rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 33 Virginia Tech 86 Alabama - Birmingham 40 Miami - Florida 110 Arkansas State 48 Utah State 101 Boise State 39 Brigham Young 104 Texas - El Paso 18 Colorado State 88 Nevada - Las Vegas 2 Florida 24 Georgia 49 Marshall 111 Central Michigan 8 Michigan 62 Minnesota 14 Auburn 72 Mississippi State 37 Nevada - Reno 112 New Mexico State 4 Florida State 50 North Carolina State 63 Ohio 106 Northern Illinois 1 Nebraska 68 Oklahoma 3 Washington 35 Southern California 42 Tulane 109 Southwestern Louisiana 80-90% chance of victory: 51 Air Force 91 Hawaii 58 Central Florida 100 Northeast Louisiana 69 Kansas 96 Iowa State 25 Alabama 79 Louisiana Tech 16 Colorado 55 Missouri 21 Notre Dame 59 Navy 12 Penn State 53 Northwestern 5 Tennessee 32 South Carolina 9 Syracuse 29 West Virginia 70-80% chance of victory: 99 Ball State 107 Akron 13 Texas A&M 34 Oklahoma State 7 Iowa 23 Purdue 97 Temple 108 Rutgers 31 Wyoming 60 San Diego State 65 Utah 93 Tulsa 45 Virginia 82 Maryland 60-70% chance of victory: 15 North Carolina 36 Georgia Tech 73 East Carolina 95 Louisville 75 Fresno State 98 San Jose State 83 Memphis State 89 Houston 11 Kansas State 27 Texas Tech 61 New Mexico 87 Texas Christian 6 Ohio State 22 Michigan State 30 Southern Mississippi 56 Cincinnati 10 California - Los Angeles 28 Stanford 50-60% chance of victory: 92 Bowling Green 102 Kent State 38 Clemson 67 Wake Forest 85 Indiana 81 Illinois 20 Louisiana State 43 Kentucky 26 Miami - Ohio 52 Toledo 66 Oregon State 76 California 80 Boston College 77 Pittsburgh 54 Rice 71 Southern Methodist 57 Texas 70 Baylor 19 Arizona State 17 Washington State 84 Western Michigan 94 Eastern Michigan
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