rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 2 Florida 76 Central Michigan 6 Notre Dame 55 Georgia Tech 16 North Carolina 66 Indiana 13 Kansas State 101 Northern Illinois 43 Arkansas 102 Northeast Louisiana 34 Northwestern 105 Wake Forest 9 Penn State 88 Pittsburgh 8 Texas 108 Rutgers 29 Stanford 106 San Jose State 26 Louisiana State 111 Texas - El Paso 80-90% chance of victory: 36 Wisconsin 80 Boise State 41 South Carolina 93 Central Florida 7 Colorado 30 Colorado State 35 Wyoming 82 Iowa State 51 Miami - Ohio 95 Bowling Green 20 Nevada - Reno 63 Nevada - Las Vegas 86 Oregon State 110 North Texas 12 Syracuse 70 Oklahoma 33 Kansas 81 Texas Christian 28 Michigan State 87 Western Michigan 70-80% chance of victory: 90 Memphis State 107 Alabama - Birmingham 45 Baylor 92 Fresno State 64 Boston College 104 Temple 56 Cincinnati 96 Tulane 67 Missouri 94 Eastern Michigan 5 Florida State 22 Southern California 84 New Mexico 103 New Mexico State 68 Maryland 100 Ohio 4 Tennessee 32 California - Los Angeles 60-70% chance of victory: 38 Oregon 50 Arizona 65 Mississippi State 77 Kentucky 49 North Carolina State 98 Duke 74 Mississippi 91 Southern Methodist 50-60% chance of victory: 24 Virginia 18 Auburn 46 San Diego State 52 Navy 48 Air Force 73 Rice 53 California 79 Houston 42 West Virginia 37 East Carolina 71 Army 72 Marshall 75 Oklahoma State 99 Southwestern Louisiana 40 Purdue 60 Toledo 44 Southern Mississippi 58 Illinois 59 Louisville 54 Utah 14 Washington 25 Brigham Young
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