2023 Bowl Games Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA


90-100% chance of victory:

   Oregon                     over  Liberty                    rounded predicted score:  45.5-17.5
   South Alabama              over  Eastern Michigan           rounded predicted score:  31.5-10.5
   Southern Methodist         over  Boston College             rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5

80-90% chance of victory:

   Kansas State               over  North Carolina State       rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Louisiana State            over  Wisconsin                  rounded predicted score:  38.5-21.0
   Penn State                 over  Mississippi                rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0
   Syracuse                   over  South Florida              rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Utah                       over  Northwestern               rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0

70-80% chance of victory:

   Central Florida            over  Georgia Tech               rounded predicted score:  35.0-24.5
   Iowa State                 over  Memphis                    rounded predicted score:  35.0-28.0
   Kansas                     over  Nevada - Las Vegas         rounded predicted score:  38.5-28.0
   Michigan                   over  Alabama                    rounded predicted score:  17.5-10.5
   Ohio State                 over  Missouri                   rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Oklahoma                   over  Arizona                    rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   San Jose State             over  Coastal Carolina           rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0

60-70% chance of victory:

   Clemson                    over  Kentucky                   rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Duke                       over  Troy State                 rounded predicted score:  14.0-10.5
   Jacksonville State         over  Louisiana - Lafayette      rounded predicted score:  28.0-24.5
   James Madison              over  Air Force                  rounded predicted score:  17.5-10.5
   Miami - Florida            over  Rutgers                    rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Ohio                       over  Georgia Southern           rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Rice                       over  Texas State - San Marcos   rounded predicted score:  35.0-31.5
   Tennessee                  over  Iowa                       rounded predicted score:  14.0-7.0
   Texas - San Antonio        over  Marshall                   rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Texas A&M                  over  Oklahoma State             rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Texas                      over  Washington                 rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Utah State                 over  Georgia State              rounded predicted score:  31.5-28.0
   Virginia Tech              over  Tulane                     rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0

50-60% chance of victory:

   Appalachian State          over  Miami - Ohio               rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   California - Los Angeles   over  Boise State                rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Fresno State               over  New Mexico State           rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Georgia                    over  Florida State              rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Howard                     over  Florida A&M                rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   Maryland                   over  Auburn                     rounded predicted score:  14.0-14.0
   Minnesota                  over  Bowling Green              rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   North Carolina             over  West Virginia              rounded predicted score:  28.0-28.0
   North Dakota State         over  Montana                    rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Northern Illinois          over  Arkansas State             rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Notre Dame                 over  Oregon State               rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Southern California        over  Louisville                 rounded predicted score:  28.0-28.0
   Texas Tech                 over  California                 rounded predicted score:  24.5-24.5
   Toledo                     over  Wyoming                    rounded predicted score:  21.0-21.0
   Western Kentucky           over  Old Dominion               rounded predicted score:  28.0-24.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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