2023 Week 1 (31 Aug - 4 Sep) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA


90-100% chance of victory:

   Abilene Christian          over  Northern Colorado          rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Air Force                  over  Robert Morris              rounded predicted score:  59.5-3.5
   Alabama - Birmingham       over  North Carolina A&T         rounded predicted score:  45.5-14.0
   Alabama                    over  Middle Tennessee State     rounded predicted score:  59.5-17.5
   Appalachian State          over  Gardner - Webb             rounded predicted score:  42.0-24.5
   Arizona State              over  Southern Utah              rounded predicted score:  45.5-17.5
   Arizona                    over  Northern Arizona           rounded predicted score:  52.5-24.5
   Arkansas                   over  Western Carolina           rounded predicted score:  63.0-28.0
   Auburn                     over  Massachusetts              rounded predicted score:  52.5-14.0
   Baylor                     over  Texas State - San Marcos   rounded predicted score:  45.5-14.0
   Brigham Young              over  Sam Houston State          rounded predicted score:  38.5-10.5
   California - Davis         over  Texas A&M-Commerce         rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   California - Los Angeles   over  Coastal Carolina           rounded predicted score:  49.0-28.0
   Central Florida            over  Kent State                 rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Cincinnati                 over  Eastern Kentucky           rounded predicted score:  56.0-24.5
   Delaware                   over  Stony Brook                rounded predicted score:  35.0-10.5
   Eastern Michigan           over  Howard                     rounded predicted score:  45.5-21.0
   Florida Atlantic           over  Monmouth                   rounded predicted score:  52.5-28.0
   Fordham                    over  Wagner                     rounded predicted score:  66.5-28.0
   Furman                     over  Tennessee Tech             rounded predicted score:  45.5-17.5
   Georgia Southern           over  The Citadel                rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   Georgia State              over  Rhode Island               rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Georgia                    over  Tennessee - Martin         rounded predicted score:  77.0-14.0
   Holy Cross                 over  Merrimack                  rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Idaho                      over  Lamar                      rounded predicted score:  59.5-24.5
   Illinois State             over  Dayton                     rounded predicted score:  35.0-10.5
   Illinois                   over  Toledo                     rounded predicted score:  35.0-10.5
   Iowa State                 over  Northern Iowa              rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   Iowa                       over  Utah State                 rounded predicted score:  38.5-10.5
   James Madison              over  Bucknell                   rounded predicted score:  63.0-7.0
   Kansas State               over  Southeast Missouri State   rounded predicted score:  52.5-14.0
   Kansas                     over  Missouri State             rounded predicted score:  52.5-24.5
   Kentucky                   over  Ball State                 rounded predicted score:  35.0-10.5
   Louisiana - Lafayette      over  Northwestern State         rounded predicted score:  63.0-14.0
   Marshall                   over  Albany                     rounded predicted score:  49.0-17.5
   Maryland                   over  Towson                     rounded predicted score:  59.5-17.5
   Memphis                    over  Bethune - Cookman          rounded predicted score:  80.5-24.5
   Michigan State             over  Central Michigan           rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Michigan                   over  East Carolina              rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   Mississippi State          over  Southeast Louisiana        rounded predicted score:  49.0-17.5
   Mississippi                over  Mercer                     rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Missouri                   over  South Dakota               rounded predicted score:  45.5-10.5
   Montana State              over  Utah Tech                  rounded predicted score:  52.5-24.5
   Montana                    over  Butler                     rounded predicted score:  45.5-10.5
   Murray State               over  Presbyterian               rounded predicted score:  35.0-7.0
   Nevada - Las Vegas         over  Bryant                     rounded predicted score:  45.5-28.0
   New Mexico State           over  Western Illinois           rounded predicted score:  35.0-7.0
   North Carolina State       over  Connecticut                rounded predicted score:  35.0-14.0
   North Dakota State         over  Eastern Washington         rounded predicted score:  49.0-21.0
   North Dakota               over  Drake                      rounded predicted score:  56.0-21.0
   Notre Dame                 over  Tennessee State            rounded predicted score:  59.5-10.5
   Ohio State                 over  Indiana                    rounded predicted score:  56.0-24.5
   Ohio                       over  Long Island                rounded predicted score:  66.5-24.5
   Oklahoma State             over  Central Arkansas           rounded predicted score:  49.0-17.5
   Oklahoma                   over  Arkansas State             rounded predicted score:  49.0-21.0
   Oregon State               over  San Jose State             rounded predicted score:  38.5-21.0
   Oregon                     over  Portland State             rounded predicted score:  66.5-17.5
   Penn State                 over  West Virginia              rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Pittsburgh                 over  Wofford                    rounded predicted score:  56.0-17.5
   Richmond                   over  Morgan State               rounded predicted score:  42.0-14.0
   Sacramento State           over  Nicholls State             rounded predicted score:  59.5-24.5
   San Diego State            over  Idaho State                rounded predicted score:  42.0-7.0
   Southern California        over  Nevada - Reno              rounded predicted score:  63.0-21.0
   Southern Methodist         over  Louisiana Tech             rounded predicted score:  52.5-28.0
   Southern Mississippi       over  Alcorn State               rounded predicted score:  42.0-14.0
   Syracuse                   over  Colgate                    rounded predicted score:  59.5-17.5
   Tennessee - Chattanooga    over  North Alabama              rounded predicted score:  45.5-24.5
   Tennessee                  over  Virginia                   rounded predicted score:  52.5-17.5
   Texas A&M                  over  New Mexico                 rounded predicted score:  38.5-7.0
   Texas Christian            over  Colorado                   rounded predicted score:  59.5-17.5
   Texas Tech                 over  Wyoming                    rounded predicted score:  45.5-24.5
   Texas                      over  Rice                       rounded predicted score:  56.0-17.5
   Troy State                 over  Stephen F. Austin          rounded predicted score:  56.0-21.0
   Tulsa                      over  Arkansas - Pine Bluff      rounded predicted score:  70.0-21.0
   Vanderbilt                 over  Alabama A&M                rounded predicted score:  56.0-21.0
   Wake Forest                over  Elon                       rounded predicted score:  49.0-24.5
   Washington State           over  Colorado State             rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   Wisconsin                  over  Buffalo                    rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Youngstown State           over  Valparaiso                 rounded predicted score:  56.0-24.5

