rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 21 North Carolina 76 Duke 8 Kansas State 103 Iowa State 44 Navy 104 Kent State 20 Michigan State 81 Illinois 10 Iowa 64 Minnesota 26 Texas Tech 83 Oklahoma 56 Utah State 106 North Texas 80-90% chance of victory: 19 Auburn 50 Alabama 89 Alabama - Birmingham 109 Arkansas State 12 Colorado State 61 San Diego State 41 Georgia Tech 86 Maryland 23 Purdue 82 Indiana 31 Southern Mississippi 80 Memphis State 7 Tennessee 58 Kentucky 62 Rice 97 Texas - El Paso 51 New Mexico 91 Tulsa 16 Penn State 37 Wisconsin 70-80% chance of victory: 69 Southern Methodist 93 Texas Christian 74 Boston College 92 Army 34 Stanford 67 California 42 North Carolina State 71 East Carolina 29 Oklahoma State 73 Baylor 43 Oregon 75 Oregon State 85 Nevada - Las Vegas 101 San Jose State 49 Tulane 90 Houston 5 California - Los Angeles 22 Southern California 28 Virginia Tech 72 Pittsburgh 18 Notre Dame 35 West Virginia 60-70% chance of victory: 39 Wyoming 70 Fresno State 50-60% chance of victory: 102 Idaho 99 Boise State 32 South Carolina 38 Clemson 2 Florida State 3 Florida 30 Mississippi 24 Georgia 46 Mississippi State 57 Arkansas 96 Hawaii 100 Northeast Louisiana 6 Michigan 4 Ohio State 66 Central Florida 65 Toledo 55 Brigham Young 60 Utah 9 Washington 11 Washington State
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