakota State         over  Northern Iowa              rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Oklahoma State             over  Houston                    rounded predicted score:  31.5-24.5
   South Alabama              over  Marshall                   rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Southern California        over  California - Los Angeles   rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Southern Methodist         over  Memphis                    rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Tennessee - Martin         over  Samford                    rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Tennessee State            over  Tennessee Tech             rounded predicted score:  17.5-7.0
   Texas State - San Marcos   over  Arkansas State             rounded predicted score:  31.5-24.5
   Texas                      over  Iowa State                 rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   West Virginia              over  Cincinnati                 rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5

60-70% chance of victory:

   Albany                     over  Monmouth                   rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Austin Peay                over  Central Arkansas           rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   California                 over  Stanford                   rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Campbell                   over  North Carolina A&T         rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Coastal Carolina           over  Army                       rounded predicted score:  17.5-10.5
   Delaware                   over  Villanova                  rounded predicted score:  14.0-10.5
   East Carolina              over  Navy                       rounded predicted score:  14.0-10.5
   Eastern Illinois           over  Robert Morris              rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Georgia                    over  Tennessee                  rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Indiana                    over  Michigan State             rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Long Island                over  Stonehill                  rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Montana State              over  Montana                    rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Norfolk State              over  South Carolina State       rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   North Dakota               over  Illinois State             rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Northern Illinois          over  Western Michigan           rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Pennsylvania               over  Princeton                  rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Rice                       over  North Carolina - Charlott  rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Saint Francis - Pennsylva  over  Central Connecticut        rounded predicted score:  35.0-28.0
   South Carolina             over  Kentucky                   rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Toledo                     over  Bowling Green              rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Tulane                     over  Florida Atlantic           rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   William & Mary             over  Richmond                   rounded predicted score:  14.0-10.5
   Wisconsin                  over  Nebraska                   rounded predicted score:  14.0-7.0

50-60% chance of victory:

   Air Force                  over  Nevada - Las Vegas         rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   Arizona                    over  Utah                       rounded predicted score:  14.0-14.0
   Boise State                over  Utah State                 rounded predicted score:  35.0-31.5
   Bryant                     over  Southeast Missouri State   rounded predicted score:  24.5-24.5
   California - Davis         over  Sacramento State           rounded predicted score:  21.0-21.0
   Clemson                    over  North Carolina             rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Cornell                    over  Columbia                   rounded predicted score:  10.5-7.0
   Dartmouth                  over  Brown                      rounded predicted score:  24.5-24.5
   Eastern Washington         over  Northern Arizona           rounded predicted score:  28.0-24.5
   Georgia Tech               over  Syracuse                   rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Harvard                    over  Yale                       rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Louisville                 over  Miami - Florida            rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Morehead State             over  Presbyterian               rounded predicted score:  21.0-21.0
   Nicholls State             over  Southeast Louisiana        rounded predicted score:  21.0-21.0
   North Texas                over  Tulsa                      rounded predicted score:  28.0-28.0
   Northwestern State         over  Texas A&M-Commerce         rounded predicted score:  10.5-7.0
   Northwestern               over  Purdue                     rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Oregon State               over  Washington                 rounded predicted score:  24.5-24.5
   Pittsburgh                 over  Boston College             rounded predicted score:  21.0-21.0
   Rhode Island               over  Towson                     rounded predicted score:  28.0-24.5
   San Diego                  over  Stetson                    rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Texas Tech                 over  Central Florida            rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Virginia Tech              over  North Carolina State       rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Washington State           over  Colorado                   rounded predicted score:  35.0-31.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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