93% 1 Nebraska 41 37.6, 15 Virginia Tech 21 17.9
83% 8 Tennessee 48 32.1, 27 Northwestern 28 19.7
78% 25 Wisconsin 38 31.6, 51 Utah 10 20.9
76% 30 Louisiana State 10 22.2, 49 Clemson 7 13.3
75% 19 North Carolina 20 19.8, 37 West Virginia 13 11.5
74% 13 Syracuse 30 37.7, 32 Houston 17 28.7
71% 46 Nevada - Reno 18 39.6, 68 Ball State 15 33.9
60% 28 Auburn 32 28.8, 35 Army 29 25.2
60% 2 Florida 52 34.9, 4 Florida State 20 30.6
59% 20 Miami - Florida 31 23.6, 26 Virginia 21 20.3
59% 14 Brigham Young 19 24.2, 16 Kansas State 15 20.7
51% 10 Penn State 38 31.7, 12 Texas 15 30.8
50% 18 Iowa 27 24.9, 17 Texas Tech 0 25.3
49% 9 Colorado 33 21.7, 7 Washington 21 22.6
46% 5 Ohio State 20 26.2, 3 Arizona State 17 29.1
43% 45 Navy 42 32.1, 36 California 38 35.0
39% 33 Stanford 38 23.5, 23 Michigan State 0 27.7
23% 24 Alabama 17 8.8, 11 Michigan 14 17.3
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
7 0.79 3 1.10 6 1.11 1 1.21 1 1.08 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,num_right/expected): 18 12 1.01
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
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