End of season rankings 1998

Rankings determined from model fit for the end of the season.

rnk u spd  off  def                    rnk u spd  off  def
  1 0   6 13.4  3.0 Kansas State        57 2   0  7.7  2.2 Oklahoma          
  2 1   5 11.4  3.7 Tennessee           58 2   0  7.6  2.2 San Diego State   
  3 0   6 10.5  4.4 Florida State       59 7   0  7.4  2.4 California        
  4 1   5 11.2  3.7 Ohio State          60 2   0  7.8  1.9 Wyoming           
  5 1   5 10.2  4.2 Florida             61 2   0  8.4  1.4 Boston College    
  6 0   4 12.9  2.2 Syracuse            62 5   0 11.8 -0.5 Louisville        
  7 1   4 12.3  2.5 Purdue              63 1   0  8.4  1.4 Indiana           
  8 1   5 10.0  4.0 Nebraska            64 4   0  8.0  1.7 Fresno State      
  9 0   3 13.6  1.6 Tulane              65 5   0  7.3  2.1 Southern Methodist
 10 1   4 10.0  3.7 Wisconsin           66 2   0  8.0  1.6 Baylor            
 11 4   3 12.8  1.7 California - Los A  67 1   0  8.0  1.5 Tulsa             
 12 1   4  9.4  4.1 Texas A&M           68 0   0  8.8  0.9 Kansas            
 13 1   4  9.7  3.7 Penn State          69 4   0  8.6  1.1 South Carolina    
 14 1   4 10.5  3.0 Michigan            70 2   0  7.7  1.6 Maryland          
 15 1   4  9.8  3.5 Virginia Tech       71 4   0  7.6  1.5 Iowa              
 16 1   4 10.4  2.9 Air Force           72 5   0  8.3  1.0 Northwestern      
 17 1   3 11.9  1.9 Georgia Tech        73 1   0  8.2  1.1 Iowa State        
 18 1   4 10.4  2.9 Missouri            74 5   0 10.0  0.0 Western Michigan  
 19 4   3 12.1  1.7 Texas               75 0   0  8.4  0.8 Houston           
 20 1   3 10.8  2.5 Arizona             76 3   0  9.5  0.2 Idaho             
 21 2   2 12.5  1.3 Oregon              77 6  -1  6.8  2.0 Toledo            
 22 2   3 10.9  2.2 West Virginia       78 7   0  9.3  0.2 Bowling Green     
 23 2   3 10.9  2.1 Virginia            79 7  -1  7.9  1.1 Washington State  
 24 1   3  9.0  3.5 Southern Californi  80 1   0  9.9 -0.1 Nevada - Reno     
 25 1   3 10.3  2.4 Arkansas            81 3  -1  8.5  0.6 Wake Forest       
 26 2   3  9.9  2.6 Colorado            82 5  -1  7.9  1.0 Army              
 27 1   2  9.0  3.0 Notre Dame          83 2  -1  6.9  1.7 Illinois          
 28 1   2  9.0  2.9 Georgia             84 3  -1  8.2  0.6 Duke              
 29 0   2  9.9  2.2 Southern Mississip  85 2  -1  7.7  0.8 Pittsburgh        
 30 1   2 10.3  1.8 Michigan State      86 4  -1  7.8  0.6 Ohio              
 31 3   2 11.1  1.3 Miami - Florida     87 3  -1  7.6  0.8 Texas - El Paso   
 32 1   2  8.8  2.8 Mississippi State   88 1  -1  8.4  0.2 San Jose State    
 33 0   2 10.5  1.5 Louisiana State     89 1  -2  7.4  0.7 Memphis State     
 34 1   1 11.9  0.5 Kentucky            90 3  -1  8.4  0.0 East Carolina     
 35 8   1 11.5  0.7 Arizona State       91 2  -2  7.9  0.2 Navy              
 36 6   1  8.0  3.0 Auburn              92 4  -2  7.1  0.6 Temple            
 37 1   1  9.6  1.8 Colorado State      93 1  -2  6.3  1.1 North Texas       
 38 3   1 13.6 -0.3 Louisiana Tech      94 1  -2  6.9  0.6 Central Michigan  
 39 7   1  9.0  2.1 North Carolina      95 5  -2  7.0  0.6 Vanderbilt        
 40 4   1  9.0  2.1 Minnesota           96 1  -2  6.9  0.6 Utah State        
 41 4   1  9.3  1.9 Texas Tech          97 3  -2  7.8  0.0 Rutgers           
 42 4   1  9.0  2.1 Brigham Young       98 0  -3  6.5  0.7 Alabama - Birmingh
 43 1   1  9.0  2.1 Alabama             99 1  -2  7.6  0.0 Nevada - Las Vegas
 44 2   1  9.6  1.7 Oklahoma State     100 1  -3  7.7 -0.2 New Mexico        
 45 3   1  9.3  1.8 Oregon State       101 2  -2  8.8 -0.8 New Mexico State  
 46 3   1  9.6  1.6 Washington         102 3  -2  8.6 -0.8 Cincinnati        
 47 1   1 10.6  0.9 North Carolina Sta 103 5  -3  7.5 -0.3 Akron             
 48 6   1  9.1  1.8 Central Florida    104 1  -2  8.5 -0.8 Boise State       
 49 5   1  8.4  2.3 Miami - Ohio       105 0  -3  6.4  0.3 Ball State        
 50 1   0  9.0  1.7 Utah               106 0  -3  7.0 -0.1 Eastern Michigan  
 51 4   0  8.7  1.8 Texas Christian    107 4  -4  6.3  0.3 Northern Illinois 
 52 4   0  8.7  1.7 Marshall           108 0  -4  5.9  0.5 Northeast Louisian
 53 1   0  8.4  1.9 Rice               109 0  -5  6.5 -0.7 Hawaii            
 54 1   0  8.7  1.7 Mississippi        110 1  -5  7.0 -1.7 Southwestern Louis
 55 9   0  9.1  1.2 Stanford           111 0  -6  5.5 -0.8 Arkansas State    
 56 7   0  8.3  1.8 Clemson            112 0  -6  6.2 -1.5 Kent State        

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=* for uncertainty greater than 9 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page

Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net