rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 4 Florida State 75 North Carolina State 1 Nebraska 36 Arizona State 69 Ball State 99 Central Florida 47 Baylor 84 Oregon State 31 Brigham Young 71 New Mexico 33 Colorado State 110 Nevada - Las Vegas 53 Illinois 107 Akron 27 Miami - Ohio 93 Bowling Green 11 Michigan 80 Boston College 20 North Carolina 58 Georgia Tech 18 Northwestern 102 Ohio 3 Ohio State 79 Pittsburgh 5 Kansas State 88 Rice 7 Penn State 95 Temple 44 Texas A&M 108 North Texas 26 Iowa 86 Tulsa 40 Utah 87 Fresno State 17 Virginia Tech 97 Rutgers 12 Virginia 94 Wake Forest 80-90% chance of victory: 9 Auburn 23 Louisiana State 15 Texas Tech 52 Georgia 37 Indiana 72 Kentucky 67 Mississippi State 90 Louisiana Tech 13 Southern California 60 Houston <-- forecast originally omitted 70-80% chance of victory: 32 Alabama 62 Arkansas 65 Army 78 Duke 46 Toledo 81 Eastern Michigan 83 Memphis State 89 Tulane 25 Michigan State 41 Louisville 43 San Diego State 51 Oklahoma 48 Southern Mississippi 70 Southwestern Louisiana 2 Florida 6 Tennessee 50 Mississippi 77 Vanderbilt 21 Oregon 54 Washington State 60-70% chance of victory: 24 Nevada - Reno 55 California 29 Syracuse 59 Minnesota 73 Navy 74 Southern Methodist 64 Oklahoma State 68 Utah State 101 San Jose State 100 Texas - El Paso <-- corrected for proper home field 38 Wisconsin 45 Stanford 50-60% chance of victory: 103 Northern Illinois 109 Arkansas State 82 Western Michigan 92 Central Michigan 106 Hawaii 105 Boise State 66 Clemson 76 Missouri 42 West Virginia 57 Purdue 39 East Carolina 49 South Carolina 10 Notre Dame 19 Texas 34 Washington 28 Arizona 35 Wyoming 22 Air Force
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