rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 5 Arizona State 35 California 18 Auburn 107 Northeast Louisiana 75 Ball State 109 Kent State 100 North Texas 110 Boise State 6 Notre Dame 63 Boston College 15 Colorado 77 Iowa State 4 Florida State 102 Wake Forest 68 Idaho 111 New Mexico State 3 Ohio State 53 Illinois 9 Tennessee 64 Memphis State 1 Nebraska 72 Missouri 12 North Carolina 54 Louisville 7 Michigan 48 Purdue 45 West Virginia 90 Rutgers 78 Southwestern Louisiana 106 Northern Illinois 8 Syracuse 66 Tulane 2 Florida 80 Vanderbilt 10 Virginia 56 Clemson 11 Washington 70 Oregon State 80-90% chance of victory: 84 Alabama - Birmingham 96 Central Florida 60 Arkansas 73 Mississippi 16 Brigham Young 40 Rice 57 Colorado State 87 Fresno State 69 Miami - Ohio 83 Ohio 24 Michigan State 61 Indiana 21 Arizona 58 Oregon 14 Texas Tech 26 Texas 29 Wisconsin 59 Minnesota 70-80% chance of victory: 74 Louisiana Tech 99 Arkansas State 94 Bowling Green 104 Western Michigan 95 Eastern Michigan 105 Akron 27 Southern Mississippi 55 Houston 20 Iowa 30 Northwestern 86 North Carolina State 97 Duke 22 Southern California 51 Stanford 65 Southern Methodist 89 Texas - El Paso 82 Tulsa 88 Texas Christian 60-70% chance of victory: 31 California - Los Angeles 28 Washington State 101 Hawaii 103 San Jose State 17 Kansas State 38 Kansas 23 Louisiana State 25 Alabama 49 Utah 71 New Mexico 41 Nevada - Reno 79 Utah State 37 Virginia Tech 39 East Carolina 50-60% chance of victory: 32 Air Force 44 Army 36 Texas A&M 42 Baylor 62 Mississippi State 76 Kentucky 85 Oklahoma State 81 Oklahoma 34 San Diego State 33 Wyoming 93 Toledo 92 Central Michigan
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