rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 13 Penn State 102 Bowling Green 9 Iowa 100 Iowa State 26 Texas A&M 101 Louisiana Tech 52 Utah 111 Louisville 59 Georgia Tech 112 New Mexico State 15 Oregon 99 Texas - El Paso 32 Texas Tech 104 North Texas 80-90% chance of victory: 45 Navy 93 Wake Forest 30 Air Force 97 Nevada - Las Vegas 34 Northwestern 74 Duke 11 Colorado 65 Fresno State 25 Missouri 77 Kansas 22 Virginia 79 Maryland 24 Mississippi State 78 Memphis State 1 Nebraska 56 California 14 Kansas State 107 Northern Illinois 55 Boston College 106 Rutgers 28 Southern California 70 San Diego State 4 Ohio State 62 Toledo 44 Alabama 87 Vanderbilt 70-80% chance of victory: 19 Notre Dame 57 Michigan State 94 Temple 103 Akron 27 Arizona State 61 Brigham Young 20 Louisiana State 105 Arkansas State 37 Mississippi 49 Auburn 36 Oregon State 71 Baylor 40 Colorado State 86 Nevada - Reno 2 Florida State 48 North Carolina State 5 Georgia 41 South Carolina 76 San Jose State 96 Idaho 51 Miami - Florida 85 Cincinnati 35 Miami - Ohio 88 Army 3 Florida 90 Northeast Louisiana 43 Wisconsin 67 Ohio 38 Oklahoma State 89 Tulsa 42 Purdue 64 Rice 16 Michigan 23 Syracuse 8 California - Los Angeles 18 Texas 21 Tulane 69 Southern Methodist 54 New Mexico 68 Utah State 17 Washington State 91 Boise State 60-70% chance of victory: 33 Arizona 63 Stanford 72 Minnesota 83 Houston 58 Oklahoma 80 Texas Christian 50-60% chance of victory: 92 Ball State 84 Eastern Michigan 39 Clemson 31 Virginia Tech 82 Indiana 75 Western Michigan
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