rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 54 Cincinnati 90 Alabama - Birmingham 65 Boston College 105 Temple 46 Clemson 83 North Carolina State 40 East Carolina 80 Ohio 2 Florida 42 South Carolina 6 Florida State 35 Southern Mississippi 36 Air Force 88 Fresno State 9 Brigham Young 106 Hawaii 3 Ohio State 63 Indiana 1 Nebraska 79 Iowa State 33 San Diego State 109 Nevada - Las Vegas 30 Nevada - Reno 92 Arkansas State 75 Idaho 103 North Texas 5 Notre Dame 84 Pittsburgh 76 Oregon State 107 Northern Illinois 10 Syracuse 38 Army 14 Tennessee 60 Arkansas 32 Texas A&M 78 Oklahoma 16 Texas Tech 71 Southwestern Louisiana 11 Washington 96 San Jose State 100 Western Michigan 111 Kent State 80-90% chance of victory: 29 Auburn 51 Georgia 70 Ball State 93 Toledo 87 Central Florida 97 Bowling Green 34 Louisiana State 68 Mississippi 19 Alabama 58 Mississippi State 25 Northwestern 47 Purdue 70-80% chance of victory: 50 Georgia Tech 74 Maryland 55 Baylor 67 Missouri 27 California - Los Angeles 44 Arizona 7 Colorado 15 Kansas State 17 Miami - Florida 23 Virginia Tech 48 Navy 64 Tulane 108 New Mexico State 110 Boise State 57 Rice 82 Texas Christian 60-70% chance of victory: 28 Wyoming 56 Colorado State 43 Houston 53 Louisville 20 Texas 45 Kansas 13 Michigan 12 Penn State 8 North Carolina 18 Virginia 99 Wake Forest 104 Duke 50-60% chance of victory: 31 Iowa 21 Wisconsin 77 Kentucky 73 Vanderbilt 61 Minnesota 59 Illinois 24 California 41 Oregon 39 Washington State 49 Stanford 86 Tulsa 94 Texas - El Paso
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