rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 18 Syracuse 103 Rutgers 52 Marshall 100 Akron 81 Memphis State 104 Arkansas State 20 Virginia Tech 85 Boston College 27 Colorado State 98 San Jose State 3 Florida State 88 Duke 1 Florida 17 Louisiana State 9 Texas A&M 101 Iowa State 37 Miami - Ohio 106 Kent State 2 Nebraska 67 Baylor 8 Michigan 53 Northwestern 62 Toledo 105 Central Michigan 66 Vanderbilt 109 Northern Illinois 13 North Carolina 79 Wake Forest 80-90% chance of victory: 51 Cincinnati 92 Alabama - Birmingham 86 Fresno State 108 Hawaii 4 Tennessee 21 Georgia 12 Auburn 74 Louisiana Tech 15 Michigan State 76 Indiana 14 Kansas State 56 Missouri 33 Southern Mississippi 82 East Carolina 6 California - Los Angeles 65 Oregon 10 Washington 48 California 70-80% chance of victory: 43 Wisconsin 72 Illinois 22 Texas Tech 59 Kansas 70 Mississippi State 96 Northeast Louisiana 25 Notre Dame 69 Pittsburgh 46 Utah 73 Southern Methodist 99 Tulsa 110 Texas - El Paso 34 West Virginia 78 Maryland 60-70% chance of victory: 93 Ball State 102 Eastern Michigan 30 Brigham Young 68 Rice 16 Colorado 35 Oklahoma State 45 San Diego State 64 New Mexico 36 Georgia Tech 49 North Carolina State 5 Penn State 7 Ohio State 55 Tulane 80 Louisville 31 Clemson 40 Virginia 50-60% chance of victory: 32 Air Force 57 Navy 54 South Carolina 41 Kentucky 112 Boise State 111 New Mexico State 38 Texas 58 Oklahoma 44 Purdue 75 Minnesota 28 Arizona State 24 Southern California 23 Stanford 39 Arizona 83 Texas Christian 94 Nevada - Las Vegas 71 Oregon State 77 Utah State 90 Bowling Green 87 Western Michigan 29 Wyoming 61 Nevada - Reno
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