80-90% chance of victory:

   Georgetown                 over  Marist                     rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0
   Jackson State              over  Florida A&M                rounded predicted score:  31.5-14.0
   Jacksonville State         over  East Tennessee State       rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Liberty                    over  Bowling Green              rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Louisville                 over  Georgia Tech               rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0
   Minnesota                  over  Nebraska                   rounded predicted score:  28.0-10.5
   New Hampshire              over  Stonehill                  rounded predicted score:  42.0-24.5
   Stanford                   over  Hawaii                     rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Tulane                     over  South Alabama              rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Utah                       over  Florida                    rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Washington                 over  Boise State                rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Western Kentucky           over  South Florida              rounded predicted score:  38.5-21.0

70-80% chance of victory:

   Army                       over  Northeast Louisiana        rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Boston College             over  Northern Illinois          rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Indiana State              over  Eastern Illinois           rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Miami - Florida            over  Miami - Ohio               rounded predicted score:  21.0-10.5
   Temple                     over  Akron                      rounded predicted score:  21.0-10.5
   Villanova                  over  Lehigh                     rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Western Michigan           over  Saint Francis - Pennsylv   rounded predicted score:  21.0-10.5

60-70% chance of victory:

   Clemson                    over  Duke                       rounded predicted score:  28.0-24.5
   Hampton                    over  Grambling                  rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Incarnate Word             over  Texas - El Paso            rounded predicted score:  35.0-28.0
   Purdue                     over  Fresno State               rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Southern Illinois          over  Austin Peay                rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Southern                   over  Alabama State              rounded predicted score:  14.0-7.0
   Tarleton State             over  McNeese State              rounded predicted score:  28.0-24.5
   Texas Southern             over  Prairie View               rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Virginia Tech              over  Old Dominion               rounded predicted score:  14.0-10.5
   William & Mary             over  Campbell                   rounded predicted score:  31.5-24.5

50-60% chance of victory:

   California Poly            over  San Diego                  rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   California                 over  North Texas                rounded predicted score:  24.5-24.5
   Florida International      over  Maine                      rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Houston                    over  Texas - San Antonio        rounded predicted score:  31.5-28.0
   Lafayette                  over  Sacred Heart               rounded predicted score:  14.0-14.0
   Louisiana State            over  Florida State              rounded predicted score:  21.0-21.0
   Rutgers                    over  Northwestern               rounded predicted score:  14.0-10.5
   South Carolina             over  North Carolina             rounded predicted score:  31.5-28.0
   Virginia Military          over  Davidson                   rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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